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Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3853

Asteria Corporation

(TSE/TYO:3853)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:JPY 934.00â–²(10.27% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/19/26

The company's excellent financial health, marked by high margins and a debt-free balance sheet, is the primary strength. However, the stock is under significant technical pressure, trading below all major moving averages with weak momentum. The extremely low P/E ratio offers valuation support but also signals market caution. The score reflects a fundamentally sound company facing bearish market sentiment.

Positive Factors
Revenue growth and current profitabilityRecent revenue growth combined with strong FY2026 net and EBIT margins indicates the company is converting its sales base into meaningful profit. If these operating levels remain broadly intact, they provide internal resources for reinvestment and support earnings resilience over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
History of earnings instabilityLarge losses in recent fiscal years show that high gross margins have not consistently translated into bottom-line profitability. This history makes forward earnings power less dependable, increases the risk of renewed profit swings, and weakens confidence in a smooth multi-quarter earnings trajectory.

Asteria Corporation (3853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%JP:3853-28.17%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 14.61B
Dividend Yield
1.06%
Average Volume (3M)
253.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.2
Beta (1Y)
0.82
Revenue Growth
7.11%
EPS Growth
146.94%
Country
Japan
Employees
145
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Asteria Corporation is dedicated to crafting and distributing software. Its product lineup encompasses ASTERIA Warp, a data integration middleware that facilitates operational automation through non-programming technology; SnapCal, designed for smoot...

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability with 88.2% gross margins and 23.6% net margin, supported by a rock-solid balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.09). Cash flow is healthy but declined year-over-year. Overall financial health is robust, though revenue growth is modest.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.44B3.39B3.17B2.91B2.79B2.97B
Gross Profit2.88B2.99B2.83B2.63B2.49B2.49B
EBITDA805.30M865.36M964.13M781.22M200.26M159.86M
Net Income2.30B798.65M588.62M-1.81B-1.67B2.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.10B10.60B8.17B7.59B10.62B12.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.40B3.26B2.81B2.19B2.15B2.19B
Total Debt1.36B665.00M398.97M807.78M997.26M1.17B
Total Liabilities3.26B2.65B1.93B1.83B2.99B3.61B
Stockholders Equity9.46B7.80B6.10B5.58B7.13B8.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0545.92M816.92M510.81M-155.56M-4.58M
Operating Cash Flow0571.02M829.33M629.67M234.82M58.04M
Investing Cash Flow0-713.67M777.72M-421.88M6.58M-453.31M
Financing Cash Flow0535.14M-523.42M-315.26M-339.41M-270.35M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price847.00

Price Trends

50DMA1030.82Negative
100DMA1088.12Negative
200DMA1300.80Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-53.97Positive
RSI33.20Neutral
STOCH29.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 847.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 945.65, below the 50-day MA of 1030.82, and below the 200-day MA of 1300.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -53.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3853 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3921JP:392189OutperformJPY 24.08B13.02―3.34%7.78%9.63%
JP:3771JP:377182OutperformJPY 31.30B12.31―3.74%9.34%3.51%
JP:3648JP:364878OutperformJPY 17.61B10.19―3.52%6.10%-14.81%
JP:4058JP:405877OutperformJPY 24.35B17.67―0.90%40.53%32.41%
JP:3853JP:385366NeutralJPY 14.52B6.22―1.06%7.11%146.94%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:3853JP:3648JP:3771JP:3921JP:4058Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3853 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3853Asteria Corporation847.00-383.91-31.19%
JP:3648AGS Corporation1024.00-297.61-22.52%
JP:3771System Research Co., Ltd.1858.00-25.94-1.38%
JP:3921NEOJAPAN Inc.1735.0018.501.08%
JP:4058Toyokumo, Inc.2181.00-510.50-18.97%

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria Deploys Disaster-Response Software, Donates JPY 3 Million After Crisis

Aug 14, 2026

Asteria Corporation has responded to a recent disaster by donating JPY 3 million and offering its products free of charge to affected municipalities and businesses. The company rapidly developed and released an “Evacuation Center & Local Information...

Asteria Lifts Full-Year Operating Profit Outlook on SpaceX Share Sale Gain

Aug 14, 2026

Asteria Corporation has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2027, keeping projected revenue at 3,700 million yen but raising expected operating profit from 1,100 million yen to 1,500 million yen. The new guidan...

Asteria Posts Profit Surge and Lifts Outlook for FY 2027

Aug 14, 2026

Asteria Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥824 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, a 7.0% year-on-year increase, while operating profit surged to ¥2,451 million, reflecting a sharp rise compared with the prior-year period. Net pro...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026