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Independence Realty Trust (IRT)
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Independence Realty (IRT) AI Stock Analysis

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IRT

Independence Realty

(NYSE:IRT)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(2.51% Upside)
The overall stock score of 55 reflects a mixed outlook for Independence Realty. The most significant factor is the strong revenue growth, but this is offset by declining profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. The earnings call provides some optimism with strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies, but challenges in rent growth and market conditions remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability and shareholder value.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency through cost management supports sustainable profitability and enhances competitive positioning in the market.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions expand the portfolio, providing growth opportunities and enhancing market presence, contributing to long-term success.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining profit margins indicate challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Concerns
Weak cash flow generation can limit investment capacity and financial flexibility, posing risks to ongoing operations and growth initiatives.
Market Supply Pressures
Supply pressures can lead to reduced rental income and occupancy rates, challenging revenue growth and profitability in key markets.

Independence Realty (IRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Independence Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndependence Realty (IRT) is a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition, development, and management of multifamily residential properties across the United States. The company focuses on providing quality housing options in key metropolitan areas, striving to enhance the living experience for its residents while delivering value to its investors. IRT's portfolio includes a diverse range of properties, emphasizing sustainable practices and community engagement.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndependence Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its multifamily residential properties. As a REIT, it is required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends, which incentivizes the company to maintain high occupancy rates and optimize property management. Additionally, IRT may earn revenue from property management fees, leasing commissions, and ancillary services offered to tenants. Significant partnerships with local developers and property management firms also contribute to its earnings, allowing IRT to expand its portfolio and enhance operational efficiencies.

Independence Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of the company's performance. While there were notable achievements in terms of core FFO growth, successful renovations, and strategic acquisitions, the company faced challenges with rent growth, market conditions, and supply pressures. The revised outlook reflects these challenges, but operational efficiencies and investment strategies provide a positive long-term outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core FFO Per Share Increase
Core FFO per share was $0.28 in the second quarter of 2025, up from $0.27 per share in Q1 of this year.
Same-Store NOI Growth
Same-store NOI grew 2% in the quarter, driven by a 1% increase in same-store revenue and a 60 basis point decrease in operating expenses over the prior year.
Successful Value-Add Renovations
Completed 454 value-add renovations during the quarter and a total of 729 completions for the first 6 months of the year, achieving a weighted average return on investment of 16.2%.
Operating Expense Reduction
Same-store operating expenses decreased 60 basis points over the prior year quarter, driven by lower repair and maintenance costs, real estate taxes, and a reduction in insurance premiums.
Acquisition and Investment Strategy
Under contract to acquire 2 communities in Orlando for an aggregate purchase price of $155 million, with a strong acquisition pipeline and $315 million of acquisitions planned before year-end.
Negative Updates
Blended Rent Growth Below Expectations
Blended rent growth in the quarter lagged expectations due to market conditions that were softer than anticipated, with supply pressures and macroeconomic uncertainties affecting market rents.
Negative New Lease Trade-Outs
New lease trade-outs were down 3.1% in the second quarter, with supply-heavy markets like Atlanta, Dallas, Denver, Raleigh, and Charlotte contributing heavily to these negative trade-outs.
Revised Revenue Growth Outlook
Updated guidance assumes full year same-store revenue growth of between 1.5% to 1.9%, which represents a 90 basis point reduction at the midpoint due to lower new lease growth.
Supply Pressures in Key Markets
Lingering supply pressures in markets like Dallas and Denver, with increased concessions and rent reductions affecting pricing power and occupancy.
Company Guidance
During the Independence Realty Trust Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and updates on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Core FFO per share increased to $0.28 in Q2 from $0.27 in Q1. Same-store NOI grew by 2% due to a 1% increase in same-store revenue and a 60 basis point decrease in operating expenses compared to the previous year. The occupancy rate improved by 10 basis points, while average effective monthly rents increased by 90 basis points. Additionally, operating expenses saw a 3% decline in noncontrollable expenses. The company revised its 2025 guidance, with expected full-year same-store revenue growth adjusted to between 1.5% to 1.9% and a marginal increase in NOI growth to 2.1%. The company expects to complete $315 million in acquisitions by the end of the year, including two communities in Orlando for $155 million. The updated outlook also reflects a reduction in new lease growth expectations but anticipates strong retention and renewal rates to drive performance.

