Itron (1ITRI) AI Stock Analysis

Itron

(Milan:1ITRI)

Rating:―N/A

Action:N/A

Date:―

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Positive Factors

Profitability recoveryThe shift from losses to solid profitability indicates a meaningful operating turnaround, supported by stronger gross and EBIT margins. If maintained, this improvement can strengthen internal funding capacity, support investment in utility technology, and provide resilience across project cycles.

Negative Factors

Top-line volatilityThe wide swings in reported revenue growth indicate that project timing and deployment patterns can make the top line uneven. This volatility complicates forecasting, may create inconsistent utilization of operating resources, and can obscure the underlying pace of durable customer adoption.

Itron (1ITRI) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Market Cap: EUR 4.20B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 29
Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.3
Beta (1Y): 0.65
Revenue Growth: -8.54%
EPS Growth: 5.41%
Country: Italy
Employees: 4,987
Sector: Technology
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Hardware, Equipment & Parts

Itron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Itron, Inc., a technology, solutions, and service company, provides end-to-end solutions that help manage energy, water, and smart city operations worldwide. It operates in four segments: Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, and Resilienc...

Itron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:10.30%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 28, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Itron reported revenue growth, record adjusted EBITDA, significant operating-income and EPS growth, accelerating recurring revenue, strong bookings and backlog, margin expansion across major segments, improved full-year EPS guidance, and broad customer adoption. The main negatives were lower free cash flow, 1% declines in Device Solutions and Network Solutions revenue, rising component costs, higher expected fourth-quarter OpEx, inflation affecting utility budgets, and the fact that the sizable gas opportunity has not yet meaningfully appeared in bookings or the P&L.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Financial Performance

Itron reported third-quarter revenue of $599 million, at the top end of its outlook range and up 3% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA was $115 million, or 19.2% of revenue, setting a new quarterly record, while non-GAAP earnings per share was $1.94, ahead of expectations.

Negative Updates

Free Cash Flow Declined Year Over Year

Third-quarter free cash flow declined to $96 million from $113 million in the prior year. Management attributed the decrease primarily to growth in working capital, higher tax payments, and lower interest income.

Company Guidance

Itron anticipates Q4 revenue to be within the range of $621 million to $636 million, which at the midpoint is up 10% versus last year and 5% sequentially, narrowing the full year outlook range to $2.37 billion to $2.385 billion; fourth quarter non-GAAP earnings per share are expected to be within a range of $1.70 to $1.80 per diluted share, raising the full year EPS outlook to a range of $6.72 to $6.82 per diluted share. Q4 is typically a much higher quarter than Q3 for OpEx and is typically the highest bookings quarter, but the company is not gonna guide specifically to book to bill and is not gonna get into guiding 2027 today.

Itron Risk Analysis

Itron disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Itron reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Itron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

IT:1ITRI against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ST	74Outperform	$5.86B	16.04	12.57%	1.19%	3.84%	―
ESE	73Outperform	$7.37B	19.58	19.97%	0.13%	16.55%	23.43%
ACFN	70Outperform	$42.69M	27.47	18.95%	―	-27.50%	-78.54%
LFUS	65Neutral	$9.99B	291.17	1.47%	0.78%	18.72%	-74.52%
TRMB	62Neutral	$15.14B	-138.17	-1.87%	―	5.80%	-140.22%
Sector *	61Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

IT:1ITRI and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
IT:1ITRI	Itron Inc	86.08	-3.42	-3.82%
ACFN	Acorn Energy, Inc.	17.01	-7.17	-29.65%
ESE	Esco Technologies	237.70	15.87	7.15%
LFUS	Littelfuse	393.08	145.99	59.09%
ST	Sensata Technologies	40.27	8.83	28.10%
TRMB	Trimble Inc.	64.94	-14.63	-18.39%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Itron AI Stock Analysis