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Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. (3091) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3091

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3091)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,479.00â–²(15.39% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/29/26

The score is primarily driven by strong financial resilience (very low leverage and improving earnings/revenue since 2022) and supportive technical momentum (price above all major moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by a rich valuation (P/E ~35) and a low dividend yield, plus some variability in cash conversion versus reported profits.

Positive Factors
Post-2020 earnings recoveryThe sustained recovery in revenue and earnings indicates that Bronco Billy has rebuilt operating momentum after the pandemic-era disruption. Continued sales expansion and substantially higher net income should support reinvestment, strengthen resilience, and improve earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Historical earnings volatilityThe earlier losses demonstrate that profitability can be vulnerable during severe operating disruptions, even though performance has since improved. This history reduces confidence that current earnings growth will remain stable through future demand shocks or difficult trading conditions.

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. (3091) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:3091+62.57%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 89.85B
Dividend Yield
0.58%
Average Volume (3M)
93.08K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
34.5
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
13.62%
EPS Growth
47.14%
Country
Japan
Employees
711
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BRONCO BILLY Co., LTD. operates a chain of restaurants across Japan, specializing primarily in grilled steaks, hearty hamburgers, and fresh salads, complemented by alcoholic beverages. By the end of 2020, specifically December 31st, the company manag...

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong post-2020 recovery with steady revenue growth (2025 up ~6% YoY), expanding operating profit and net income (nearly doubled from 2022 to 2025), and an especially strong, low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~1.7% in 2024). Offsets include earlier volatility (2020 loss, 2021 operating loss) and only moderate cash conversion versus earnings (operating cash flow ~71% of net income in 2024).

Income Statement

76Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

73Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.10B30.22B26.62B23.38B19.51B15.77B
Gross Profit22.46B20.30B17.26B14.57B12.41B10.28B
EBITDA4.66B3.70B3.30B2.33B1.80B2.17B
Net Income2.60B1.97B1.72B1.00B687.14M955.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.91B26.71B24.60B22.83B21.54B26.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.46B8.91B7.39B7.65B6.68B12.62B
Total Debt503.00M326.00M333.10M445.89M817.14M6.09B
Total Liabilities5.57B5.00B4.52B4.18B3.67B8.97B
Stockholders Equity23.34B21.72B20.07B18.65B17.88B17.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.94B1.59B1.49B588.11M726.46M
Operating Cash Flow03.37B2.67B2.55B1.62B2.42B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.44B-1.39B-1.09B-1.44B-1.82B
Financing Cash Flow0-403.00M-564.59M-626.54M-6.12B520.23M

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3015.00

Price Trends

50DMA2858.32Positive
100DMA2616.64Positive
200DMA2340.53Positive

Market Momentum

MACD69.18Negative
RSI57.34Neutral
STOCH28.17Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3091, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3015.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2932.30, above the 50-day MA of 2858.32, and above the 200-day MA of 2340.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 69.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3091.

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3091 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3091JP:309173OutperformJPY 89.77B34.55―0.58%13.62%47.14%
JP:2705JP:270571OutperformJPY 74.37B57.26―0.20%18.05%9.09%
JP:9900JP:990065NeutralJPY 74.34B31.85―0.49%9.56%1.49%
JP:8200JP:820062NeutralJPY 62.03B33.26―0.58%2.31%63.43%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:2752JP:275246NeutralJPY 59.25B-1626.76―0.26%2.06%-139.92%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%JP:3091JP:2705JP:2752JP:8200JP:9900Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:3091 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3091Bronco Billy Co., Ltd.3015.001155.4362.13%
JP:2705OOTOYA Holdings Co., Ltd.10250.004618.2982.01%
JP:2752Fujio Food Group, Inc.1155.0054.814.98%
JP:8200Ringer Hut Co., Ltd.2418.00207.459.38%
JP:9900Sagami Holdings Corp.1227.00397.5147.92%

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Bronco Billy Delivers Strong Nine-Month Results and Confident 2026 Outlook

Oct 22, 2026

Bronco Billy Co., Ltd. reported strong results for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, with net sales up 12.8% year-on-year to ¥25.35 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 44.3% to ¥2.05 billion, driving basic ea...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026