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Invesco (IVZ)
NYSE:IVZ

Invesco (IVZ) AI Stock Analysis

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IV

Invesco

(NYSE:IVZ)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(13.56%Upside)
Invesco's strong earnings call and financial performance drive its overall score. The company's strategic partnerships and improved income position are significant positives, while technical indicators and valuation contribute to a stable outlook.
Positive Factors
Mandate Wins and Client Relationships
IVZ has been winning mandates and there is no reported 'anti' rhetoric or significant reallocation away from U.S.-based managers, reflecting stability in international client relationships.
Market Performance
IVZ shares rallied on 1Q earnings day, outperforming the S&P 500 and other traditional asset managers, reflecting strong market performance.
Partnerships and Strategic Agreements
Invesco and Barings announced a new strategic product and distribution partnership agreement with a focus on private credit, which could boost future growth.
Negative Factors
Earnings Projections
Lower management fees contribute to a decrease in earnings projections, reflecting potential financial challenges.
Economic Risks
Bear case risks are raised due to tariffs-induced drawdown, posing potential threats to financial stability.
Fee Structure Changes
The shift toward lower fee ETFs is likely to remain firmly intact, potentially impacting revenue growth negatively.

Invesco (IVZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Invesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInvesco Ltd. (IVZ) is a global independent investment management company headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. The company operates in the financial services sector, primarily focusing on providing a diverse range of investment solutions and services to clients worldwide. Invesco offers a wide array of products, including mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), unit trusts, and investment management services across various asset classes, including equities, fixed income, and alternative investments.
How the Company Makes MoneyInvesco generates revenue primarily through management fees, performance fees, and service fees associated with its investment products and services. The company's key revenue streams include fees earned from managing mutual funds, ETFs, and institutional accounts. Management fees are typically calculated as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream that scales with market performance and client investments. Performance fees are another source of revenue, charged as a percentage of investment gains above a certain benchmark or hurdle rate. Invesco also benefits from strategic partnerships and distribution agreements with financial institutions and advisors, which expand its reach and client base, further contributing to its earnings.

Invesco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Invesco Ltd. demonstrated strong growth and strategic initiatives in the first quarter, marked by significant net asset inflows, a beneficial partnership with MassMutual and Barings, and increased dividend payouts. However, challenges such as volatility in global markets, outflows in fundamental equities, and pressure on operating expenses moderated the overall positive sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Net Asset Inflows
Invesco Ltd. generated $17.6 billion in long-term net asset inflows, achieving a 5.3% annualized growth rate. This contributed to an 18% increase in adjusted operating income and a 330 basis point expansion in operating margins compared to the same quarter last year.
Strategic Partnership with MassMutual and Barings
Invesco Ltd. announced a new strategic product distribution partnership with MassMutual and Barings, including a $1 billion repurchase of preferred stock. This partnership is focused on delivering private credit-oriented income solutions to US wealth management clients, supported by MassMutual's initial investment of $650 million.
Record ETF Growth
Invesco Ltd.'s global ETF and index platform recorded 13% annualized organic growth in the first quarter. The QQQM ETF achieved near-record flows of $4 billion, and net new ETF flows in EMEA amounted to $8 billion.
Successful Preferred Stock Repurchase
Invesco Ltd. reached an agreement with MassMutual to repurchase $1 billion of preferred stock, providing balance sheet flexibility and anticipated EPS accretion of $0.13 on a run-rate basis once loans are repaid.
Dividend Increase
Invesco Ltd. announced an increase in its quarterly common stock dividend from $0.205 to $0.21 per share, reflecting strong cash position and cash flow.
Negative Updates
Decline in Fundamental Equities
The firm experienced net outflows of $7 billion in fundamental equities, particularly in the US region, although offset by inflows in EMEA and Asia Pacific regions.
Volatility Impacting Markets
Global financial markets have experienced increased volatility, which has tempered ETF demand and caused a shift towards more cautious asset allocation among investors.
Challenges in Operating Expenses
Despite efforts to manage operating expenses, there is increased difficulty in providing specific guidance due to recent market volatility. Seasonal compensation expenses were higher, and ongoing implementation of the Alpha platform incurs additional costs.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter earnings call for Invesco Ltd., the company reported robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. The quarter saw $17.6 billion in long-term net asset inflows, representing a 5.3% annualized growth rate. Adjusted operating income increased by 18%, with operating margins expanding by over 330 basis points compared to the same quarter last year. Invesco Ltd. also announced a significant new strategic product distribution partnership with MassMutual, entailing a $650 million seed investment, and a $1 billion repurchase of preferred stock to enhance balance sheet flexibility. The partnership with Barings aims to deliver private credit-oriented income solutions to U.S. wealth management clients. The company highlighted its geographic diversity and local presence across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific, which contributed to $15 billion in net long-term inflows from Asia Pacific and EMEA regions. Furthermore, despite market volatility, Invesco Ltd.'s global ETF and index platform recorded 13% annualized organic growth. The company also increased its quarterly common stock dividend and emphasized disciplined expense management to navigate the uncertain market environment.

Invesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Invesco's financial position reflects resilience and operational efficiency. The company has managed to recover from previous losses, evidenced by improved net income and strong cash flow generation. The absence of debt in the latest year significantly strengthens the balance sheet. However, revenue volatility and asset decline pose risks that need addressing to ensure sustained growth. Overall, Invesco is on a positive trajectory with key areas to monitor for continued financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Invesco demonstrated a solid income statement performance with a significant turnaround in net income, going from a loss in 2023 to a positive net income in 2024. The gross profit margin is strong as gross profit equals total revenue, indicating no cost of goods sold. Revenue growth is moderate, with a 6.13% increase from 2023 to 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, suggesting consistent operational efficiency. However, the decline in total revenue from 2021 to 2023 indicates potential revenue volatility challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Invesco shows a healthy equity position with no total debt in 2024, marking a significant improvement from previous years. The equity ratio stands strong at 53.89%, indicating a solid financial foundation. However, the decline in total assets from 2020 to 2024 and fluctuating stockholder's equity pose potential long-term challenges.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals robust free cash flow generation with a stable operating cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is commendable, contributing to financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showcasing efficient conversion of income to cash. Despite the positive cash flow position, the decline in cash and short-term investments suggests a need for prudent liquidity management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.12B6.07B5.72B6.05B6.89B6.15B
Gross Profit
2.93B2.03B2.01B2.44B2.31B2.39B
EBIT
896.30M832.10M835.70M1.32B1.79B1.39B
EBITDA
1.23B1.24B1.02B1.53B1.93B1.45B
Net Income Common Stockholders
804.40M774.80M-96.90M920.70M1.63B761.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.87B1.50B1.93B1.43B1.90B1.71B
Total Assets
28.14B27.01B28.93B29.76B32.69B36.50B
Total Debt
0.007.55B9.04B8.56B9.71B9.12B
Net Debt
-821.70M6.05B7.11B7.12B7.56B7.41B
Total Liabilities
12.36B11.34B13.02B12.91B16.01B21.48B
Stockholders Equity
14.70B14.56B14.60B15.21B15.50B14.36B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.08B1.12B1.14B510.30M969.30M1.12B
Operating Cash Flow
1.16B1.19B1.30B703.20M1.08B1.23B
Investing Cash Flow
263.70M68.40M-244.30M-375.60M-847.90M-865.10M
Financing Cash Flow
-984.00M-1.66B-585.40M-966.90M117.30M-285.90M

Invesco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.53
Price Trends
50DMA
14.06
Positive
100DMA
15.38
Negative
200DMA
16.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
48.88
Neutral
STOCH
67.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IVZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.70, above the 50-day MA of 14.06, and below the 200-day MA of 16.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IVZ.

Invesco Risk Analysis

Invesco disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Invesco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Invesco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ABAB
76
Outperform
$4.47B10.9020.69%7.96%53.17%
IVIVZ
76
Outperform
$6.69B11.645.50%5.62%5.69%
JHJHG
75
Outperform
$5.83B14.378.55%4.32%17.41%-4.75%
AMAMG
74
Outperform
$5.23B14.2812.81%0.02%-6.37%-28.43%
BXBX
68
Neutral
$171.54B42.7734.07%2.64%22.06%16.57%
STSTT
65
Neutral
$27.83B10.8011.21%3.11%15.02%66.71%
64
Neutral
$12.93B9.707.85%78.03%12.07%-7.83%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IVZ
Invesco
14.53
0.63
4.53%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
182.01
30.31
19.98%
AB
AllianceBernstein
39.41
9.17
30.32%
STT
State Street
96.14
26.85
38.75%
BX
Blackstone Group
136.41
17.44
14.66%
JHG
Janus Henderson Group
36.15
4.33
13.61%

Invesco Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Invesco Announces Strategic Hybrid Investment Solution
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Invesco Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting where shareholders elected eleven board members, approved executive compensation on a non-binding basis, and appointed PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Invesco also announced its decision to utilize both State Street and Blackrock platforms for its investment operations, aiming to leverage a hybrid solution to optimize client outcomes. This strategic move is expected to streamline operations without impacting the company’s 2025 expense guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVZ) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invesco stock, see the IVZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Invesco Secures Major Financial Agreements in May 2025
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Invesco Ltd. entered into significant financial agreements, including a $1.0 billion Term Loan Agreement and a $2.5 billion Credit Agreement. The Term Loan Agreement, involving a syndicate of banks, was used to finance the repurchase of $1.0 billion of the company’s preferred stock from MassMutual. The Credit Agreement amends a prior agreement, extending the credit facility to $2.5 billion for general corporate purposes. These agreements include various covenants and financial ratios that Invesco must maintain, impacting its financial strategy and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVZ) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invesco stock, see the IVZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.