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Astroscale Holdings Inc. (JP:186A)
:186A
Japanese Market
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Astroscale Holdings Inc. (186A) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:186A

Astroscale Holdings Inc.

(186A)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,130.00
▼(-5.99% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/12/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—deep losses, heavy cash burn, and rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.37) that increases funding risk. Technicals also detract as the stock trades below major moving averages with negative MACD, despite oversold readings. Valuation is not supportive because the negative P/E reflects lack of profitability and there is no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue has expanded sharply over several years, indicating that Astroscale is progressing from technology development toward larger contracted programs and mission activity. Continued top-line scaling can improve operating leverage over time if the company converts growth into better margins.
Negative Factors
Severely Negative Margins
Astroscale currently converts very little revenue into gross profit while operating and net losses remain exceptionally large. This cost structure leaves limited evidence of sustainable unit economics and means substantial revenue growth is still required before scale can support profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue has expanded sharply over several years, indicating that Astroscale is progressing from technology development toward larger contracted programs and mission activity. Continued top-line scaling can improve operating leverage over time if the company converts growth into better margins.
Read all positive factors

Astroscale Holdings Inc. (186A) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Astroscale Holdings Inc. engages in research and development of technology related to on-orbit services in Japan, the United Kingdom, the United States, and France. The company offers in-situ space situational awareness, life extension, active deb...
How the Company Makes Money
Astroscale makes money primarily by delivering in-orbit servicing missions and related space systems/services to customers such as government agencies and commercial satellite operators. Revenue is generally generated through (1) mission contracts...

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong multi-year revenue growth, profitability and cash generation are very weak: ~1% TTM gross margin with deeply negative operating (~-203%) and net (~-145%) margins. Cash burn is severe (TTM operating cash flow ~-11.1B; free cash flow ~-15.3B). Balance-sheet risk has risen as debt increased to ~30.5B vs equity ~12.9B (debt-to-equity ~2.37), amplifying funding and dilution risk if losses persist.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2025Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.89B5.94B2.46B2.85B1.79B910.37M
Gross Profit60.67M19.25M-4.50B-2.75B-5.57B-1.97B
EBITDA-10.89B-15.15B-19.95B-7.99B-8.70B-5.36B
Net Income-8.56B-6.70B-21.55B-9.18B-9.26B-5.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.91B32.12B33.63B24.99B30.44B20.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.95B10.02B21.30B14.20B22.68B16.87B
Total Debt30.47B10.57B13.93B13.18B9.73B2.50B
Total Liabilities45.05B24.05B27.50B19.59B15.55B6.03B
Stockholders Equity12.85B8.08B6.13B5.40B14.89B14.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.35B-17.84B-12.83B-13.91B-9.47B-5.98B
Operating Cash Flow-11.06B-12.49B-12.25B-12.82B-7.94B-5.50B
Investing Cash Flow-6.37B-6.93B-1.04B-1.18B-1.63B-662.66M
Financing Cash Flow25.97B7.24B20.82B4.15B15.23B13.79B

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1202.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1142.32
Positive
100DMA
1355.85
Negative
200DMA
1206.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
18.21
Negative
RSI
51.85
Neutral
STOCH
30.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:186A, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1202 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1140.25, above the 50-day MA of 1142.32, and below the 200-day MA of 1206.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 18.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:186A.

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥144.23B10.42―4.26%11.40%26.49%
69
Neutral
¥113.30B21.5330.34%0.15%54.05%121.12%
67
Neutral
¥121.13B9.8210.39%3.13%8.77%49.27%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
¥34.25B41.73――41.15%2.82%
42
Neutral
¥167.29B-18.32――69.73%45.30%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:186A
Astroscale Holdings Inc.
1,146.00
394.00
52.39%
JP:7224
Shinmaywa Industries
1,852.00
132.39
7.70%
JP:6946
Nippon Avionics Co., Ltd.
6,600.00
2,251.67
51.78%
JP:1952
Shin Nippon Air Technologies Co., Ltd.
3,055.00
292.09
10.57%
JP:7409
AeroEdge Co.,Ltd
1,370.00
491.67
55.98%

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Astroscale Japan Wins Contract Increase for ISSA-J1 Phase 2
Oct 6, 2026
Astroscale Japan Inc., a consolidated subsidiary of Astroscale Holdings Inc., has secured an increase in the contract value for Phase 2 of the ISSA-J1 mission from the Green Investment Promotion Organization, adding ¥249 million before tax. T...
Astroscale’s U.K. Unit Wins £15 Million Multi-Year Contract From UK Defence Ministry
Sep 29, 2026
Astroscale’s U.K. subsidiary, Astroscale Ltd, has secured a multi-year defense contract with the U.K. Ministry of Defence valued at £15 million, with specific service details undisclosed at the customer’s request. The agreement, s...
Astroscale Books ¥22 Million Forex Gain in First Quarter
Sep 11, 2026
Astroscale Holdings Inc. reported a foreign exchange gain of ¥22 million for the three months ended July 31, 2026, driven mainly by the revaluation of foreign currency cash and cash equivalents and loans receivable from subsidiaries at period...
Astroscale Warns on Risks and Limits of Translated FY2027 Q1 Results
Sep 11, 2026
Astroscale Holdings Inc. released a translated financial results presentation for FY2027 Q1, emphasizing that the document is for informational purposes and derived from an original Japanese version. The company stresses that in cases of discrepan...
Astroscale Widens Quarterly Loss but Targets Strong Project Income Growth
Sep 11, 2026
Astroscale reported consolidated project income of ¥2,024 million and revenue of ¥1,195 million for the three months ended July 31, 2026, both declining year on year, while posting an operating loss of ¥2,750 million and a net loss ...
Astroscale’s French Unit Wins €13.2m Deorbit Contract Under France 2030
Sep 10, 2026
Astroscale France SAS, the French subsidiary of Astroscale Holdings Inc., has secured a €13.2 million contract as subcontractor on a deorbiting demonstration mission led by Exotrail and involving satellite operator Eutelsat. The project, sel...
Astroscale Secures Isar Aerospace Launch for Next-Phase Debris Removal Mission
Sep 1, 2026
Astroscale’s Japanese subsidiary has signed a launch contract with European launch provider Isar Aerospace for the ADRAS-J2 mission, part of JAXA’s Commercial Removal of Debris Demonstration Phase II, scheduled for Japan’s fiscal...
Astroscale Bolsters Global Leadership With New Legal & Compliance Executive
Aug 18, 2026
Astroscale Holdings Inc. has updated its executive lineup by appointing Raleigh Morgan as Executive Officer and Senior Vice President of Global Legal Compliance, effective August 18, 2026. The appointment strengthens the company’s leadershi...
Astroscale Secures Extended JPY 3 Billion Overdraft Line From Mizuho Bank
Jul 20, 2026
Astroscale Holdings Inc. has resolved to enter into a new special overdraft agreement with Mizuho Bank, extending a previous facility that matured at the end of June 2026 while keeping its main terms largely unchanged. The agreement provides a JPY...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2026