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Grasim Industries Ltd. (GRASIM) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:GRASIM

Grasim Industries Ltd.

(NSE:GRASIM)

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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:INR 3,097.00â–²(4.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/19/26

The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile cash generation and higher leverage despite solid revenue growth and decent operating margins. Technicals are supportive with price trading above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Recent earnings-call commentary was upbeat on growth platforms and leverage discipline, but valuation is stretched (high P/E) and paints-margin pressures plus other near-term headwinds temper the overall outlook.

Positive Factors
Diversified growth platformSustained growth across fibres, chemicals, cement, paints and financial services gives Grasim multiple earnings engines and reduces reliance on one end market. Continued expansion across established and newer businesses can support durable revenue compounding over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generationRepeatedly negative and volatile operating cash flow reduces confidence that reported earnings consistently convert into internally generated funds. It can constrain self-funded investment, increase dependence on financing and make the company more vulnerable when working capital or capital expenditure needs rise.

Grasim Industries Ltd. (GRASIM) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%IN:GRASIM+3.19%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 2.04T
Dividend Yield
0.34%
Average Volume (3M)
22.77K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
35.5
Beta (1Y)
1.04
Revenue Growth
20.48%
EPS Growth
34.81%
Country
India
Employees
28,259
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Construction Materials

Grasim Industries Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Grasim Industries Limited, established in 1947 and based in Mumbai, India, is a globally diversified conglomerate. Its expansive business activities cover fiber, yarn, pulp, chemicals, textiles, fertilizers, and insulators, structured into its Viscos...

How the Company Makes Money

Grasim makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling products across multiple operating segments. (1) Fibre and related products: A major revenue stream comes from producing and selling viscose staple fibre and other fibre products to textile ma...

Grasim Industries Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:-10.47%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 15, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a strong set of operational and financial achievements across core and new businesses: record consolidated revenue (+21% YoY), robust standalone growth (+28% YoY) with EBITDA doubling, major traction in paints (+64% YoY) and B2B e-commerce (+75% YoY) and solid results in cement, chemicals and financial services. Key growth investments (Lyocell expansion, paint capacity, Pivot scale) and improving leverage (consolidated net debt/EBITDA 1.45x) underscore a positive transformation trajectory. Near-term challenges include raw material cost shocks (notably in paints), maintenance-driven volume dips in some segments, timing-related standalone net debt increase, and geopolitical/supply-chain volatility. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, reflecting strong momentum with manageable near-term headwinds.

Positive Updates

Record Consolidated Revenue and Consistent Growth
Consolidated revenue reached INR 48,716 crore in Q1 FY27, up 21% YoY; two-year quarterly revenue run-rate increased ~1.5x (two-year CAGR ~25%). This marks the 24th consecutive quarter of YoY revenue growth.

Negative Updates

Raw Material Cost Shock and Margin Pressure in Paints
Birla Opus absorbed an unprecedented raw material cost shock; cumulative price increase taken in Q1 was ~8.8% (with additional impact flowing into Q2). Raw-material inflation (COGS) increased ~20–25% at peak months, pressuring margins and slowing profitability recovery despite narrowing losses.

Company Guidance

Management reiterated aggressive growth and profitability targets across businesses: consolidated Q1 FY27 revenue was INR 48,716 crore (+21% YoY) with a near‑INR 50,000 crore quarterly run‑rate (two‑year CAGR ~25%) and 24 consecutive quarters of YoY growth; standalone Q1 revenue was INR 11,795 crore (+28% YoY) and standalone EBITDA rose 107% to INR 1,094 crore. Key business guidances include Birla Opus aiming for a INR 10,000 crore brand by FY28 after Q1 paints revenue of INR 1,661 crore (+64% YoY, +17% QoQ), 12,100 towns covered, 55,000+ dealers, 1,450+ exclusive outlets, 1,332 million Lpa capacity and premium/luxury contributing ~65% of value; Birla Pivot at INR 2,548 crore Q1 (+75% YoY) is on track for EBITDA breakeven by exit FY27 with an annualized run‑rate >INR 10,000 crore; cellulosic expansion comprises a Phase‑1 INR 1,350 crore (55,000 TPA) and Phase‑2 INR 3,094 crore (110,000 TPA). Other numeric highlights/guidance: chemicals Q1 revenue INR 2,640 crore (ECU realization INR 37,955/t, caustic ~US$483/t in SE Asia) and chlorine integration to ~68% by FY27 exit; cement added 8.7 mt capacity this quarter to 205.5 mt and consolidated volumes were 41.31 mt (+12% YoY) with EBITDA INR 5,146 crore (+12%); Aditya Birla Capital lending ~INR 220,000 crore (+32%) and housing finance >INR 50,000 crore (+50%); group standalone CapEx FY27 ~INR 3,157 crore (Q1 spend INR 375 crore), planned renewables equity from Grasim <INR 1,000 crore this year, royalty of 0.25% of standalone revenue from June (≈INR 100 crore impact, cap INR 225 crore), and consolidated net debt/TTM EBITDA down to 1.45x (target to keep net debt <2x).

