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Alpen Co., Ltd. (3028) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3028

Alpen Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3028)

Select Model
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,847.00▲(11.08% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The overall score of 80 is heavily driven by robust technical momentum, an attractive valuation, and a highly stable balance sheet. Alpen Co. is trading in a clear bullish trend with minimal leverage, limiting financial downside risk. However, the score is slightly moderated by thin profit margins and lower capital efficiency, typical hurdles in the specialty retail sector.

Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue GrowthSteady multi-year revenue growth with a recent acceleration indicates expanding sales across Alpen’s sporting goods and outdoor retail channels. A stronger top line can support operating leverage, broaden customer reach, and provide a durable base for future earnings recovery.
Negative Factors
Volatile ProfitabilityMargin volatility makes Alpen’s earnings less predictable even as revenue grows. The incomplete recovery suggests profitability remains sensitive to costs and pricing, which could limit operating leverage and make future earnings growth less durable than the top-line trend implies.

Alpen Co., Ltd. (3028) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3028+14.21%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 98.59B
Dividend Yield
2.15%
Average Volume (3M)
113.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.5
Beta (1Y)
0.09
Revenue Growth
7.60%
EPS Growth
35.96%
Country
Japan
Employees
3,275
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

Alpen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alpen Co., Ltd., established in 1972 and headquartered in Nagoya, Japan, operates as both a manufacturer and a retailer of a vast array of sporting and leisure equipment. The company's comprehensive product catalog caters to numerous activities, offe...

Alpen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alpen Co. exhibits a highly stable and low-risk balance sheet with minimal leverage (D/E ratio of 0.11). Consistent revenue and operating cash flow growth highlight core stability, though thin profit margins and low return on equity reflect industry-typical challenges and suggest room for operational optimization.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

84Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue285.95B285.95B268.65B252.94B244.54B232.33B
Gross Profit113.04B113.04B107.56B98.07B94.22B92.52B
EBITDA14.76B15.09B14.40B8.52B10.64B14.00B
Net Income6.27B6.27B5.57B1.73B5.47B5.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets214.44B214.44B208.99B203.58B186.50B193.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.09B16.09B15.15B18.84B18.24B29.06B
Total Debt13.81B13.81B11.77B14.28B6.28B13.67B
Total Liabilities88.08B88.08B87.84B86.34B70.80B81.97B
Stockholders Equity126.36B126.36B121.14B117.24B115.70B111.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.96B2.53B-3.21B157.00M-8.56B
Operating Cash Flow010.71B9.08B5.71B5.79B-4.70B
Investing Cash Flow0-10.57B-8.57B-10.51B-6.75B-7.55B
Financing Cash Flow0-456.00M-3.44B5.39B-9.87B-15.92B

Alpen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2563.00

Price Trends

50DMA2372.38Positive
100DMA2283.04Positive
200DMA2169.40Positive

Market Momentum

MACD50.68Negative
RSI66.74Neutral
STOCH83.81Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3028, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2563.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2430.65, above the 50-day MA of 2372.38, and above the 200-day MA of 2169.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 50.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3028.

Alpen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3028 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3028JP:302880OutperformJPY 95.89B13.52―2.15%7.60%35.96%
JP:3092JP:309276OutperformJPY 1.02T20.9949.53%3.45%6.46%8.48%
JP:8022JP:802274OutperformJPY 352.63B16.1111.46%1.65%9.87%13.49%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:8281JP:828159NeutralJPY 48.68B124.35―3.16%2.60%―
JP:4755JP:475549NeutralJPY 1.41T-21.30-7.11%―10.86%69.63%
JP:7514JP:751443NeutralJPY 10.45B-12.20―3.04%1.08%-7985.78%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%JP:3028JP:4755JP:8022JP:3092JP:7514JP:8281Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3028 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3028Alpen Co., Ltd.2563.00299.4713.23%
JP:4755Rakuten632.50-319.40-33.55%
JP:8022Mizuno Corporation4115.001305.9446.49%
JP:3092ZOZO 1158.00-89.44-7.17%
JP:7514Himaraya Co., Ltd.855.0033.554.08%
JP:8281XEBIO Holdings CO., LTD.1108.0070.776.82%

Alpen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Alpen Reports Strong Sales Growth and Profit Recovery

Nov 5, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd., a Japanese sporting-goods retailer focused on sports, outdoor and golf-related merchandise and services, reported consolidated net sales of ¥71.83 billion for the three months ended September 30, 2026. Sales increased 9.8% year on ye...

Alpen Expands Restricted Stock Compensation to Align Executives With Shareholders

Oct 14, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 8,686 shares of its treasury stock as restricted stock compensation for one director and eleven executive officers, priced at ¥2,381 per share for a total of about ¥20.7 million. The shares, drawn from its...

Alpen Discloses Controlling Shareholder Structure and Minority Protection Measures

Sep 29, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd., a Japan-based retailer listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market and Nagoya Stock Exchange Premier Market, operates under a governance structure centered on its Board of Directors and independent outside directors. The company...

Alpen Overhauls Board Structure, Strengthens Governance at 54th Shareholders Meeting

Sep 29, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd., a listed Japanese sporting goods retailer on the Tokyo and Nagoya exchanges, derives its core business from merchandising and strategic planning in the sports and outdoor equipment market. Its leadership includes a chairman and presi...

Alpen Announces Board Changes Ahead of 54th Shareholders’ Meeting

Aug 21, 2026

Alpen Co., Ltd. announced executive changes following a resolution by its Board of Directors ahead of the 54th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for September 29, 2026. The move reflects the company’s ongoing governance and leadership...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026