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Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (RVNL) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:RVNL

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd.

(NSE:RVNL)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:INR 180.00â–²(0.11% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/26/26

The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: materially improved leverage is outweighed by the latest-year earnings step-down and sharply negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals add further pressure with a clear downtrend and weak momentum. Valuation is also a headwind given the high P/E and low dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Debt ReductionSharp deleveraging materially improves RVNL’s financial flexibility and reduces balance-sheet risk, leaving less debt exposure as projects progress. The stronger equity cushion can support execution and capital allocation through the next several quarters, although it does not remove operating volatility.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash GenerationDeeply negative operating and free cash flow weaken internally generated funding and increase dependence on project timing or external financing. Because the latest deterioration followed another major negative cash year in FY2023, cash conversion remains a material execution and working-capital risk.

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (RVNL) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%IN:RVNL-44.46%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 374.62B
Dividend Yield
0.95%
Average Volume (3M)
390.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
41.7
Beta (1Y)
1.81
Revenue Growth
5.40%
EPS Growth
-24.53%
Country
India
Employees
250
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Engineering & Construction

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) is an Indian enterprise primarily involved in developing and building railway infrastructure across the nation. The company's operations span the conceptualization and implementation of rail projects, as well as the cr...

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength improved materially due to sharp debt reduction, but overall financial quality is held back by a notable latest-year profit decline and sharply negative operating/free cash flow, indicating elevated execution and working-capital risk.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue208.25B204.12B199.23B218.79B202.82B193.82B
Gross Profit11.59B9.89B15.22B17.13B15.62B14.79B
EBITDA14.66B16.50B11.68B13.96B12.66B11.99B
Net Income9.00B8.75B12.81B15.51B13.42B11.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0217.02B204.82B196.12B184.22B198.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.36B6.34B35.70B11.45B8.51B57.30B
Total Debt048.18B54.19B60.33B64.41B66.43B
Total Liabilities-98.18B118.84B109.11B108.66B110.97B134.84B
Stockholders Equity98.18B98.22B95.71B87.46B72.46B63.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.61B-17.39B14.46B26.14B-41.37B46.84B
Operating Cash Flow-12.55B-16.78B18.78B29.54B-40.76B48.00B
Investing Cash Flow6.10B1.56B16.29B-13.99B13.55B-14.27B
Financing Cash Flow-13.65B-10.49B-14.84B-12.87B-10.36B-1.87B

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price179.80

Price Trends

50DMA202.37Negative
100DMA216.59Negative
200DMA254.40Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.08Positive
RSI34.46Neutral
STOCH22.39Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:RVNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 179.80 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 190.61, below the 50-day MA of 202.37, and below the 200-day MA of 254.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:RVNL.

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:RVNL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:LTIN:LT68NeutralINR 5.31T27.40―0.99%11.15%17.37%
IN:RITESIN:RITES68NeutralINR 90.59B21.72―4.27%10.62%8.14%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:RVNLIN:RVNL50NeutralINR 374.89B41.69―0.95%5.40%-24.53%
IN:KECIN:KEC46NeutralINR 87.75B15.85―1.67%5.14%-9.35%
IN:AFCONSIN:AFCONS44NeutralINR 75.80B52.83―0.97%-11.87%-73.37%
IN:IRCONIN:IRCON43NeutralINR 90.90B17.35―1.97%-9.92%-21.60%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%IN:RVNLIN:AFCONSIN:IRCONIN:KECIN:LTIN:RITESDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:RVNL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:RVNLRail Vikas Nigam Ltd.179.80-147.00-44.98%
IN:AFCONSAfcons Infrastructure Limited206.10-240.65-53.87%
IN:IRCONIRCON International Ltd.96.65-70.24-42.09%
IN:KECKEC International Ltd.329.65-472.86-58.92%
IN:LTLarsen & Toubro Limited3858.00-83.60-2.12%
IN:RITESRITES Ltd.188.50-50.62-21.17%

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Corporate Events

RVNL Wins Rs 404.9 Crore East Coast Railway Contract for Third Line Project

Sep 19, 2026

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd., a state-run rail infrastructure developer, executes turnkey projects including track laying, bridges, buildings and electrification works for Indian Railways. Operating mainly as a project execution and capacity-creation specia...

Rail Vikas Nigam faces NSE fine over board composition non-compliance

Aug 26, 2026

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. has disclosed that the National Stock Exchange imposed a fine of Rs. 9.66 lakh, including GST, for non-compliance with SEBI Listing Regulations governing the composition of its board and key committees for the quarter ended 30 J...

Rail Vikas Nigam Sets August 25 Virtual AGM, Publishes FY26 Report Online

Aug 2, 2026

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. has announced that its 23rd Annual General Meeting will be held on August 25, 2026 at 11:00 a.m. via video conferencing and other audio-visual means, allowing shareholders to participate remotely. The company has circulated the...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2026