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Mahanagar Gas Ltd
(MGL)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
₹1,187.00
▲(2.92% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/09/26
Overall score is driven primarily by strong financial stability (very low leverage) and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are recent margin compression, lower FY2026 earnings, and weaker free cash flow conversion. Technicals are supportive in the short-to-medium term but momentum is close to stretched levels.
Positive Factors
Regulated CGD franchise
Operating as an authorized city gas distributor creates durable, contract-like demand and local monopoly-like economics within licensed areas. Long-term pipeline and last-mile assets generate recurring volumetric sales and predictable cash flows, supporting stable investment payback and customer stickiness.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Meaningful margin erosion reduces sustainable profitability and lowers return on invested capital. If structural cost pressures, procurement or tariff lag persist, compressed margins can impair cash available for capex, dividends and slow the pace of deleveraging or scale-driven margin recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated CGD franchise
Operating as an authorized city gas distributor creates durable, contract-like demand and local monopoly-like economics within licensed areas. Long-term pipeline and last-mile assets generate recurring volumetric sales and predictable cash flows, supporting stable investment payback and customer stickiness.
Read all positive factors
Mahanagar Gas Ltd (MGL) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)
Market Cap
₹108.67B
Dividend Yield2.73%
Average Volume (3M)14.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.9
Beta (1Y)1.39
Revenue Growth13.52%
EPS Growth-19.25%
CountryIN
Employees532
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRegulated Gas
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)85.06
Shares Outstanding98,777,780
10 Day Avg. Volume12,519
30 Day Avg. Volume14,387
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.57
Price to Book (P/B)1.43
Price to Sales (P/S)1.11
P/FCF Ratio89.37
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
₹1,175.50Price Target Upside1.92% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)76.25
Revenue Forecast (FY)₹92.82B
Mahanagar Gas Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1995 and based in Mumbai, India, Mahanagar Gas Limited functions as a key player in the Indian natural gas distribution sector. The company delivers a variety of natural gas solutions, including piped natural gas (PNG) for residenti...
How the Company Makes Money
MGL primarily makes money by procuring natural gas and selling it to end users through two main channels: (1) CNG sales to vehicles via its CNG filling stations, and (2) PNG sales delivered through its pipeline network to residential, commercial, ...
Mahanagar Gas Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 82.46B | 72.28B | 62.67B | 62.77B | 35.36B |
| Gross Profit | 20.32B | 22.46B | 24.00B | 16.41B | 12.91B |
| EBITDA | 15.65B | 17.36B | 20.19B | 12.96B | 10.10B |
| Net Income | 8.41B | 10.41B | 12.85B | 7.90B | 5.97B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 89.81B | 82.70B | 73.81B | 60.32B | 52.34B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 11.50B | 13.87B | 14.39B | 15.31B | 15.51B |
| Total Debt | 2.23B | 2.01B | 1.41B | 1.15B | 1.03B |
| Total Liabilities | 25.40B | 23.75B | 22.46B | 18.98B | 16.36B |
| Stockholders Equity | 64.28B | 58.80B | 51.30B | 41.34B | 35.97B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.03B | 2.22B | 8.33B | 2.56B | 2.55B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 11.78B | 14.06B | 15.68B | 9.69B | 9.04B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -9.04B | -10.52B | -10.82B | -6.49B | -5.39B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.69B | -3.32B | -4.99B | -2.85B | -3.10B |
Mahanagar Gas Ltd Technical Analysis
Negative
1153.30
Price Trends
1117.13
Negative
1095.10
Positive
1132.21
Negative
Market Momentum
-6.25
Positive
43.79
Neutral
35.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:MGL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1153.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1147.72, above the 50-day MA of 1117.13, and above the 200-day MA of 1132.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:MGL.
Mahanagar Gas Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | ₹108.67B | 12.94 | ― | 2.62% | 13.52% | -19.25% | |
74 Outperform | ₹263.13B | 19.88 | ― | 1.47% | 3.73% | -1.38% | |
71 Outperform | ₹151.74B | 13.71 | ― | 1.69% | ― | ― | |
70 Outperform | ₹214.34B | 13.84 | ― | 0.77% | 8.31% | -9.81% | |
64 Neutral | ₹1.13T | 14.85 | ― | 4.39% | -0.22% | -39.09% | |
63 Neutral | ₹777.18B | 118.56 | ― | 0.04% | 17.89% | 0.20% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
IN:MGL
Mahanagar Gas Ltd
1,100.15
-377.30
-25.54%
IN:ATGL
Adani Total Gas Ltd.
706.65
49.18
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IN:GAIL
GAIL (India) Limited
171.25
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-3.55%
IN:GSPL
Gujarat State Petronet Limited
268.95
-55.26
-17.04%
IN:GUJGASLTD
Gujarat Gas Ltd.
280.45
-113.41
-28.80%
IN:IGL
Indraprastha Gas Limited
153.10
-54.67
-26.31%
Mahanagar Gas Ltd Corporate Events
Mahanagar Gas to Host Q4 and FY26 Earnings Call on May 8
May 4, 2026
Mahanagar Gas Limited has announced that its management will hold an earnings conference call with research analysts and investors on May 8, 2026, to discuss the company’s financial results and operational performance for the fourth quarter ...
Mahanagar Gas Publishes Postal Ballot Notice, Highlights Governance Compliance
Apr 17, 2026
Mahanagar Gas Limited notified the stock exchanges that it has published a newspaper advertisement for a postal ballot notice, including instructions for remote e-voting, in the Financial Express and Loksatta on April 17, 2026. The move underscore...
Mahanagar Gas to Buy 26% Stake in Solar Firm for CNG Station Power Needs
Mar 9, 2026
Mahanagar Gas Ltd has agreed to acquire a 26% equity stake in FPEL Reliant Energy Private Limited for up to Rs 389 lakh through a cash investment. FPEL Reliant, which operates in solar and other renewable energy generation, will become an associat...
Mahanagar Gas announces change of chairman as GAIL reshapes board nominations
Feb 28, 2026
Mahanagar Gas Ltd has announced a change in its board leadership, with Sandeep Kumar Gupta set to cease as Director and Chairman of the company effective March 1, 2026, following the withdrawal of his nomination by major shareholder GAIL (India) L...
Mahanagar Gas Announces Chairman Change Under GAIL Nomination
Feb 28, 2026
Mahanagar Gas Limited has announced that Shri Sandeep Kumar Gupta will cease to be Director and Chairman of the company, along with his roles on various board committees, effective March 1, 2026, following the withdrawal of his nomination by promo...
Mahanagar Gas to See Chairman Change as GAIL Switches Nominee
Feb 28, 2026
Mahanagar Gas Ltd has announced that Sandeep Kumar Gupta will cease to serve as director and chairman of the company from March 1, 2026, following the withdrawal of his nomination by promoter GAIL (India) Ltd. Gupta will also step down from all bo...
Mahanagar Gas announces chairman transition following GAIL nomination change
Feb 28, 2026
Mahanagar Gas Ltd, a leading city gas distributor in Mumbai supplying CNG and PNG across segments, operates with GAIL (India) Limited as a significant nominating shareholder on its board. The company plays an important role in urban gas infrastruc...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.