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Public Service Enterprise (1PEG) AI Stock Analysis

IT:1PEG

Public Service Enterprise

(Milan:1PEG)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Regulated growth investmentThe sizeable regulated capital program provides a multi-year avenue for rate-base expansion and supports management’s 6%–8% earnings CAGR outlook through 2030. A funded investment pipeline can strengthen network assets, reinforce the utility franchise, and support durable earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Elevated leveragePersistent debt in the mid-$20 billion range and debt-to-equity near 1.4x leave PSEG meaningfully leveraged, even if typical for a regulated utility. This structure can reduce financial flexibility and increase exposure to refinancing and interest-cost pressure.

Public Service Enterprise (1PEG) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%IT:1PEG-3.18%EWI+11.45%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 37.05B
Dividend Yield
3.40%
Average Volume (3M)
4
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.4
Beta (1Y)
0.35
Revenue Growth
9.44%
EPS Growth
-5.26%
Country
Italy
Employees
13,189
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Electric

Public Service Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE...

Public Service Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:0.55%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a mix of operational and strategic positives — strong storm response, robust nuclear output, confirmed guidance, sizeable customer savings from energy-efficiency programs, substantial planned capital investment with funding capacity, and a recent regulatory win that benefits customers. Offsetting these strengths were notable near-term GAAP earnings headwinds (sharp drop in Q2 net income per share), a year-over-year swing to a net loss in PSEG Power, the end of ZEC revenues, inflation-driven higher O&M and financing costs, and regulatory risks (potential RTO incentive elimination). On balance, management emphasized stability, reaffirmed guidance, and highlighted multiple growth and customer-benefit initiatives, suggesting that the positives materially outweigh the negatives.

Positive Updates

Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance and Multi-Year Growth Outlook
Company reaffirmed 2026 full-year non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share and reiterated a 5-year non-GAAP operating earnings CAGR outlook of 6% to 8% through 2030.

Negative Updates

Q2 GAAP Net Income Decline
GAAP net income per share fell to $0.67 in Q2 2026 from $1.17 in Q2 2025, a decline of approximately 42.7% year-over-year, indicating a notable drop in reported earnings despite non-GAAP improvement.

Company Guidance

PSEG reaffirmed full‑year 2026 non‑GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28–$4.40 per share and its 5‑year non‑GAAP operating earnings CAGR outlook of 6%–8% through 2030, supported by a total 5‑year capital investment program of $24–$28 billion (PSE&G 5‑year regulated CapEx $22.5–$25.5 billion) and an expected 2026 regulated CapEx plan of ≈$4.2 billion (Q2 CapEx ≈$1 billion); the company reported Q2 net income of $0.67/share and non‑GAAP operating earnings of $0.86/share (1H: net income $2.15/share; non‑GAAP $2.41/share), noted PSEG Nuclear supplied 7.8 TWh in the quarter with a 92% capacity factor and cleared ~3,600 MW at $325/MW‑day in PJM, highlighted customer and regulatory benefits including a ~$166 million 12‑month ZEC refund, >$1 billion in annual Clean Energy Future customer savings for ~525,000 customers, a PJM transmission cost allocation prospective benefit of ~$65 million annually (≈$33 million benefit June–Dec 2026), PSE&G’s storm restoration of ~380,000 customers aided by >330 crews and >10 million proactive customer communications, maintained $3.4 billion liquidity (≈$200 million cash), issued $500 million of 4.8% senior notes due 2031, and reiterated it can fund the plan without issuing equity while planning a PSE&G base rate filing by year‑end 2026.

Public Service Enterprise Risk Analysis

Public Service Enterprise disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Public Service Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Item 1. Legal proceedingsQ2, 2026

Public Service Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

IT:1PEG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
EXCEXC67Neutral$47.65B17.968.95%3.60%6.67%―
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
EDED64Neutral$42.99B19.068.90%3.01%9.50%10.40%
FEFE63Neutral$27.16B22.619.41%3.88%12.20%-9.94%
PPLPPL62Neutral$26.83B20.978.53%3.16%6.73%26.95%
ESES51Neutral$25.82B17.768.91%4.54%7.75%66.25%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%IT:1PEGEDEXCFEESPPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IT:1PEG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IT:1PEGPublic Service Enterprise66.50-1.22-1.80%
EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.116.6423.1024.70%
EXCExelon Corp.46.161.603.58%
FEFirstEnergy Corp46.912.655.98%
ESEversource Energy68.55-2.53-3.56%
PPLPPL Corporation35.650.381.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.