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Ascentech KK (3565) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3565

Ascentech KK

(TSE/TYO:3565)

Select Model
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:JPY 616.00â–²(25.97% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (debt-free balance sheet, improved profitability, and solid cash generation), supported by constructive technical momentum (price above key moving averages and positive MACD). Valuation is also supportive with a moderate P/E and ~3.18% dividend yield, while the main offset is the uneven revenue trend and historical variability in cash conversion.

Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance SheetA debt-free balance sheet gives Ascentech substantial financial flexibility and reduces insolvency and refinancing risk. Growing equity and strong returns on equity indicate that the company is producing attractive shareholder returns without relying on leverage, supporting resilience and future investment capacity.
Negative Factors
Uneven Revenue TrendThe latest revenue contraction, following a strong prior-year increase, points to a choppy top-line trajectory rather than dependable growth. Uneven demand can make capacity planning and investment decisions harder, while also raising questions about whether recent margin expansion can be sustained through the business cycle.

Ascentech KK (3565) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3565+8.39%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 21.04B
Dividend Yield
3.14%
Average Volume (3M)
310.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.3
Beta (1Y)
0.78
Revenue Growth
-27.18%
EPS Growth
52.17%
Country
Japan
Employees
177
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Information Technology Services

Ascentech KK Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ascentech K.K. specializes in furnishing comprehensive virtual desktop infrastructure (VDI) and broader IT infrastructure solutions. Their product portfolio encompasses VDI software, specialized VDI servers, networking components, and robust security...

Ascentech KK Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals supported by the provided statement scores (Income Statement 74, Balance Sheet 88, Cash Flow 80). Key positives are materially improved profitability, robust operating/free cash flow with cash earnings support, and a very conservative balance sheet with zero debt. Main risk is uneven top-line performance (latest revenue down ~11.4% YoY) and historically volatile cash conversion.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.49B17.43B14.59B6.23B6.32B6.48B
Gross Profit3.81B4.06B1.69B1.18B1.14B1.23B
EBITDA2.84B3.10B1.33B791.21M689.91M762.11M
Net Income2.04B2.06B859.63M480.60M439.84M496.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.94B35.27B9.34B4.62B3.91B3.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.03B12.58B6.01B2.24B1.55B1.42B
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities25.36B29.06B5.14B1.50B1.27B1.23B
Stockholders Equity6.58B6.21B4.20B3.12B2.64B2.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow06.52B3.59B827.31M395.19M23.38M
Operating Cash Flow06.61B3.64B855.47M426.69M38.23M
Investing Cash Flow0-8.09B-116.74M-84.10M-132.15M-96.52M
Financing Cash Flow023.44M255.65M-92.66M-173.93M-236.45M

Ascentech KK Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price489.00

Price Trends

50DMA494.80Negative
100DMA453.25Positive
200DMA450.12Positive

Market Momentum

MACD4.92Positive
RSI41.88Neutral
STOCH13.82Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3565, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 489.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 515.70, below the 50-day MA of 494.80, and above the 200-day MA of 450.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3565.

Ascentech KK Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:3565 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4396JP:439681OutperformJPY 31.32B16.64―2.12%15.42%27.83%
JP:3565JP:356580OutperformJPY 21.01B10.31―3.14%-27.18%52.17%
JP:3984JP:398480OutperformJPY 22.67B13.74―1.70%16.61%15.32%
JP:3788JP:378872OutperformJPY 27.60B25.41―2.38%11.63%42.45%
JP:3968JP:396866NeutralJPY 29.48B12.69―1.97%52.56%326.22%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:4813JP:481348NeutralJPY 14.42B-10.79――24.78%83.28%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:3565JP:3788JP:3968JP:3984JP:4396JP:4813Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:3565 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3565Ascentech KK489.0030.126.56%
JP:3788GMO GlobalSign Holdings K.K.2396.00293.0513.94%
JP:3968Segue Group Co., Ltd.811.00184.8529.52%
JP:3984User Local, Inc.1410.00-524.58-27.12%
JP:4396System Support, Inc.1507.0024.621.66%
JP:4813Access Co., Ltd.365.00-178.00-32.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026