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Innoviva Inc (INVA)
NASDAQ:INVA

Innoviva (INVA) AI Stock Analysis

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Innoviva

(NASDAQ:INVA)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(7.22%Upside)
Innoviva's overall stock score reflects a strong financial foundation with robust revenue growth and cash flow, albeit with declining net income and ROE. The technical analysis suggests a stable market position with slight upward momentum. However, valuation concerns arise from a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, slightly offsetting the positive financial performance.

Innoviva (INVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Innoviva Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInnoviva, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company primarily focused on the development, commercialization, and management of a portfolio of royalties. The company operates in the healthcare sector and collaborates with pharmaceutical companies to bring innovative therapies to market. Its core involvement is in the development and commercialization of respiratory medicines.
How the Company Makes MoneyInnoviva generates revenue primarily through royalty payments derived from its collaborations with pharmaceutical partners. The company holds economic interests in the royalties tied to certain healthcare products, particularly in the respiratory medicine space. A significant portion of Innoviva's income is derived from its partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), through which it receives royalties on sales of products like RELVAR/BREO ELLIPTA and ANORO ELLIPTA. The company's earnings are heavily influenced by the commercial success and market penetration of these products, as well as its strategic management of its royalty portfolio.

Innoviva Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Innoviva shows strong financial health with a high balance sheet score of 82 and cash flow score of 85, indicating robust cash generation and low leverage. The income statement score is slightly lower at 77 due to a drop in net profit margin and missing EBITDA data. Overall, the company has consistent revenue growth and a solid equity base.
Income Statement
77
Positive
Innoviva's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 100% for 2024, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin decreased to 6.5% from the previous year's 57.9%, primarily due to a significant reduction in net income. Revenue grew by 15.5% from 2023 to 2024, reflecting positive growth trajectory. However, the lack of EBITDA data for 2024 weakens the analysis.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Innoviva's balance sheet is strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, showcasing low leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio stands at 53.1% in 2024, affirming a solid equity base. Return on equity (ROE) has decreased to 3.4% in 2024 from 26.6% in 2023, indicating reduced profitability.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth of 33.9% from 2023 to 2024, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 8.1, indicating efficient operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is very high at 8.1, suggesting potential reinvestment challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
358.71M310.46M331.34M391.87M336.79M
Gross Profit
358.71M261.06M317.55M378.03M335.01M
EBIT
229.37M176.71M209.99M375.10M321.12M
EBITDA
85.50M248.96M322.25M478.18M386.42M
Net Income Common Stockholders
23.39M179.72M213.92M368.84M224.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
304.96M193.51M291.05M201.53M246.49M
Total Assets
1.30B1.24B1.23B926.39M999.57M
Total Debt
192.03M449.08M637.88M394.65M385.52M
Net Debt
-112.94M255.56M346.83M193.13M139.03M
Total Liabilities
609.90M568.55M665.71M400.46M391.73M
Stockholders Equity
691.16M674.96M565.79M414.74M539.91M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
188.42M140.65M201.66M362.51M313.10M
Operating Cash Flow
188.69M141.06M201.73M363.81M313.11M
Investing Cash Flow
-63.79M-66.76M-56.63M43.72M-314.94M
Financing Cash Flow
-13.45M-171.84M-55.57M-452.50M-29.79M

Innoviva Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.12
Price Trends
50DMA
18.17
Positive
100DMA
18.09
Positive
200DMA
18.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
64.84
Neutral
STOCH
86.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.68, above the 50-day MA of 18.17, and above the 200-day MA of 18.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INVA.

Innoviva Risk Analysis

Innoviva disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Innoviva reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We depend on information technology and a failure of, or significant disruption to, those systems, or a failure to adequately adopt emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, could have a material adverse effect on our business. Q4, 2024
2.
The use or anticipated use of artificial intelligence ("AI") technologies, including generative AI, by us or third parties, may increase or create new operational risks. Q4, 2024
3.
Our business is subject to increasing government price controls and other public and private restrictions on pricing, reimbursement, and access for our drugs, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, reputation or business. Q4, 2024

Innoviva Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.20B89.44-8.84%17.90%-133.73%
70
Outperform
$1.10B28.8911.23%29.20%
64
Neutral
$1.20B2.6130.06%25.92%
62
Neutral
$1.39B-60.96%8.61%35.36%
57
Neutral
$949.84M-36.26%127.33%21.31%
53
Neutral
$5.19B3.33-45.04%2.83%17.58%-0.66%
46
Neutral
$1.31B-23.20%24.49%5.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INVA
Innoviva
19.12
3.77
24.56%
CLDX
Celldex
18.66
-14.96
-44.50%
NVAX
Novavax
6.92
-8.33
-54.62%
ARDX
Ardelyx
3.91
-2.87
-42.33%
AUPH
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
7.98
2.60
48.33%
ADPT
Adaptive Biotechnologies
9.15
5.54
153.46%

Innoviva Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Innoviva Elects Board Members and Approves Compensation
Neutral
May 21, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 19, 2025, Innoviva, Inc. elected five board members for a one-year term and approved executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis. Additionally, stockholders ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (INVA) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Innoviva stock, see the INVA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.