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Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H (9696) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:9696

Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H

(HKEX:9696)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:HKD 25.00â–²(8.32% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

The score is supported by improving TTM financial performance (strong rebound in profitability and cash flow, manageable leverage) and a relatively low P/E valuation. It is held back meaningfully by weak technicals (price below major moving averages, negative MACD, oversold momentum), and by the company’s high multi-year earnings/cash flow volatility.

Positive Factors
TTM Revenue and Profit ReboundThe latest twelve-month period shows a strong recovery in revenue and profitability, indicating renewed demand and operating leverage across lithium products. If maintained, the improved earnings base can support reinvestment, strengthen financial resilience, and provide a better foundation for growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High Earnings CyclicalityThe sharp swings between a large loss, modest profitability, and the latest rebound show that earnings power is highly sensitive to lithium-market conditions. Such cyclicality reduces confidence that current margins will persist and can make planning, capital allocation, and shareholder returns less predictable over the medium term.

Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H (9696) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%HK:9696-48.02%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 37.77B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.05M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.9
Beta (1Y)
1.33
Revenue Growth
115.70%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
3,902
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tianqi Lithium Corporation is a global entity focused on the manufacturing, processing, and distribution of lithium concentrate and a variety of chemical products. The company's operations extend across Australia, Chile, the United Kingdom, and China...

How the Company Makes Money

Tianqi Lithium makes money primarily by selling lithium chemical products and, where applicable, through participation in upstream lithium resource operations. Its core revenue model is product-based: it produces lithium compounds (commonly including...

Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary

TTM results show a strong rebound with revenue up 19.89%, very strong margins (gross ~61%, net ~28%), and improved operating/free cash flow. However, multi-year cyclicality is pronounced (large loss in 2024, modest profitability and weak cash flow in 2025), reducing confidence in durability despite a healthier balance sheet (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.32).

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.93B10.08B13.06B40.45B40.17B7.66B
Gross Profit12.88B3.91B5.30B34.35B34.15B4.69B
EBITDA12.98B4.40B5.65B37.66B41.46B4.64B
Net Income5.86B450.65M-7.90B7.28B23.94B3.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets85.13B73.10B69.56B74.97B72.56B45.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.92B5.71B6.42B9.35B12.46B1.99B
Total Debt15.67B15.49B14.92B11.76B8.71B21.81B
Total Liabilities24.44B21.12B19.50B19.01B17.80B26.01B
Stockholders Equity49.13B42.38B42.77B51.52B50.16B14.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.96B-583.56M1.03B18.25B18.58B1.23B
Operating Cash Flow7.57B2.93B5.55B22.69B20.30B2.23B
Investing Cash Flow-2.84B-4.41B-5.88B-2.02B744.01M-65.19M
Financing Cash Flow1.08B-417.37M-3.24B-23.44B-10.57B-1.15B

Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price23.08

Price Trends

50DMA30.11Negative
100DMA33.85Negative
200DMA42.41Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.84Negative
RSI27.07Positive
STOCH57.39Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9696, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.20, below the 50-day MA of 30.11, and below the 200-day MA of 42.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 27.07 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:9696.

Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:9696 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:3993HK:399366NeutralHKD 329.39B9.6832.65%3.54%38.53%62.42%
HK:2245HK:224565NeutralHKD 26.31B5.3430.91%4.12%34.76%66.30%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
HK:9696HK:969661NeutralHKD 65.49B9.9412.64%―115.70%―
HK:1091HK:109153NeutralHKD 2.28B5.3811.28%―-32.45%―
HK:2237HK:223749NeutralHKD 256.00M30.861.58%―2.31%―
HK:6128HK:612839UnderperformHKD 23.72M-0.05-1613.43%―-20.14%-84.86%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:9696HK:3993HK:1091HK:2237HK:2245HK:6128Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:9696 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:9696Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H23.08-23.50-50.45%
HK:3993CMOC Group12.32-3.56-22.42%
HK:1091South Manganese Investment Limited0.39-0.05-11.49%
HK:2237China Graphite Group Ltd.0.16-0.23-58.97%
HK:2245Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd. Class H16.74-4.65-21.73%
HK:6128Graphex Group Limited0.02-0.29-93.33%

Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H Corporate Events

Tianqi Lithium Posts Surging Profit in Third Quarter 2026

Oct 25, 2026

Tianqi Lithium Corporation is a China-based lithium producer listed in Hong Kong that operates within the new energy materials and battery supply chain sector. The company focuses on lithium resources development, production and sales, supplying key...

Tianqi Lithium projects multi‑billion yuan profit surge on booming lithium demand

Oct 20, 2026

Tianqi Lithium has issued a positive profit alert, forecasting net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB5.1 billion to RMB6.0 billion for the nine months ended 30 September 2026, compared with RMB179.9 million a year earlier. Basic earnings per...

Tianqi Lithium Sets October Board Meeting to Approve Q3 Results

Oct 9, 2026

Tianqi Lithium Corporation has scheduled a board meeting for 23 October 2026 to review and approve its third‑quarter results for the nine months ended 30 September 2026. The board will also consider the publication of these results and attend t...

Tianqi Lithium Publishes Unaudited 2026 Interim Results and Sets Report Timeline

Aug 27, 2026

Tianqi Lithium Corporation has released its unaudited consolidated interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, fulfilling Hong Kong listing rules on preliminary interim disclosures. The company will distribute the print version of its 2026...

Tianqi Lithium Sets Online Briefing to Discuss 2026 Interim Results

Aug 24, 2026

Tianqi Lithium Corporation, a major Chinese lithium producer serving the global new energy and electric vehicle supply chain, is listed in Hong Kong and maintains a broad investor base in regional and international markets. Its leadership team includ...

Tianqi Lithium Cancels Restricted A Shares After Performance Review

Aug 20, 2026

Tianqi Lithium has completed the repurchase and cancellation of 113,113 restricted A shares under its 2024 A Share Restricted Share Incentive Scheme, after performance and employment conditions triggered forfeiture for certain participants. The move...

Tianqi Lithium Schedules Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 17, 2026

Tianqi Lithium Corporation, a major Chinese lithium producer listed in Hong Kong, operates as a joint stock company supplying lithium products to the global new energy and battery markets. Its board includes both executive and independent non-executi...

Tianqi Lithium Subsidiary Commits RMB150 Million to SEVB Capital Increase

Aug 14, 2026

Tianqi Lithium Corporation has confirmed that its wholly owned subsidiary Shehong Tianqi has formally entered into a capital increase agreement with SEVB, Sunwoda Huizhou and the actual controllers of SEVB, Wang Mingwang and Wang Wei. Under this tran...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026