Grasim Industries Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement shows steady revenue growth and generally healthy operating margins, but net margin is thin/volatile. Balance sheet risk has risen with materially higher debt and higher debt-to-equity (~2.2x by FY2026) alongside modest ROE. Cash flow is the main weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are frequently negative and volatile, reducing earnings quality confidence.

Income Statement

67Positive

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

33Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84T1.75T1.48T1.31T1.18T957.01B
Gross Profit834.08B789.22B859.41B765.54B663.79B561.05B
EBITDA358.35B373.43B282.86B272.03B215.89B205.61B
Net Income56.94B49.66B37.06B56.24B68.27B75.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets05.70T5.01T4.13T3.37T2.89T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments229.71B323.26B250.45B270.06B224.44B221.34B
Total Debt02.28T1.86T1.39T1.03T747.44B
Total Liabilities-1.70T4.00T3.43T2.74T2.14T1.73T
Stockholders Equity1.70T1.03T975.09B886.52B787.42B756.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-155.55B-334.36B33.29B-302.04B-247.21B-15.50B
Operating Cash Flow-80.15B-178.10B205.10B-107.19B-126.85B70.38B
Investing Cash Flow-75.01B-178.03B-239.82B-231.13B-136.87B-35.43B
Financing Cash Flow153.77B335.23B429.78B339.08B264.69B-67.33B

Grasim Industries Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2963.45

Price Trends

50DMA3112.18Negative
100DMA3133.16Negative
200DMA2975.91Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-49.33Negative
RSI47.83Neutral
STOCH76.82Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:GRASIM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2963.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2914.15, below the 50-day MA of 3112.18, and below the 200-day MA of 2975.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -49.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:GRASIM.

Grasim Industries Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:GRASIM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:ULTRACEMCOIN:ULTRACEMCO64NeutralINR 3.25T36.91―2.17%17.79%18.30%
IN:AMBUJACEMIN:AMBUJACEM63NeutralINR 865.96B30.72―0.57%5.64%-50.36%
IN:SHREECEMIN:SHREECEM62NeutralINR 832.35B52.40―0.65%14.32%-7.88%
IN:GRASIMIN:GRASIM59NeutralINR 2.02T35.51―0.34%20.48%34.81%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:ACCIN:ACC54NeutralINR 212.26B24.05―0.66%7.96%-73.56%
IN:DALBHARATIN:DALBHARAT42NeutralINR 248.47B50.97―0.68%6.14%-56.44%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%IN:GRASIMIN:ACCIN:AMBUJACEMIN:DALBHARATIN:SHREECEMIN:ULTRACEMCODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:GRASIM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:GRASIMGrasim Industries Ltd.2963.4568.352.36%
IN:ACCACC Limited1130.30-728.15-39.18%
IN:AMBUJACEMAmbuja Cements Limited348.50-226.00-39.34%
IN:DALBHARATDalmia Bharat Ltd.1324.70-745.52-36.01%
IN:SHREECEMShree Cement Limited23069.05-4858.94-17.40%
IN:ULTRACEMCOUltraTech Cement Limited11050.10-663.85-5.67%

Grasim Industries Ltd. Corporate Events

Grasim Says Quashed Tax Reassessment Carries No Material Impact

Oct 25, 2026

Grasim Industries has clarified that a Bombay High Court order quashing an Income Tax Department reassessment notice related to its participation in Vodafone Idea&#8217;s 2019-20 rights issue does not pertain to any confirmed tax demand. The company...

Grasim Begins Commercial Output at New Epichlorohydrin Plant in Gujarat

Oct 21, 2026

Grasim Industries Ltd. has started commercial production at its new epichlorohydrin manufacturing plant in Vilayat, Gujarat, effective 21 October 2026. The facility, with an installed capacity of 50,000 tonnes per annum, marks a strategic expansion o...

Grasim Reports Customs Search at Fibre Unit, Says No Material Impact

Sep 12, 2026

Grasim Industries has disclosed that customs authorities in Indore conducted a search at its cellulosic staple fibre manufacturing unit in Nagda under Section 105 of the Customs Act. The search, focused on import&#8209;export records, began on Septem...

Grasim Shareholders Clear All Resolutions at 79th AGM Held Virtually

Aug 22, 2026

Grasim Industries Ltd. held its 79th Annual General Meeting on 21 August 2026 via video conference and other audio-visual means, with remote e-voting conducted from 17 to 20 August for over 2.6 lakh shareholders on record. All items of business propo...

Grasim Appoints Deloitte as Joint Statutory Auditor for Five-Year Term

Aug 22, 2026

Grasim Industries Ltd. shareholders at the 79th Annual General Meeting have approved the appointment of Deloitte Haskins &amp; Sells Chartered Accountants LLP as a Joint Statutory Auditor. The firm will serve a first term of five consecutive years, f...

Grasim Industries Publishes Q1 FY27 Earnings Call Audio for Investors

Aug 12, 2026

Grasim Industries Ltd. has announced that the audio recording of its earnings call held on August 12, 2026, discussing unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, has been made available on the company...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026