Moncler S.p.A. (MONC) AI Stock Analysis

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Moncler S.p.A.

(Milan:MONC)

Select Model

Rating:75Outperform

Price Target:EUR 51.00▲(15.96% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance—premium-brand profitability, healthy balance sheet leverage, and solid cash generation—partly offset by a recent slowdown in growth and mild margin/return softening. Technicals add only moderate support because the stock is still below longer-term moving averages, while valuation is broadly reasonable with a mid P/E and a ~3% dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Premium-brand profitabilitySustained high gross margins and strong operating profitability support Moncler’s premium-brand economics. This indicates meaningful pricing power and a business model capable of funding brand investment, retail expansion, and product development while preserving attractive earnings quality over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Moderating revenue growthThe recent slowdown in revenue growth suggests that the strong expansion seen through 2023 is becoming harder to maintain. Slower top-line progress can reduce operating leverage, limit the pace of earnings growth, and increase the importance of successful product, channel, and geographic execution.

Moncler S.p.A. (MONC) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Market Cap: EUR 12.05B
Dividend Yield: 3.18%
Average Volume (3M): 1.10M
Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.0
Beta (1Y): 0.89
Revenue Growth: 2.96%
EPS Growth: 3.85%
Country: Italy
Employees: 8,032
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers

Moncler S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Moncler S.p.A., an Italy-based luxury group, specializes in the design, production, and worldwide distribution of high-end apparel and accompanying accessories for men, women, and children. Its renowned labels are Moncler and Stone Island. The compan...

How the Company Makes Money

Moncler makes money by selling branded luxury apparel and accessories through two main channels: (1) Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and (2) Wholesale. In DTC, the company generates revenue from sales in its directly operated stores (including flagships and...

Moncler S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

High-quality financial profile supported by strong profitability (consistently high gross margin and solid operating margins), healthy leverage (low-to-moderate debt-to-equity), and reliable positive operating cash flow with robust free cash flow. Offsets are moderating revenue growth and slight softening in margins/returns recently, plus some year-to-year free cash flow volatility.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

84Very Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.20B	3.13B	3.11B	2.98B	2.60B	2.05B
Gross Profit	2.50B	2.45B	2.43B	2.30B	1.76B	1.37B
EBITDA	1.28B	1.27B	1.25B	1.19B	1.04B	827.47M
Net Income	637.92M	626.67M	639.60M	611.93M	606.70M	393.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.73B	5.96B	5.50B	4.99B	4.64B	4.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	512.88M	1.23B	1.19B	998.80M	882.25M	932.72M
Total Debt	1.24B	1.13B	957.31M	848.59M	912.78M	913.92M
Total Liabilities	2.08B	2.11B	1.92B	1.78B	1.74B	1.77B
Stockholders Equity	3.65B	3.85B	3.59B	3.21B	2.90B	2.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	798.94M	740.40M	832.37M	738.44M	492.72M	733.49M
Operating Cash Flow	1.03B	960.51M	1.02B	914.87M	662.58M	865.31M
Investing Cash Flow	-783.25M	-300.04M	-267.43M	-174.07M	-167.10M	-621.41M
Financing Cash Flow	-630.22M	-602.26M	-535.17M	-596.63M	-391.25M	-345.18M

Moncler S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price43.98

Price Trends

50DMA44.04Negative

100DMA46.76Negative

200DMA49.39Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.23Negative

RSI48.74Neutral

STOCH39.05Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:MONC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.82, below the 50-day MA of 44.04, and below the 200-day MA of 49.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:MONC.

Moncler S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IT:MONC against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IT:MONC	75Outperform	EUR 12.05B	19.04	17.01%	3.18%	2.96%	3.85%
IT:BC	69Neutral	EUR 5.97B	42.67	25.21%	1.20%	9.78%	4.63%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
IT:AEF	48Neutral	EUR 10.53M	0.53	21.85%	―	―	―
IT:SFER	48Neutral	EUR 1.08B	111.69	1.65%	―	-1.57%	―
IT:GEO	43Neutral	EUR 121.34M	-7.53	-20.19%	―	-11.56%	40.03%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

IT:MONC and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
IT:MONC	Moncler S.p.A.	43.98	-12.48	-22.11%
IT:AEF	Aeffe S.p.A.	0.10	-0.17	-62.09%
IT:GEO	Geox SpA	0.28	-0.03	-9.24%
IT:PQ	Piquadro SpA	2.28	0.10	4.64%
IT:SFER	Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A.	6.54	-1.05	-13.88%
IT:BC	Brunello Cucinelli	86.62	-2.90	-3.24%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026

Moncler S.p.A. AI Stock Analysis