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Icf International (ICFI)
NASDAQ:ICFI
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Icf International (ICFI) AI Stock Analysis

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ICFI

Icf International

(NASDAQ:ICFI)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$105.00
▲(10.70% Upside)
ICF International's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance and positive earnings call insights, particularly in commercial energy growth. However, the decline in federal revenues and overall revenue, along with neutral technical indicators, temper the outlook. The valuation is fair but not compelling, contributing to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Commercial Energy Growth
The significant growth in commercial energy revenue indicates strong demand for energy efficiency programs, positioning ICFI well in a growing market.
Strong Book-to-Bill Ratio
A strong book-to-bill ratio suggests a healthy pipeline of future projects, ensuring sustained revenue and growth potential.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
The expansion in EBITDA margin reflects effective cost management and a favorable business mix, enhancing profitability.
Negative Factors
Federal Revenue Decline
The decline in federal revenues due to contract cancellations poses a risk to ICFI's revenue stability, given its reliance on government contracts.
Overall Revenue Decline
A decline in overall revenue indicates potential challenges in maintaining growth, which could impact long-term financial performance.
Free Cash Flow Growth Decline
The decline in free cash flow growth may limit ICFI's ability to reinvest in business expansion and manage debt, affecting future growth prospects.

Icf International (ICFI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Icf International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionICF International, Inc. provides management, marketing, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services to government and commercial clients in the United States and internationally. It researches critical policy, industry, stakeholder issues, trends, and behaviors; measures and evaluates results and their impact; and provides strategic planning and advisory services to its clients on how to navigate societal, market, business, communication, and technology challenges. The company also identifies, defines, and implements policies, plans, programs, and business tools through a range of standard and customized methodologies for its clients; conducts survey research; collects and analyzes various data to understand critical issues and options for its clients; and provides actionable business intelligence, as well as information and data management solutions that allow integrated and purpose-driven data usage. In addition, it provides solutions to optimize the customer and citizen experience; modernizes IT systems; and cyber security solutions that support the range of cyber security missions and protect IT infrastructures in the face of relentless threats, as well as designs, develops, and implements technology systems and business tools that are principal to its clients' mission or business performance. Further, the company informs and engages its clients' constituents, customers, and employees through public relations, branding and marketing, multichannel and strategic communications, and reputation issues management. It serves energy, environment, and infrastructure; health, education, and social programs; safety and security; and consumer and financial markets. The company was formerly known as ICF Consulting Group Holdings, LLC and changed its name to ICF International, Inc. in 2006. ICF International, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Fairfax, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyICF International generates revenue primarily through consulting contracts and project-based work. The company earns money by providing services that include program management, policy analysis, and technical assistance to clients across various sectors. Key revenue streams include federal government contracts, where ICFI partners with agencies on projects related to energy efficiency, climate change, and public health initiatives. Additionally, ICFI generates income from its commercial clients in industries such as transportation, health, and environmental services. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other firms and organizations, which can enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. Overall, ICFI's diversified service portfolio and established reputation in consulting enable it to maintain a steady flow of revenue.

Icf International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in commercial energy and improvements in cash management. However, these positive aspects were tempered by substantial declines in federal revenues and overall revenue. While the company is optimistic about future growth, particularly in commercial energy and international government contracts, the challenges in the federal sector remain a concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Commercial Energy Revenue Growth
Revenue from commercial energy clients increased by 27% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for energy efficiency programs, electrification, and grid resilience.
Consistent Book-to-Bill Ratio
The company achieved a strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.3, indicating confidence in future business outlook for 2025.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by approximately 20 basis points year-on-year, reflecting favorable business mix and cost management initiatives.
International Government Growth
Second quarter revenues from international government clients increased by 2%, with new task orders from the European Union and the U.K. government expected to benefit future revenues.
Strong Cash Management
Operating cash flow in the second quarter was $52 million, an improvement of approximately $85 million from the first quarter of 2025.
Negative Updates
Federal Revenue Decline
Revenues from federal government clients declined 9.8% sequentially, representing a 25.2% reduction from last year's second quarter due to contract cancellations and delays in federal program activities.
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenues declined 7% year-over-year, or 4% when excluding subcontractor and other direct costs.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter 2025 earnings call, ICF provided guidance indicating that their business outlook has improved. They reported a stable revenue compared to the first quarter and an increase of 13.8% in revenues from commercial, state and local, and international government clients, which accounted for 57% of total revenues. The commercial energy segment grew by 27% year-on-year due to increased demand for energy efficiency programs. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 20 basis points, and the company maintained a strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.3. The federal government segment experienced a decline in revenues, but there was a positive pickup in procurement activity towards the end of the quarter. For the full year, ICF anticipates that revenues will not decline by as much as 10% from 2024 levels, with GAAP and non-GAAP EPS likely at the higher end of their guidance framework, driven by robust demand from commercial energy clients and effective cost management.

