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TSUKURUBA, Inc. (JP:2978)
:2978
Japanese Market
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TSUKURUBA, Inc. (2978) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2978

TSUKURUBA, Inc.

(2978)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥344.00
▼(-23.21% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/15/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong growth and a shift to profitability are offset by thin/declining margins, meaningful leverage, and persistently weak cash flow with negative free cash flow. Technicals are neutral with the stock still below longer-term moving averages, while valuation looks relatively high (P/E ~31) given the company’s limited margin cushion and cash conversion.
Positive Factors
Rapid Revenue Growth
Rapid revenue expansion indicates growing transaction activity and broader adoption of the company’s residential real-estate services. If maintained, this scale can strengthen market presence, support investment in the platform, and provide a foundation for improving earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Higher leverage increases financial sensitivity to execution and funding conditions, particularly for a real-estate-services business. It can constrain capital allocation, raise the importance of consistent earnings, and reduce flexibility if growth requires further investment or operating results weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Rapid Revenue Growth
Rapid revenue expansion indicates growing transaction activity and broader adoption of the company’s residential real-estate services. If maintained, this scale can strengthen market presence, support investment in the platform, and provide a foundation for improving earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

TSUKURUBA, Inc. (2978) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TSUKURUBA, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tsukuruba Inc. specializes in technology-driven services for the real estate sector. A key initiative is their creation of cowcamo, a digital brokerage platform tailored for pre-owned and refurbished properties. Beyond this, they extend their expe...
How the Company Makes Money
The company generates revenue primarily from its residential real-estate transaction platform and related services. Key revenue streams include (1) fees or commissions earned when property transactions are facilitated through its marketplace (e.g....

TSUKURUBA, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and a clear turnaround to profitability are positives, but overall financial quality is constrained by thin and compressing margins, rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.54x), and persistently weak cash generation with negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMJul 2026Jul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.22B11.31B8.10B5.48B4.15B2.77B
Gross Profit3.77B3.89B3.54B2.82B2.52B1.84B
EBITDA104.07M192.95M231.85M250.97M-111.13M-771.36M
Net Income20.89M127.43M106.64M215.66M-165.52M-822.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.58B6.21B6.14B4.22B3.06B2.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60B1.69B1.87B1.92B1.77B1.65B
Total Debt4.96B3.38B3.65B2.12B1.19B1.64B
Total Liabilities5.54B4.02B4.21B2.42B1.55B1.97B
Stockholders Equity2.04B2.19B1.93B1.80B1.51B909.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-75.04M-1.50B-939.00M-94.33M-1.11B
Operating Cash Flow0.0016.09M-1.48B-900.55M-85.48M-1.03B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-105.80M-76.00M81.07M-59.26M-108.78M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-95.58M1.50B954.28M263.01M544.46M

TSUKURUBA, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price448.00
Price Trends
50DMA
341.22
Negative
100DMA
359.28
Negative
200DMA
402.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.57
Positive
RSI
29.15
Positive
STOCH
19.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2978, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 448 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 335.90, above the 50-day MA of 341.22, and above the 200-day MA of 402.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.15 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2978.

TSUKURUBA, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥4.21B4.47―5.27%18.08%89.27%
69
Neutral
¥5.22B36.31――3.83%-45.88%
64
Neutral
¥5.10B2.81―2.33%65.37%―
57
Neutral
¥2.77B14.75――28.76%-20.95%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
50
Neutral
¥3.81B29.11――39.66%18.09%
44
Neutral
¥3.70B5.45―1.31%30.03%34.91%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2978
TSUKURUBA, Inc.
320.00
-269.00
-45.67%
JP:3238
Central General Development Co., Ltd.
383.00
-46.32
-10.79%
JP:4445
Living Technologies, Inc.
1,941.00
-31.50
-1.60%
JP:4487
Space Market, Inc.
225.00
-137.00
-37.85%
JP:8944
Land Business Co., Ltd.
249.00
15.00
6.41%
JP:8996
HouseFreedom Co., Ltd.
1,047.00
176.31
20.25%

TSUKURUBA, Inc. Corporate Events

TSUKURUBA Boosts Sales and Equity but Faces Margin Pressure in FY2026
Sep 14, 2026
TSUKURUBA, Inc. reported robust top-line growth for the fiscal year ended July 31, 2026, with net sales rising 39.7% to ¥11,310 million. However, profitability weakened as operating profit fell 38.1% to ¥169 million and ordinary profit d...
TSUKURUBA Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales and Cuts Full-Year Profit Outlook
Jun 15, 2026
TSUKURUBA reported consolidated net sales of ¥7.9 billion for the nine months ended April 30, 2026, up 36.6% year on year, but swung to an operating loss of ¥39 million and a loss attributable to owners of parent of ¥84 million. Equ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026