China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock analysis
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China Youran Dairy Group Limited (9858) Stock Price & Analysis
9858 Stock Chart & Stats
- Day’s Range
- HKD 3.93 - HKD 4.11
- 52-Week Range
- HKD 2.72 - HKD 5.29
- Previous Close
- HKD 4.03
- Volume
- N/A
- Average Volume (3M)
- 18.62M
- Market Cap
- HKD 18.08B
- Enterprise Value
- HKD 36.79B
- Total Cash (Recent Filing)
- HKD 2.89B
- Total Debt (Recent Filing)
- HKD 22.47B
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 21.9
- Beta
- 1.14
- Next Earnings
- Mar 31, 2027 (Est.)
- EPS Estimate
- N/A
- Last Dividend Ex-Date
- May 22, 2023
- Dividend Yield
- N/A
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Positive Operating Cash Flow
Consistently positive operating cash flow, including approximately RMB 5.1bn in 2025, shows that the farming operations continue to generate cash from ongoing activities. This provides an internal funding base for operations and investment, even though substantial spending currently limits cash available after capital expenditure.
Positive EBITDA Generation
Positive EBITDA indicates that the underlying operating platform still produces earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Although this does not offset current losses, continued operating cash earnings provide a foundation for recovery if milk pricing, herd productivity or farm cost control improves.
Large-scale Integrated Farm Platform
A modern, large-scale self-operated farm network gives the company direct control over breeding, herd management and milk production rather than relying solely on external suppliers. That operating structure can support consistent production planning and direct supply to downstream dairy processors over time.
Bears Say
Severe Profitability Deterioration
The fall in gross margin from roughly 24–31% in 2020–2024 to about 5% in 2025 materially weakens earnings resilience. Three consecutive years of net losses, together with the 2025 operating loss, indicate that pricing and cost pressures are impairing the business model rather than creating a temporary earnings fluctuation.
Elevated And Rising Leverage
Debt has grown substantially relative to the equity base, leaving the company less financially flexible while operating performance is weak. Higher leverage increases sensitivity to refinancing conditions, interest obligations and further earnings deterioration, and makes it harder to fund recovery or absorb prolonged pressure internally.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow means positive operating cash generation is not yet sufficient to cover the company’s ongoing investment requirements. This limits self-funded deleveraging and keeps reliance on external financing more relevant, particularly because the balance sheet already carries elevated debt and recent profitability is weak.
China Youran Dairy Group Limited News
China Youran Dairy Sends Circular on Conditional Share Subscription and Whitewash Waiver
China Youran Dairy Group Limited ( ($HK:9858) ) just unveiled an update. China Youran Dairy Group Limited has despatched a circular to shareholders detailing a proposed connected transaction involving the
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Company Description
China Youran Dairy Group Limited
China Youran Dairy Group Limited functions as an investment holding company, offering a comprehensive suite of products and services to the upstream dairy industry across the People's Republic of China. Its operations are divided into two primary segments: Raw Milk Business and Comprehensive Ruminant Farming Solutions. The company directly supplies raw milk to dairy manufacturers. Furthermore, it supports dairy farms by providing nutritious concentrated feed and forage grass, alongside advanced genetic products such as frozen bovine semen, sex-sorted frozen bovine semen, and embryos, complemented by breeding solutions. China Youran also distributes various ruminant farming essentials, including veterinary drugs and animal husbandry equipment, through its online retail platform, Jumuc.com, and a network of offline pick-up stores. The company, founded in 1984, is headquartered in Hohhot, China.
- Sector
- Consumerdefensive
- Industry
- Agricultural Farm Products
- CEO
- Jiping Dong
- Employees
- 13,055
- Website
- www.yourandairy.com
- Address
- CN
China Youran Dairy Group Limited (9858) Earnings & Revenues
9858 Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
Technical Analysis
Overall Consensus
| Indicator | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Consensus | 15 | 2 | 5 |
| Technical Analysis | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Moving Averages | 12 | 0 | 0 |