Icf International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ICF International exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability with stable net profit margins and a healthy balance sheet. However, cash flow growth shows inconsistency, indicating room for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
ICF International has demonstrated a strong revenue growth over the years, with revenue increasing from $1.50 billion in 2020 to $2.01 billion in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin has also shown improvement, reaching 51.1% in TTM, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin is stable at around 5.4%, reflecting consistent profitability. However, the EBIT margin has seen fluctuations but remains healthy at 8.1% in TTM. The EBITDA margin is also stable at 10.4%, showcasing solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet highlights a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71 in TTM, which suggests a balanced leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 11.3%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is at 46.7%, pointing to a moderate level of equity financing relative to assets. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
ICF International has shown a positive trend in its free cash flow, although the growth rate has been inconsistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.35 in TTM indicates robust cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased slightly, reflecting increased capital expenditure needs. Despite these fluctuations, the company's cash flow position remains solid with consistent generation of free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B2.02B1.96B1.78B1.55B1.51B
Gross Profit733.98M737.77M698.22M645.54M573.48M534.47M
EBITDA214.25M221.12M196.97M157.18M150.81M122.04M
Net Income107.75M110.17M82.61M64.24M71.13M54.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.07B2.07B2.01B2.09B1.85B1.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.89M4.96M9.45M11.26M8.25M13.84M
Total Debt644.24M602.27M642.67M776.39M648.31M452.18M
Total Liabilities1.07B1.08B1.09B1.24B1.05B920.33M
Stockholders Equity1.00B982.46M917.59M853.21M803.47M746.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow119.59M150.11M130.05M137.73M90.27M155.46M
Operating Cash Flow139.83M171.54M152.38M162.21M110.20M173.15M
Investing Cash Flow-74.93M-74.81M-3.67M-258.84M-194.48M-270.95M
Financing Cash Flow-43.93M-86.90M-152.59M90.37M23.23M169.96M

Icf International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price94.85
Price Trends
50DMA
93.51
Positive
100DMA
89.56
Positive
200DMA
96.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Positive
RSI
46.42
Neutral
STOCH
17.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICFI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 94.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.09, above the 50-day MA of 93.51, and below the 200-day MA of 96.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ICFI.

Icf International Risk Analysis

Icf International disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Icf International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Icf International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
1.36B25.1828.70%0.95%9.28%44.19%
75
Outperform
5.20B22.5713.14%-0.89%-23.72%
72
Outperform
2.48B25.0022.13%8.99%35.56%
70
Outperform
$1.77B16.6911.09%0.59%-0.47%10.03%
55
Neutral
172.52M-0.89-92.61%8.12%-12.87%-1025.47%
48
Neutral
199.04M-2.22-2.50%-9.11%-6082.17%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICFI
Icf International
92.19
-71.46
-43.67%
CRAI
Cra International
207.21
39.46
23.52%
FORR
Forrester Research
10.43
-6.52
-38.47%
FCN
FTI Consulting
160.60
-66.77
-29.37%
HURN
Huron Consulting
143.14
35.04
32.41%
RGP
Resources Connection
5.17
-3.67
-41.52%

Icf International Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
ICF International to Attend Canaccord Genuity Conference
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

ICF International announced its participation in the Canaccord Genuity 45th Annual Growth Conference on August 13, 2025, in Boston. The company’s CEO, John Wasson, and EVP, Anne Choate, will engage in a fireside chat, which will be accessible via a live webcast, highlighting ICF’s ongoing engagement with industry stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICFI) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icf International stock, see the ICFI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
ICF International Declares Quarterly Dividend Amid Revenue Growth
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, ICF International’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share, payable on October 10, 2025. The company’s second quarter results for 2025 showed a 27% revenue growth in commercial energy, with total revenue reaching $476 million. Despite a decline in federal government revenue, ICF maintained strong performance in non-federal sectors, leading to a robust contract award total of $621 million. The company continues to invest in growth markets and expand capabilities in AI and other technologies, with a positive outlook for future revenue and earnings growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICFI) stock is a Hold with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icf International stock, see the ICFI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025