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Illumina (ILMN)
NASDAQ:ILMN
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Illumina (ILMN) AI Stock Analysis

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ILMN

Illumina

(NASDAQ:ILMN)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$235.00
▲(21.08% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
ILMN scores well on improving financial performance and a positive earnings outlook (raised guidance, strong NovaSeq X momentum, and solid margins/cash flow). The score is held back by premium valuation (P/E ~35), mixed near-term technical momentum, and residual risk from past earnings volatility and moderate leverage.
Positive Factors
NovaSeq X Installed-Base Expansion
Higher NovaSeq X placements expand Illumina’s installed base and create recurring demand for proprietary consumables. The growing clinical transition and expected pull-through into 2027 support durable revenue visibility beyond individual instrument sales.
Negative Factors
Persistent Research Consumables Weakness
Research customers remain exposed to grant cycles and funding uncertainty, creating a sustained drag on consumables demand. Continued weakness could limit overall growth, reduce utilization of the installed base and delay a broader recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
NovaSeq X Installed-Base Expansion
Higher NovaSeq X placements expand Illumina’s installed base and create recurring demand for proprietary consumables. The growing clinical transition and expected pull-through into 2027 support durable revenue visibility beyond individual instrument sales.
Read all positive factors

Illumina Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsIllumina's revenue growth outside China is gaining momentum, with a 2% year-over-year increase driven by strong clinical market performance and the NovaSeq X transition. However, Greater China faces ongoing challenges with export restrictions impacting revenue. Despite this, the company remains optimistic, raising its full-year 2025 outlook and focusing on expanding into multiomics and enhancing services. The resilience in clinical markets and strategic initiatives like the NovaSeq X placements are pivotal for future growth, although research markets face stabilization issues due to funding uncertainties.
Data provided by:The Fly

Illumina (ILMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Illumina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Illumina, Inc. specializes in delivering advanced genetic and genomic analysis tools, primarily through sequencing and array technologies. The company's offerings empower clients across various sectors to integrate genomic insights into both resea...
How the Company Makes Money
Illumina primarily makes money by selling (1) consumables used on its sequencing and array platforms, (2) instruments (sequencing systems and array scanners), and (3) software/informatics and services. Consumables are the core recurring revenue dr...

Illumina Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was broadly positive: Illumina delivered a quarter with strong top-line beats, materially higher instrument placements (especially NovaSeq X), margin outperformance, raised full-year guidance and strengthened multi-omics and BioInsight momentum (Billion Cell Atlas revenue and partners). Headwinds remain—memory and freight costs, inventory/tax timing impacts, and continued weakness in research consumables and some regions—but management has absorbed costs, secured supply, and raised guidance while reaffirming long-term targets. The positive operational and financial beats and the upgraded outlook outweigh the listed challenges.
Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Growth
Q2 revenue of $1.16B, up 9.5% year-over-year reported and ~6.5% organic; Rest-of-World organic revenue growth of 8.1%. Management called this the fastest revenue growth since the CEO joined.
Negative Updates
Research & Applied Consumables Weakness
Research and applied sequencing consumables declined ~7% Rest-of-World year-to-date; management still expects mid- to high-single-digit declines for research consumables in 2026.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Beat and Growth
Q2 revenue of $1.16B, up 9.5% year-over-year reported and ~6.5% organic; Rest-of-World organic revenue growth of 8.1%. Management called this the fastest revenue growth since the CEO joined.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Following a strong Q2 (revenue $1.16B; rest‑of‑world organic growth 8.1%; non‑GAAP gross margin 68.2%; non‑GAAP operating margin 22.5%; non‑GAAP EPS $1.31), Illumina raised its 2026 outlook: full‑year rest‑of‑world organic revenue growth is now guided greater than 5% (up from 2–4%), reported revenue guidance was increased by $50M at the midpoint to $4.60–4.64B, and sequencing consumables rest‑of‑world organic is expected to grow mid‑single‑digits with clinical consumables up mid‑teens and research/applied consumables down mid‑to‑high single‑digits; sequencing instruments are now expected to grow low‑single‑digits rest‑of‑world organic. The company maintained non‑GAAP operating margin guidance of 23.4%–23.6% and raised full‑year diluted non‑GAAP EPS to $5.30–$5.40 (up $0.12 at the midpoint; ~11% y/y at midpoint, ~14% ex‑acquisitions). For Q3, management expects ~4.5% rest‑of‑world organic growth, reported revenue of $1.14–1.16B, non‑GAAP EPS $1.33–1.38 and ~24% operating margin (≈150 bps sequential expansion). Management reiterated that elevated NovaSeq X placements (Q2 placements >95) and an expanding X installed base (≈78% of clinical volume on X, ~83% of volumes and 59% of revenue transitioned overall; clinical conversion target ~80–85% by year‑end) will drive consumables pull‑through into 2027 and support the path to high‑single‑digit revenue growth next year.

