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Ideal Power (IPWR) AI Stock Analysis

IPWR

Ideal Power

(NASDAQ:IPWR)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:$2.50▼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/24/26

IPWR scores low mainly due to very weak financial performance (tiny current revenue, large ongoing losses, and continued cash burn) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). The latest earnings call provides some offset via tangible commercialization progress and an improved cash position, but guidance still implies ongoing cash burn and execution risk, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.

Positive Factors
Low Leverage and Cash RunwayThe strengthened cash position and absence of debt reduce near-term financial pressure while the company funds commercialization. Low leverage preserves flexibility to support engineering, sales, and customer qualification efforts without immediate interest obligations.
Negative Factors
Very Small Revenue and Deep LossesThe company remains far from operating scale: revenue is minimal while gross profit and operating results are deeply negative. This indicates that substantial commercialization effort is not yet producing a self-sustaining business and leaves profitability dependent on future adoption.

Ideal Power (IPWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%IPWR-50.71%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$39.90M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
181.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.3
Beta (1Y)
1.90
Revenue Growth
57.22%
EPS Growth
13.79%
Country
US
Employees
17
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

Ideal Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ideal Power Inc. is dedicated to the development and market introduction of its proprietary B-TRAN technology, an advanced bi-directional bipolar junction transistor solid-state switch. The company, founded in 2007 and based in Austin, Texas, was for...

How the Company Makes Money

Ideal Power’s revenue model is centered on monetizing its proprietary B-TRAN technology. Primary revenue streams include: (1) development and commercialization revenue tied to B-TRAN device introduction and customer adoption, which may include engine...

Ideal Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-40.64%|Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2019
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed strong commercial and operational progress—multiple prototype milestones, a long-term foundry agreement with first silicon, expansion of the sales funnel (+≈33%), product kit rollouts, and a $27.7M capital raise leading to $41.3M cash on hand. These positives are balanced against early-stage / modest near-term revenue, increased operating expenses and net loss (operating expenses +≈16%, net loss +≈13%), higher 2026 cash burn guidance versus 2025, patent rationalization charges, and execution/timing risk associated with converting the pipeline into production revenue. Overall, management portrays cautious optimism: clear technical and go-to-market momentum but with near-term financial and execution challenges that are typical for a company transitioning from development to commercialization.

Positive Updates

Prototype and Product Development Momentum
Finalizing low-current SSCB prototype for lead Asia customer with shipment for internal testing later in the month; B-TRAN-enabled SSCB prototypes expected in Q4 2026 for 800V AI data center and energy grid customers with initial low-volume orders expected in Q4.

Negative Updates

Modest Near-Term Revenue
Recorded only modest revenue in Q2 2026; initial customer orders are expected to be small as customers progress through evaluation and design cycles before larger OEM production orders.

Company Guidance

Management guided Q3 cash burn of about $2.7–$2.9M and full‑year 2026 cash burn of roughly $10.3–$10.5M (2025 cash burn was $9.6M); Q2 cash burn was $2.5M (at the low end of prior guidance). The company ended June 30 with $41.3M in cash after a $27.7M net registered direct offering, has no debt, and a fully diluted share count of 21,070,159 (16,421,520 basic shares, 1,238,553 options/units, 3,410,086 prefunded warrants). Q2 results included modest revenue, operating expenses of $3.6M (vs. $3.1M a year ago) and a net loss of $3.4M (vs. $3.0M), with management expecting modest OpEx increases and quarter‑to‑quarter variability; they continue to target 40%+ gross margins supported by a new long‑term automotive‑qualified foundry (functional first silicon achieved). Product and commercial timing guidance includes starting industrial (JEDEC) qualification this quarter and completing in Q4, prototype SSCB shipment to the lead Asia customer later this month and broader B‑TRAN SSCB prototypes and initial low‑volume orders in Q4 2026, a co‑developed hyperscaler prototype targeted by end‑Q4, a Stellantis milestone in Q4, rollout and first stocking order for SSCB RDKs in the coming weeks, and a sales funnel that has grown to over $400M (from about $300M), split roughly 50/50 between automotive and AI/industrial; 105 issued patents remain intact.

Ideal Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are the primary weakness: revenue has collapsed versus prior years and remains very small, while profitability is deeply negative (TTM gross profit negative and large EBIT/net losses relative to revenue). Cash generation is also weak with significant negative operating and free cash flow, implying continued funding needs. The main offset is low leverage (very modest debt vs. equity), which reduces near-term balance-sheet stress.

Income Statement

9Very Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.25K37.73K86.03K198.87K203.27K576.40K
Gross Profit-233.97K-22.68K-7,37738.26K00
EBITDA-11.62M-10.12M-10.00M-9.62M-6.94M-4.60M
Net Income-11.88M-10.58M-10.42M-9.95M-7.19M-4.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.05M10.05M19.83M12.25M19.40M25.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.29M6.13M15.84M8.47M16.35M23.17M
Total Debt358.45K403.33K486.02K202.99K267.58K326.45K
Total Liabilities2.58M2.17M1.97M2.19M1.49M1.73M
Stockholders Equity42.47M7.88M17.86M10.06M17.91M24.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.48M-9.25M-9.25M-7.37M-6.57M-4.52M
Operating Cash Flow-9.18M-9.14M-8.74M-7.13M-6.38M-4.28M
Investing Cash Flow-593.21K-449.49K-506.43K-522.95K-312.74K-236.94K
Financing Cash Flow39.97M-128.83K16.62M-216.26K-127.87K24.53M

Ideal Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.60

Price Trends

50DMA3.90Negative
100DMA4.31Negative
200DMA4.27Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.35Positive
RSI25.63Positive
STOCH21.30Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IPWR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.60 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.14, below the 50-day MA of 3.90, and below the 200-day MA of 4.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IPWR.

Ideal Power Risk Analysis

Ideal Power disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ideal Power reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Ideal Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

IPWR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
PPSIPPSI44Neutral$28.19M-3.43-27.64%―――
IPWRIPWR44Neutral$43.22M-2.29-60.76%―57.22%13.79%
FLUXFLUX43Neutral$9.30M-1.18-261.63%―-36.58%5.31%
DFLIDFLI41Neutral$3.56M-0.01-1565.55%―-4.85%53.62%
SDSTSDST38Underperform$753.50K-0.00256.59%――67.65%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%50%IPWRPPSIFLUXSDSTDFLIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IPWR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IPWRIdeal Power Inc2.43-2.43-49.95%
PPSIPioneer Power Solutions2.40-1.87-43.79%
FLUXFlux Power Holdings0.45-1.77-79.59%
SDSTStardust Power Inc.0.01-3.77-99.68%
DFLIDragonfly Energy Holdings Corp1.82-82.18-97.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026