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Investcorp Credit Management BDC (ICMB) AI Stock Analysis

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ICMB

Investcorp Credit Management BDC

(NASDAQ:ICMB)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$0.69â–²(4.10% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/24/26

ICMB scores low primarily due to sharply deteriorating TTM profitability and declining revenue, which create uncertainty around earnings quality despite strong recent cash flow. Technicals also point to a sustained downtrend with bearish momentum. Valuation is supported by a very high dividend yield, but the negative P/E and loss-making TTM results temper the benefit.

Positive Factors
Diversified Private Credit ModelA focus on senior secured loans and diversified private credit supports recurring current-income generation while providing a structured approach to capital preservation. This business model can offer durable portfolio income and downside protection when investments are selected and managed effectively.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability DeteriorationA sharp revenue decline combined with a move to substantial net losses weakens the evidence for durable earnings power. Continued negative operating profitability could reduce internally generated capital, constrain distributions, and make future results more dependent on portfolio performance or external financing.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC (ICMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%ICMB-74.85%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$9.51M
Dividend Yield
36.89%
Average Volume (3M)
62.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.9
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
-20.10%
EPS Growth
-1010.65%
Country
US
Employees
2
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Investcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc. (ICMB) operates as a business development company, primarily focusing on providing debt and mezzanine financing. Its investments aim to support various corporate objectives, including growth capital, acquisition...

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2026(Q3-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call presented a mixed picture: management executed a refinancing that extended the maturity profile and maintained liquidity options, realized portfolio exits with mid-teens IRR-like outcomes, and emphasized portfolio diversification and downside-focused underwriting. However, the quarter showed material deterioration in mark-to-market metrics (NAV down ~16%, portfolio fair value down ~12%), rising nonaccruals (6.9% from 4.4%), minimal net investment income ($0.02/share), a suspension of the quarterly dividend, and investor concerns about higher financing costs and manager/alignment issues. Taken together, the negative operational and mark-to-market developments appear to outweigh the structural positives in the quarter.

Positive Updates

Strategic Review: Special Committee Formed
Board formed a special committee of independent directors to review strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value; management emphasized alignment with shareholders (adviser affiliate provided capital and owns ~25% of shares).

Negative Updates

NAV and Net Assets Decline
Net asset value per share declined to $4.25 from $5.04 sequentially (approximately a 16% decrease); net assets were $61.3 million, a decrease of $11.4 million from the prior quarter.

Company Guidance

The company guided that it has formed a special committee to review strategic alternatives, will not declare a quarterly dividend for the current quarter, and is prioritizing liquidity, capital preservation, disciplined underwriting and active management in a challenging near‑term market; key metrics cited include a $65.0M refinancing (new unsecured notes due 7/1/2029 at SOFR + 550bps), NAV per share $4.25 (down from $5.04), portfolio fair value $172.7M (vs. $196.1M), net assets $61.3M (down $11.4M: $9.4M ops, $2.0M dividend), net investment income $0.3M or $0.02/sh, nonaccruals 6.9% (up from 4.4%), weighted average debt yield 10.6% (down 31bps), 37 borrowers (81% first lien, 19% equity/warrants), 98% floating rate with a 4.5% average spread, average investment ~$4.7M (2.7% of fair value), largest investment Bioplan $11.4M, top industry concentrations: professional services 14.5%, IT services 9.2%, insurance 8.9%, diversified consumer services 8.6%, commercial services 7.9%, gross leverage 2.02x / net 1.78x (pro forma ~1.8x after $14M Feb paydown), asset coverage improved from 150% to 155%, liquidity of ~$15M cash (≈$10.4M restricted) plus $41.1M unused revolver ($8.7M available under borrowing base), realizations of $8.2M with ~10.6% IRR, and a $1.5M new investment in Axiom at an ~8.8% yield at cost.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is unstable. TTM revenue declined ~20% and profitability flipped to a deep loss (net income about -$9.1M), which outweighs the improving leverage trend (debt-to-equity ~1.23x) and solid TTM operating/free cash flow (~$22.4M each). The gap between strong cash flow and a large net loss raises durability and earnings-quality concerns.

Income Statement

26Negative

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.33M23.25M3.33M23.25M26.68M24.43M
Gross Profit-4.35M23.25M-4.35M23.25M26.68M24.43M
EBITDA-8.40M15.11M-8.40M15.11M19.66M17.21M
Net Income-8.85M12.08M-8.85M12.08M3.23M2.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets188.84M206.85M188.84M206.85M231.81M246.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.58M771.48K4.58M771.48K1.09M2.55M
Total Debt123.13M122.04M123.13M122.04M135.48M146.82M
Total Liabilities127.51M129.25M127.51M129.25M144.11M152.88M
Stockholders Equity61.33M77.60M61.33M77.60M87.70M93.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.81M-13.52M11.65M7.28M20.71M21.21M
Operating Cash Flow4.81M-13.52M11.65M7.28M20.71M21.21M
Investing Cash Flow21.40M0029.78M10.66M9.13M
Financing Cash Flow-8.76M-20.70M-8.76M-41.10M-20.71M-24.66M

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.66

Price Trends

50DMA0.78Negative
100DMA0.85Negative
200DMA1.46Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI38.39Neutral
STOCH11.72Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.68, below the 50-day MA of 0.78, and below the 200-day MA of 1.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICMB.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Risk Analysis

Investcorp Credit Management BDC disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Investcorp Credit Management BDC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

ICMB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
PNNTPNNT64Neutral$201.76M20.452.27%29.72%138.32%-27.91%
NEWTNEWT60Neutral$307.70M5.4214.26%6.90%24.24%-15.75%
PSBDPSBD59Neutral$303.45M-9.16-0.03%15.72%-14.85%-275.66%
OFSOFS53Neutral$49.97M-1.82-25.56%17.71%-82.20%-978.39%
ICMBICMB46Neutral$9.39M-0.90-14.27%36.89%-20.10%-1010.65%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%ICMBNEWTPNNTOFSPSBDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ICMB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ICMBInvestcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc.0.66-1.94-74.65%
NEWTNewtek Business Services11.011.4515.17%
PNNTPennantpark Investment3.23-1.95-37.68%
OFSOFS Capital3.84-0.46-10.80%
PSBDPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc.9.99-0.51-4.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026