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TJX Companies (1TJX) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:1TJX

TJX Companies

(Milan:1TJX)

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Positive Factors
Margin expansion and cash generationTJX is converting scale and merchandising discipline into stronger profitability, with operating and net margins well above FY2023 levels. Robust operating cash flow and free cash flow provide internal funding for stores, digital initiatives, shareholder returns, and resilience through changing retail conditions.
Negative Factors
Marmaxx execution weaknessMarmaxx is a major TJX banner, so weak comparable growth and lower transactions in that division could weigh on consolidated performance if the assortment and store-placement issues persist. Recovery depends on management executing its corrective actions and restoring customer traffic and conversion.

TJX Companies (1TJX) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%IT:1TJX-1.14%EWI+9.88%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 152.45B
Dividend Yield
1.24%
Average Volume (3M)
26
Price to Earnings (P/E)
25.6
Beta (1Y)
0.05
Revenue Growth
1.00%
EPS Growth
15.81%
Country
Italy
Employees
377,000
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Apparel - Retail

TJX Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The TJX Companies, Inc., alongside its various associated businesses, functions as a major discount retailer focusing on clothing and household decor. Its operations are organized into four primary divisions: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX I...

TJX Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:-9.56%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a predominantly positive picture: consolidated comps and profitability exceeded plan, EPS rose double digits, multiple divisions (HomeGoods, Canada, International) delivered strong comps and margin expansion, management raised full-year guidance, and increased long-term store opportunity alongside large digital engagement. Headwinds are concentrated: Marmaxx execution/mix issues (self‑inflicted but being addressed), near-term gross margin pressure from higher fuel/freight, modest wage-driven SG&A pressure, and reporting complexity from tariff refunds. Management expressed confidence in fixes and a strong start to Q3, and the positive operational and financial developments notably outweigh the contained lowlights.

Positive Updates

Consolidated Comparable Sales Beat
Consolidated comparable sales +4% in Q2, above the company's plan; growth driven by higher average basket and increased customer transactions, with home categories outperforming apparel.

Negative Updates

Marmaxx Underperformance and Execution Issues
Marmaxx comp sales only +1% in Q2, below expectations; management identified self-inflicted merchandise mix and execution issues (right goods not in right stores/times) that led to a small decline in transactions. Company reports improvement in August and expects greater recovery by Q4.

Company Guidance

On an adjusted basis (excluding the tariff refunds received and related incremental compensation accruals), TJX guided Q3 comps +2%–3% with consolidated sales $15.6–$15.8B (+3%–5% y/y), adjusted pretax margin 12.3%–12.4% (down 30–40 bps vs prior-year 12.7%), adjusted gross margin 32.1%–32.2% (down 40–50 bps vs 32.6%), adjusted SG&A 20.0% (10 bps favorable vs 20.1%), assumed net interest income $28M (neutral), tax rate 24.6%, ~1.11B weighted average shares, and adjusted diluted EPS $1.30–$1.32 (+2%–3% vs $1.28). For the full year management expects comps +3%–4%, consolidated sales $63.4–$63.8B (+5%–6%), raised adjusted pretax margin to 12.0%–12.1% (up 30–40 bps vs prior-year 11.7%), full-year adjusted gross margin 31.2%–31.3% (up 20–30 bps), adjusted SG&A 19.5% (flat), assumed net interest income ~$131M (neutral), tax rate 24.6%, ~1.12B shares, and increased adjusted diluted EPS to $5.15–$5.20 (+9%–10% vs $4.73). Q4 implied comps +2%–3%, adjusted pretax margin 11.9%–12.0% (down 20–30 bps vs 12.2%) and adjusted EPS $1.44–$1.47 (+1%–3% vs $1.43); guidance assumes no further tax refunds and excludes related accruals.

TJX Companies Risk Analysis

TJX Companies disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TJX Companies reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Macro & Political - Risks related to catastrophic events or geopolitical conditions that may disrupt the company’s business

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

TJX Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

IT:1TJX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
URBNURBN82Outperform$7.86B13.4720.72%―11.01%24.97%
ROSTROST71Outperform$78.50B28.2442.34%0.74%14.02%31.41%
GAPGAP69Neutral$8.34B6.5533.13%3.08%1.05%44.82%
BURLBURL68Neutral$16.23B22.5139.82%―10.89%31.47%
LULULULU62Neutral$12.98B9.1829.73%―1.74%-16.55%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%IT:1TJXGAPLULUROSTURBNBURLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IT:1TJX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IT:1TJXTJX Companies123.00-1.41-1.14%
GAPGap, Inc.21.48-1.90-8.13%
LULULululemon Athletica110.79-59.56-34.96%
ROSTRoss Stores231.0970.5143.91%
URBNUrban Outfitters84.7022.6836.57%
BURLBurlington Stores Inc246.76-35.34-12.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.