Independence Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Independence Realty demonstrates strong revenue growth and stable gross margins, indicating effective revenue management. However, declining net profit margins and return on equity suggest challenges in maintaining profitability. The balance sheet shows improved leverage ratios, but cash flow generation has weakened, posing risks to financial flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Independence Realty shows a strong revenue growth trajectory, particularly in the TTM period with a 59.1% increase, indicating robust expansion. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 4.31% in the TTM, down from 6.14% in the previous year, suggesting challenges in maintaining profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 58.8%, reflecting consistent cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased, indicating potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.66 in the TTM from 0.68 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 0.81% from 1.14%, reflecting lower profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Overall, the balance sheet shows moderate stability with room for improvement in profitability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -10.77% in the TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.79, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.42, indicating some challenges in translating earnings into free cash flow. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects adequate cash management but highlights potential risks in sustaining free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue644.53M640.03M660.98M628.52M250.25M211.91M
Gross Profit379.30M374.52M167.37M372.22M147.46M120.43M
EBITDA337.20M350.28M291.08M345.35M220.88M105.21M
Net Income27.76M39.29M-17.23M33.70M8.19M-21.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.96B6.06B6.28B6.53B6.51B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.53M21.23M22.85M16.08M35.97M8.75M
Total Debt2.25B2.33B2.43B4.60B2.71B945.69M
Total Liabilities2.41B2.48B2.71B2.79B2.86B1.02B
Stockholders Equity3.42B3.44B3.43B3.60B3.48B708.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow116.89M84.69M115.54M165.56M9.28M37.56M
Operating Cash Flow275.29M259.75M262.17M249.54M52.26M74.96M
Investing Cash Flow-293.50M-20.61M-1.71M-135.77M-216.12M-124.54M
Financing Cash Flow13.34M-246.43M-253.74M-135.43M215.92M48.76M

Independence Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.12
Price Trends
50DMA
16.72
Negative
100DMA
17.01
Negative
200DMA
18.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
24.40
Positive
STOCH
16.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.14, below the 50-day MA of 16.72, and below the 200-day MA of 18.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.40 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IRT.

Independence Realty Risk Analysis

Independence Realty disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Independence Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Independence Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
$1.34B24.155.94%2.17%3.37%
$1.04B-32.67-3.35%5.22%-0.63%-123.59%
$3.63B130.820.81%4.18%-1.54%
$764.32M-11.06-38.53%8.00%7.07%69.54%
$769.37M-15.77-12.65%6.68%-4.46%-206.19%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRT
Independence Realty
15.12
-3.94
-20.67%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
5.37
-0.36
-6.28%
VRE
Veris Residential
14.30
-2.18
-13.23%
CSR
Centerspace
58.60
-8.88
-13.16%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
30.21
-10.20
-25.24%
MRP
Millrose Properties Inc Class A
32.09
10.47
48.43%

Independence Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Independence Realty Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

In its third quarter 2025 financial results, Independence Realty Trust reported an EPS of $0.03 and a CFFO per share of $0.29, both aligning with expectations. The company achieved a 2.7% growth in same-store net operating income and completed 788 unit renovations with a 14.8% ROI. IRT also acquired two communities in Orlando for $155 million, reflecting its strategy to recycle capital into higher growth investments. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with conservative leverage and reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance midpoints.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Other
Independence Realty Releases New Investor Presentation
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. announced that a slide presentation, which may be used in investor presentations, will be available starting September 10, 2025. This information is provided for informational purposes and is not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Independence Realty Trust’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Moves Amid Revenue Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Independence Realty Trust’s recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, balancing effective cost management and strategic acquisitions against challenges in revenue growth and market-specific pressures. The company remains optimistic about future improvements, supported by a robust acquisition pipeline and a favorable supply outlook, although current market conditions have led to downward revisions in revenue expectations.

Independence Realty Trust Reports Steady Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (IRT) is a real estate investment trust that focuses on owning and operating multifamily apartment communities across non-gateway U.S. markets, with a strategy centered on gaining scale near major employment centers. In its second quarter of 2025 financial results, IRT reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.03 and core funds from operations (CFFO) per share of $0.28, both aligning with expectations. The company experienced a 2.0% increase in same-store net operating income (NOI), supported by stable occupancy and rental rate growth, while operating expenses declined by 0.6% due to operating efficiencies and favorable insurance renewals. IRT completed 454 unit renovations under its value-add program, achieving a 16.2% return on investment. The company is evaluating a robust pipeline of future acquisitions, including two communities in Orlando, Florida, under contract for acquisition in the third quarter of 2025. IRT’s balance sheet remains strong with conservative leverage and ample liquidity to support growth. Looking forward, IRT’s management remains optimistic about capital deployment opportunities and is increasing the midpoint of its same-store NOI growth guidance for the full year 2025.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Independence Realty Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Independence Realty Trust announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting an EPS of $0.03 and CFFO per share of $0.28, both aligning with expectations. The company achieved a 2.0% increase in same-store portfolio NOI, supported by stable occupancy and rental rate growth, while operating expenses declined by 0.6% due to operational efficiencies and favorable insurance renewals. IRT completed 454 renovations in its value-add program, achieving an average ROI of 16.2%. The company is evaluating future acquisitions, with two communities in Orlando under contract for Q3 2025, and has identified three properties for disposition in the second half of the year. Despite a slight decrease in net income compared to the previous year, IRT maintains a strong balance sheet with conservative leverage and ample liquidity to support growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025