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Gefran SPA
(GE)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
€13.00
▲(18.72% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/11/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial strength (low leverage and strong recent revenue growth), supported by a constructive technical uptrend (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). The main constraints are cash-flow volatility and weaker cash conversion alongside some margin compression, while valuation is broadly reasonable with an appealing dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong recent revenue growth
A ~+153% TTM revenue inflection signals materially stronger demand and successful commercial traction across products. Durable top-line growth expands scale, funds R&D and aftermarket support, and increases bargaining power with OEM customers, strengthening long-term competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Net margin compression
Net margin erosion from historical 8–11% to ~6.8% suggests cost inflation, adverse product mix, or weaker operating leverage. If persistent, lower net conversion undermines retained earnings, reduces ROE and limits the firm's ability to self-fund growth or maintain dividend payouts over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong recent revenue growth
A ~+153% TTM revenue inflection signals materially stronger demand and successful commercial traction across products. Durable top-line growth expands scale, funds R&D and aftermarket support, and increases bargaining power with OEM customers, strengthening long-term competitive positioning.
Read all positive factors
Gefran SPA (GE) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)
Market Cap
€160.98M
Dividend Yield3.86%
Average Volume (3M)32.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)16.1
Beta (1Y)0.47
Revenue Growth2.93%
EPS Growth-5.68%
CountryIT
Employees745
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryHardware, Equipment & Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.70
Shares Outstanding14,400,000
10 Day Avg. Volume35,066
30 Day Avg. Volume32,002
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.34
Price to Book (P/B)1.50
Price to Sales (P/S)1.09
P/FCF Ratio10.90
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€14.30Price Target Upside30.59% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.69
Revenue Forecast (FY)€144.00M
Gefran SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Gefran S.p.A., along with its affiliated companies, engineers and manufactures industrial process control solutions and automation components. Its global operations extend across Italy, Europe, North and South America, and Asia. The company organi...
How the Company Makes Money
Gefran makes money primarily by selling industrial hardware and related solutions to OEMs, system integrators, and end users. Key revenue streams include: (1) Sensors: revenue from supplying measurement devices (e.g., position, pressure, temperatu...
Gefran SPA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 140.97M | 138.96M | 132.61M | 132.78M | 132.52M | 116.22M |
| Gross Profit | 79.39M | 99.47M | 95.43M | 71.86M | 70.58M | 62.32M |
| EBITDA | 22.57M | 22.44M | 23.06M | 24.14M | 24.99M | 22.83M |
| Net Income | 9.99M | 9.87M | 11.14M | 11.65M | 9.99M | 13.69M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 167.10M | 163.54M | 162.69M | 165.18M | 154.26M | 178.68M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 43.32M | 53.14M | 59.63M | 57.61M | 44.11M | 35.50M |
| Total Debt | 17.80M | 20.23M | 25.30M | 34.79M | 20.41M | 34.30M |
| Total Liabilities | 64.44M | 62.71M | 59.20M | 71.24M | 63.54M | 93.14M |
| Stockholders Equity | 102.66M | 100.83M | 99.34M | 93.94M | 90.72M | 85.54M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.04M | 13.88M | 20.29M | 9.54M | 13.59M | 19.94M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 21.40M | 23.27M | 26.66M | 20.10M | 19.90M | 27.38M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -14.98M | -14.12M | -6.33M | -8.11M | 15.74M | -8.81M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -13.91M | -14.60M | -17.90M | 636.00K | -25.88M | -25.14M |
Gefran SPA Technical Analysis
Positive
10.95
Price Trends
10.94
Positive
10.81
Positive
10.59
Positive
Market Momentum
0.09
Positive
52.72
Neutral
45.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:GE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.13, above the 50-day MA of 10.94, and above the 200-day MA of 10.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:GE.
Gefran SPA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | €160.98M | 16.06 | 9.43% | 3.93% | 2.93% | -5.68% | |
73 Outperform | €3.90B | 18.20 | 10.05% | 1.02% | 0.99% | -0.11% | |
71 Outperform | €1.37B | 28.61 | 21.48% | 2.42% | 9.32% | 8.88% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
53 Neutral | €303.64M | 69.79 | 2.04% | 2.11% | 3.51% | 34.78% | |
48 Neutral | €85.95M | -8.13 | -12.32% | ― | 4.21% | 83.28% | |
43 Neutral | €10.49M | -0.31 | 17.04% | ― | 74.59% | ― |
* General Sector Average
IT:GE
Gefran SPA
11.15
1.09
10.78%
IT:CMB
Cembre SPA
80.10
18.52
30.08%
IT:DAL
Datalogic SPA
5.67
1.51
36.23%
IT:ETH
Eurotech S.p.A.
1.35
0.40
41.89%
IT:FDA
Fidia Spa
0.01
-0.27
-96.48%
IT:IP
Interpump Group SPA
36.14
-4.28
-10.58%
Gefran SPA Corporate Events
Gefran Board Approves Half-Year Financial Report for 30 June 2026
Aug 7, 2026
Gefran S.p.A. has announced that its Board of Directors has approved the half-year financial report for the period ended 30 June 2026, in accordance with Italian financial market regulations. The report is now available to investors and the public...
Gefran Publishes Minutes of April 2026 Shareholders’ Meeting
May 22, 2026
Gefran S.p.A. has announced that the minutes from its shareholders’ meeting held on April 23, 2026, are now publicly available through multiple official channels. Investors and other stakeholders can access the documentation at the company&#...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.