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Alpen Co., Ltd. (3028) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3028

Alpen Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3028)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,736.00â–²(6.63% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:11/11/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial stability (low leverage and improving revenue) but tempered by volatile margins and uneven free cash flow. Technicals add support due to a strong uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is reasonable with a mid P/E and moderate dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue GrowthSteady multi-year revenue growth with a recent acceleration indicates expanding sales across Alpen’s sporting goods and outdoor retail channels. A stronger top line can support operating leverage, broaden customer reach, and provide a durable base for future earnings recovery.
Negative Factors
Volatile ProfitabilityMargin volatility makes Alpen’s earnings less predictable even as revenue grows. The incomplete recovery suggests profitability remains sensitive to costs and pricing, which could limit operating leverage and make future earnings growth less durable than the top-line trend implies.

Alpen Co., Ltd. (3028) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3028+14.35%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 98.94B
Dividend Yield
2.14%
Average Volume (3M)
113.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.5
Beta (1Y)
0.12
Revenue Growth
7.60%
EPS Growth
35.96%
Country
Japan
Employees
3,275
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

Alpen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alpen Co., Ltd., established in 1972 and headquartered in Nagoya, Japan, operates as both a manufacturer and a retailer of a vast array of sporting and leisure equipment. The company's comprehensive product catalog caters to numerous activities, offe...

Alpen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are stable but not strong: revenue growth accelerated recently and the balance sheet is conservatively financed (low leverage), but profitability has been volatile with only a partial margin recovery, and free cash flow has been inconsistent and weak relative to earnings.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue292.36B285.95B268.65B252.94B244.54B232.33B
Gross Profit115.68B113.04B107.56B98.07B94.22B92.52B
EBITDA14.79B15.09B14.40B8.52B10.64B14.00B
Net Income7.22B6.27B5.57B1.73B5.47B5.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets223.40B214.44B208.99B203.58B186.50B193.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.32B16.09B15.15B18.84B18.24B29.06B
Total Debt15.20B13.81B11.77B14.28B6.28B13.67B
Total Liabilities96.91B88.08B87.84B86.34B70.80B81.97B
Stockholders Equity126.48B126.36B121.14B117.24B115.70B111.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.96B2.53B-3.21B157.00M-8.56B
Operating Cash Flow010.71B9.08B5.71B5.79B-4.70B
Investing Cash Flow0-10.57B-8.57B-10.51B-6.75B-7.55B
Financing Cash Flow0-456.00M-3.44B5.39B-9.87B-15.92B

Alpen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2566.00

Price Trends

50DMA2376.10Positive
100DMA2288.26Positive
200DMA2171.16Positive

Market Momentum

MACD53.97Negative
RSI66.97Neutral
STOCH78.76Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3028, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2566.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2438.25, above the 50-day MA of 2376.10, and above the 200-day MA of 2171.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 53.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3028.

Alpen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3028 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3092JP:309276OutperformJPY 1.03T21.3149.53%3.40%6.46%8.48%
JP:8022JP:802273OutperformJPY 323.90B15.7211.46%1.72%9.87%13.49%
JP:3028JP:302871OutperformJPY 96.34B13.53―2.14%7.60%35.96%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:8281JP:828159NeutralJPY 48.99B122.11―3.22%3.38%―
JP:4755JP:475553NeutralJPY 1.38T-21.45-7.11%―10.85%39.15%
JP:7514JP:751443NeutralJPY 10.45B-12.18―3.04%1.08%-7985.78%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%JP:3028JP:4755JP:8022JP:3092JP:7514JP:8281Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3028 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3028Alpen Co., Ltd.2566.00321.9714.35%
JP:4755Rakuten637.00-317.10-33.24%
JP:8022Mizuno Corporation3960.001165.6741.72%
JP:3092ZOZO 1175.50-61.33-4.96%
JP:7514Himaraya Co., Ltd.854.0032.553.96%
JP:8281XEBIO Holdings CO., LTD.1088.0077.877.71%

Alpen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Alpen Reports Strong Sales Growth and Profit Recovery

Nov 5, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd., a Japanese sporting-goods retailer focused on sports, outdoor and golf-related merchandise and services, reported consolidated net sales of ¥71.83 billion for the three months ended September 30, 2026. Sales increased 9.8% year on ye...

Alpen Expands Restricted Stock Compensation to Align Executives With Shareholders

Oct 14, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 8,686 shares of its treasury stock as restricted stock compensation for one director and eleven executive officers, priced at ¥2,381 per share for a total of about ¥20.7 million. The shares, drawn from its...

Alpen Discloses Controlling Shareholder Structure and Minority Protection Measures

Sep 29, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd., a Japan-based retailer listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market and Nagoya Stock Exchange Premier Market, operates under a governance structure centered on its Board of Directors and independent outside directors. The company...

Alpen Overhauls Board Structure, Strengthens Governance at 54th Shareholders Meeting

Sep 29, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd., a listed Japanese sporting goods retailer on the Tokyo and Nagoya exchanges, derives its core business from merchandising and strategic planning in the sports and outdoor equipment market. Its leadership includes a chairman and presi...

Alpen Announces Board Changes Ahead of 54th Shareholders’ Meeting

Aug 21, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd. announced executive changes following a resolution by its Board of Directors ahead of the 54th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for September 29, 2026. The move reflects the company’s ongoing governance and leadership...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026