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Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. (2266) AI Stock Analysis

JP:2266

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:2266)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,055.00â–¼(-1.59% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/07/26

The score is held back primarily by the 2025 cash-flow deterioration (negative operating and free cash flow) and bearish technical setup (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These risks are partially balanced by a generally solid balance sheet and a reasonable valuation (P/E ~12.1 with a modest ~1.9% dividend yield).

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetThe substantial equity cushion and historically moderate leverage provide financial resilience for a packaged-foods business. Although borrowing rose in 2025, the balance sheet still offers capacity to absorb volatility and fund operations.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash GenerationThe disconnect between positive accounting profit and negative operating and free cash flow weakens earnings quality. If the reversal persists beyond working-capital timing, it could constrain investment, dividends, and funding flexibility.

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. (2266) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:2266-7.43%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 20.67B
Dividend Yield
1.87%
Average Volume (3M)
78.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.0
Beta (1Y)
0.46
Revenue Growth
17.98%
EPS Growth
464.62%
Country
Japan
Employees
505
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Kobe, Japan, Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. is a Japanese food manufacturer and distributor. Established in 1948, the company primarily produces and markets a range of food items, including cheese, nuts, desserts, and chocolate, all sold und...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: revenue has been broadly stable and net income recovered strongly from the 2022 trough, and the balance sheet remains conservative with equity well above debt. However, 2025 cash generation is a major weakness with negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow despite positive earnings, raising quality-of-earnings and near-term funding-risk concerns, alongside a renewed uptick in debt.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue49.67B43.29B42.92B44.30B41.92B55.07B
Gross Profit9.39B8.39B8.29B6.67B6.44B22.87B
EBITDA4.57B3.97B3.41B2.82B2.86B6.39B
Net Income1.90B1.49B1.04B446.31M219.96M2.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.71B60.94B52.87B50.99B52.70B55.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.15B5.09B6.18B6.33B5.29B7.68B
Total Debt11.10B11.19B7.14B8.16B9.17B11.18B
Total Liabilities27.19B27.62B22.01B20.89B23.46B25.49B
Stockholders Equity32.52B33.33B30.86B30.10B29.23B29.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.54B-2.06B3.23B2.78B317.31M3.78B
Operating Cash Flow3.83B-1.67B3.67B3.24B1.09B5.73B
Investing Cash Flow254.29M-2.17B-1.65B-995.54M-1.25B-363.07M
Financing Cash Flow-833.85M1.58B-1.50B-1.40B-2.40B-5.40B

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1072.00

Price Trends

50DMA1093.56Negative
100DMA1084.63Negative
200DMA1121.42Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.27Positive
RSI44.12Neutral
STOCH27.50Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2266, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1072.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1081.30, below the 50-day MA of 1093.56, and below the 200-day MA of 1121.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2266.

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:2266 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4404JP:440471OutperformJPY 22.22B12.96―3.22%5.68%-81.28%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
JP:2602JP:260262NeutralJPY 193.98B17.445.21%2.91%7.51%-53.44%
JP:2269JP:226960NeutralJPY 1.18T29.015.27%2.50%3.53%-14.19%
JP:2613JP:261359NeutralJPY 75.29B14.46―3.29%0.83%-17.00%
JP:2607JP:260757NeutralJPY 391.30B29.07―1.25%9.93%1562.32%
JP:2266JP:226654NeutralJPY 20.89B10.96―1.87%17.98%464.62%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:2266JP:2269JP:2602JP:2607JP:2613JP:4404Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:2266 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2266Rokko Butter Co., Ltd.1072.00-86.03-7.43%
JP:2269Meiji Holdings Co 4308.001422.0149.27%
JP:2602Nisshin OilliO Group, Ltd.2064.00417.7325.37%
JP:2607Fuji Oil Holdings, Inc.4552.001405.8744.69%
JP:2613J-Oil Mills, Inc.2282.00334.1417.15%
JP:4404Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd.2177.0063.463.00%

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Rokko Butter Posts Solid First-Half Results and Raises Sales Outlook Despite Profit Pressure

Aug 13, 2026

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥26.9 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥613 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, its first disclosed interim results since adopting consolidated...

Rokko Butter Cuts Full-Year Profit Outlook on Cost Surge and Earthquake Impact

Aug 13, 2026

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, keeping net sales unchanged at 55 billion yen but cutting operating profit from 2.3 billion yen to 1.5 billion yen and ordinary profit...

Rokko Butter to Boost Capital Efficiency With Sale of Policy-Held Shares

Jun 30, 2026

Rokko Butter announced that its board has approved the sale of two issues of listed investment securities it currently holds. The move is intended to reduce policy-held shares, thereby improving capital efficiency and enhancing returns to shareholder...

Rokko Butter Completes ¥1.2 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

May 29, 2026

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. has completed a share buyback through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction ToSTNeT-3 system, repurchasing 1,099,400 common shares for approximately JPY 1.195 billion on May 29, 2026. This transaction concludes the treas...

Rokko Butter Launches ¥1.3 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

May 28, 2026

Rokko Butter Co., Ltd. has approved a share buyback via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction own share repurchase system ToSTNeT-3, aiming to bolster shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency alongside ongoing investments in faciliti...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026