Illumina Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a strong recovery: TTM gross margin ~67%, EBIT margin ~26%, net margin ~19%, and solid cash generation (TTM OCF ~$1.10B, FCF ~$0.94B). Offsetting this strength are earnings volatility after deep 2023–2024 losses, modestly negative FCF growth (-5.06), and moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.95) that reduces flexibility if results soften.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.49B4.34B4.37B4.50B4.58B4.53B
Gross Profit3.00B2.89B2.86B2.74B2.97B3.15B
EBITDA1.36B1.46B-725.00M-608.00M-3.92B1.20B
Net Income825.00M850.00M-1.22B-1.16B-4.40B762.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.65B6.64B6.30B10.11B12.25B15.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17B1.63B1.22B1.05B2.04B1.34B
Total Debt2.53B2.55B2.62B2.26B3.56B2.54B
Total Liabilities3.81B3.92B3.93B4.37B5.65B4.48B
Stockholders Equity2.84B2.72B2.37B5.75B6.60B10.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow939.00M931.00M709.00M282.00M106.00M337.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B1.08B837.00M478.00M392.00M545.00M
Investing Cash Flow-431.00M-55.00M-178.00M-231.00M-591.00M-1.07B
Financing Cash Flow-558.00M-744.00M-570.00M-1.21B1.00B-51.00M

Illumina Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price194.09
Price Trends
50DMA
187.54
Positive
100DMA
163.86
Positive
200DMA
146.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.25
Negative
RSI
69.58
Neutral
STOCH
91.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ILMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 194.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 197.52, above the 50-day MA of 187.54, and above the 200-day MA of 146.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ILMN.

Illumina Risk Analysis

Illumina disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Illumina reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Illumina Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$232.67B33.8013.35%0.32%7.23%7.47%
74
Outperform
$9.08B22.6011.60%6.38%2.96%9.52%
74
Outperform
$42.77B31.9621.95%8.22%16.68%
72
Outperform
$153.85B38.737.66%0.75%4.56%19.34%
71
Outperform
$44.91B31.8520.84%0.59%9.11%22.77%
70
Outperform
$33.13B40.5531.08%4.97%-31.78%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ILMN
Illumina
219.40
119.74
120.15%
A
Agilent
159.00
40.80
34.52%
DHR
Danaher
218.85
12.64
6.13%
QGEN
Qiagen
44.07
-4.47
-9.22%
TMO
Thermo Fisher
629.27
140.30
28.69%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
259.82
71.80
38.19%

Illumina Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Illumina Completes $300 Million Debt Refinancing Offering
Positive
Aug 17, 2026
On August 17, 2026, Illumina completed a public offering of $300 million in 4.950% notes due 2029, issued under an existing Indenture with U.S. Bank Trust Company as trustee. The notes pay interest semi-annually and may be redeemed by the company ...
Private Placements and Financing
Illumina Secures New Syndicated Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Aug 13, 2026
On August 13, 2026, Illumina, Inc. entered into a credit agreement with a syndicate of lenders, with Bank of America, N.A. acting as administrative agent, issuing bank, and swingline lender. The agreement designates Illumina as the borrower and pr...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Illumina Announces $300 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 12, 2026
On August 10, 2026, Illumina entered into an underwriting agreement with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and Citigroup Global Markets Inc. for the issuance and sale of $300 million of 4.950% notes due 2029. The offering, expected to close on August 17,...
Legal Proceedings
Illumina Seeks Court Approval of GRAIL Settlement
Positive
Aug 7, 2026
On August 21, 2025, Illumina entered into a Release Agreement with Icahn-affiliated plaintiffs and former and current directors to settle Delaware litigation tied to its $8 billion reacquisition of GRAIL, Inc., which had drawn intense U.S. and EU ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Illumina Adds Eli Lilly Executive to Board
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
On June 16, 2026, Illumina expanded its Board of Directors from nine to ten members and appointed Daniel M. Skovronsky, M.D., Ph.D., as an independent director, with the move announced on June 23, 2026. Skovronsky, Eli Lilly’s Chief Scientif...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Illumina Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
May 26, 2026
Illumina held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders on May 21, 2026, where shareholders elected nine nominees, including Chief Executive Jacob Thaysen and several incumbent and independent directors, to serve one-year terms on the board through ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026