tiprankstipranks
Central General Development Co., Ltd. (JP:3238)
:3238
Japanese Market
Want to see JP:3238 full AI Analyst Report?

Central General Development Co., Ltd. (3238) AI Stock Analysis

0 Followers

Top Page

JP:3238

Central General Development Co., Ltd.

(3238)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥401.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/11/26
The score is primarily held back by weakening financial fundamentals—sharp margin compression, higher leverage, and persistently negative free cash flow—despite strong 2026 revenue growth. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive momentum, but valuation looks demanding (P/E ~26) relative to the deteriorating earnings and cash generation.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth acceleration
Sustained top-line growth and a clear 2026 acceleration indicate durable demand and scale expansion in core activities. Over 2–6 months this growth can enable better fixed-cost absorption, support project execution and provide a platform to restore margins if cash conversion is improved.
Negative Factors
Severe margin compression
Margins collapsing to near-breakeven materially reduce the company's ability to self-fund growth or absorb cost shocks. Persistently thin profits constrain reinvestment, weaken returns on capital, and leave little buffer for interest or capital expenditure over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth acceleration
Sustained top-line growth and a clear 2026 acceleration indicate durable demand and scale expansion in core activities. Over 2–6 months this growth can enable better fixed-cost absorption, support project execution and provide a platform to restore margins if cash conversion is improved.
Read all positive factors

Central General Development Co., Ltd. (3238) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Central General Development Co., Ltd. operates within the real estate sector across Japan. Its core business involves the conceptualization, building, and marketing of residential condominium units. Beyond property development, the firm provides r...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue acceleration in 2026, profitability has deteriorated sharply (net margin down to 0.4%) and returns on equity have fallen alongside rising leverage (debt-to-equity up to 3.04x). Cash flow quality is a major concern, with free cash flow deeply negative for 2024–2026, indicating weak cash conversion and higher funding dependence.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.35B38.45B30.88B31.93B30.39B29.31B
Gross Profit6.86B5.96B5.76B6.10B5.18B5.06B
EBITDA1.92B1.13B1.41B1.84B1.64B1.25B
Net Income672.71M147.60M497.35M904.57M845.48M630.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.72B46.10B45.42B36.59B28.96B29.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B1.09B978.25M1.42B2.53B2.04B
Total Debt30.18B31.32B30.70B22.39B15.27B16.50B
Total Liabilities34.22B35.80B35.16B26.65B19.88B20.89B
Stockholders Equity10.49B10.30B10.26B9.94B9.09B8.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-383.44M-8.60B-8.09B1.87B1.11B
Operating Cash Flow0.00178.04M-7.61B-6.85B2.66B2.36B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-545.13M-969.22M-1.25B-789.67M-1.25B
Financing Cash Flow0.00481.19M8.14B6.98B-1.38B-370.72M

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price413.00
Price Trends
50DMA
375.18
Positive
100DMA
369.96
Positive
200DMA
388.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.41
Positive
RSI
57.28
Neutral
STOCH
51.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3238, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 413 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 382.35, above the 50-day MA of 375.18, and above the 200-day MA of 388.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3238.

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥4.48B4.630.50%18.08%89.27%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
¥64.82B9.222.89%36.85%83.36%
57
Neutral
¥4.82B2.672.51%65.37%
54
Neutral
¥13.30B4.861.47%16.61%12.65%
50
Neutral
¥3.71B5.533.41%30.03%34.91%
48
Neutral
¥4.70B-9.7621.86%-0.36%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3238
Central General Development Co., Ltd.
387.00
-26.46
-6.40%
JP:2991
LANDNET, Inc.
550.00
-110.32
-16.71%
JP:3237
Intrance Co., Ltd.
97.00
0.00
0.00%
JP:3252
JINUSHI Co.,Ltd.
2,980.00
18.01
0.61%
JP:8944
Land Business Co., Ltd.
242.00
34.32
16.53%
JP:8996
HouseFreedom Co., Ltd.
1,109.00
272.64
32.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026