Indra Sistemas AI Stock Analysis
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Indra Sistemas (ISMAY) AI Stock Analysis
Indra Sistemas
(Other OTC:ISMAY)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (notably strong cash generation and steady revenue growth) and a strong earnings-call backdrop with reaffirmed guidance and record backlog. These positives are moderated by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support.
Indra Sistemas (ISMAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $5.66B
- Dividend Yield
- 0.53%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 7,890
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 20.4
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.63
- Revenue Growth
- 35.15%
- EPS Growth
- 36.20%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 62,396
- Sector
- Technology
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
Indra Sistemas Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Indra Sistemas, S.A. is a global technology and consulting firm. The company's operations span the complete lifecycle of technology solutions, from their design, development, and production to integration, ongoing operation, maintenance, repair, and...
Indra Sistemas Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive, with broad-based double-digit growth, record backlog and order intake, substantial defense and space momentum, improved profitability, strong reported liquidity and reaffirmed full-year guidance. The main challenges were the normalization of cash flow as PEM prepayments are deployed, defense margin dilution from TESS and program mix, slower Minsait organic growth, and limited disclosure on future space investment returns.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For 2026, Indra reaffirmed guidance of EUR 7 billion revenues and EUR 200 million EBIT, with full year free cash flow of more than EUR 375 million, excluding the impact of PEM related prepayments; defense revenues are expected to increase around 80%, ex-space, with around EUR 600 million from PEMs, more than EUR 400 million from TESS, defense EBIT margin around 18% to 19%, and clearly exceeding guidance of 90 units for 2026; space revenue is expected to finish above EUR 400 million, ATM is expected to deliver double-digit growth with EBIT around 12% and 15%, Minsait revenues are expected to grow low single digits with EBIT similar than last year at around 6.6%, and mobility revenues are expected to grow around mid-single digit with EBIT around 5%; for the EUR 1.9 billion IRIS2 revenues, around 70% is expected to be recognized by the end of 2030 and 30% from 2031 to 2035, while commercialization-related CapEx is expected to be between EUR 500 million and EUR 540 million, with less than EUR 100 million until 2030 and the bulk from 2031 onwards, and the truck support vehicle project is expected to be released before the year-end.
Indra Sistemas Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong operating and free cash flow generation (TTM) and steady revenue expansion support a solid financial profile, with improving profitability versus earlier years. Offsetting factors are the sharp TTM gross margin drop and volatility in free cash flow growth, which raise questions about earnings quality and sustainability. Balance sheet leverage has improved and ROE is strong, but total debt remains significant.
Income Statement
74PositiveBalance Sheet
63PositiveCash Flow
78Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.49B | 5.24B | 4.84B | 4.34B | 3.85B | 3.39B |
| Gross Profit | 952.61M | 1.24B | 1.68B | 1.08B | 1.29B | 1.04B |
| EBITDA | 921.03M | 567.81M | 545.28M | 455.06M | 388.86M | 340.79M |
| Net Income | 499.06M | 418.63M | 277.54M | 205.75M | 171.90M | 143.37M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 12.26B | 9.35B | 4.96B | 4.72B | 4.54B | 4.54B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.66B | 975.78M | 556.58M | 656.29M | 974.10M | 1.26B |
| Total Debt | 1.44B | 1.75B | 850.87M | 1.04B | 1.24B | 1.58B |
| Total Liabilities | 9.88B | 7.23B | 3.64B | 3.59B | 3.53B | 3.69B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.09B | 1.73B | 1.30B | 1.12B | 987.01M | 820.17M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.16B | 429.50M | 339.89M | 316.81M | 296.14M | 295.48M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.58B | 471.84M | 450.89M | 379.52M | 350.26M | 344.64M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -821.56M | -869.27M | -81.91M | -274.27M | -55.27M | -26.77M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 564.55M | 778.07M | -333.72M | -439.63M | -605.62M | -269.20M |
Indra Sistemas Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ISMAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.54, below the 50-day MA of 34.41, and above the 200-day MA of 32.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ISMAY.
Indra Sistemas Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SAIC84Outperform
LDOS73Outperform
CACI72Outperform- ISMAY68Neutral
PSN67Neutral
DXC60Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAIC | 84Outperform | $6.39B | 17.56 | 25.89% | 0.98% | -0.78% | 3.90% |
| LDOS | 73Outperform | $16.33B | 11.67 | 28.04% | 1.31% | 2.67% | 4.32% |
| CACI | 72Outperform | $14.35B | 26.39 | 12.37% | ― | 10.12% | 7.58% |
| ISMAY | 68Neutral | $11.63B | 20.42 | 26.31% | 0.53% | 35.15% | 36.20% |
| PSN | 67Neutral | $5.34B | 36.40 | 5.58% | ― | -2.67% | -61.86% |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
| DXC | 60Neutral | $2.37B | 20.88 | 3.67% | ― | -2.81% | -67.00% |
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISMAY | Indra Sistemas, S.A. | 32.20 | 2.99 | 10.22% | |
| CACI | Caci International | 643.88 | 53.05 | 8.98% | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International Corp. | 151.24 | 63.79 | 72.95% | |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings Inc | 131.11 | -58.11 | -30.71% | |
| DXC | Dxc Technology Company | 14.85 | 1.94 | 15.03% | |
| PSN | Parsons Corp | 49.87 | -32.76 | -39.65% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026