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Bilibili, Inc. Class Z (9626) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:9626

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z

(HKEX:9626)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:HKD 110.00â–²(9.24% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/28/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (return to profitability and strong free-cash-flow generation) and a constructive earnings outlook with continued margin expansion and capital returns. These positives are moderated by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and only fair valuation support given a 33.17 P/E and no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Engagement and Creator EcosystemRising users, time spent, and creator output reinforce Bilibili’s community-based network effects. Deeper engagement expands inventory for advertising and supports spending on memberships, live streaming, and creator-related services, giving the platform several durable monetization paths.
Negative Factors
Declining Game RevenueThe game business remains an important monetization stream, but its sharp revenue decline shows that results can be volatile around major title launches and difficult comparisons. Continued weakness would reduce diversification and place more pressure on advertising and VAS to sustain overall growth.

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z (9626) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%HK:9626-56.14%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 41.62B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
3.97M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
23.4
Beta (1Y)
1.96
Revenue Growth
10.65%
EPS Growth
621.86%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
8,423
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Internet Content & Information

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment, primarily targeting the younger demographic across the People's Republic of China. Its comprehensive digital platform features a wide array of content, including various video services, mobile gaming optio...

How the Company Makes Money

Bilibili generates revenue primarily by monetizing traffic, content consumption, and user engagement across its platform through multiple streams: (1) Advertising: The company sells performance and brand advertising inventory across its app and websi...

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-21.02%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized strong user engagement gains, robust advertising growth, continued margin expansion and meaningful AI-driven improvements, supported by healthy cash reserves and an active share repurchase program. Key positives include double-digit growth in ad revenue, improved conversion metrics, creator ecosystem expansion, and substantial profit inflection (net profit +55% YoY). Primary concerns are a 14% decline in game revenue (high prior-year base), modest overall revenue growth of 8% YoY, increased near-term R&D/AI spending, and macro/advertising market uncertainty which could pressure advertising and game monetization in the near term. On balance, the operational and profitability momentum outweighs the near-term headwinds.

Positive Updates

User Growth and Engagement
DAUs increased 7% YoY to 117 million; MAUs reached 371 million. Average daily time spent rose to 113 minutes (from 105 minutes a year ago) and total time spent increased over 14% YoY, indicating deeper engagement.

Negative Updates

Decline in Game Revenues
Mobile game revenue declined 14% YoY to RMB 1.4 billion, mainly due to a high base from San Mou last year. Gaming now accounts for ~18% of total revenue and near-term headwinds weighed on this segment.

Company Guidance

Management reiterated a confident outlook: they expect advertising to sustain healthy growth, game revenues to resume year‑over‑year growth in Q4, and mid‑to‑long‑term profitability targets of a 40–45% gross profit margin and a 15–20% operating margin; AI investment remains focused on video understanding, distribution and creation with a RMB 1.0 billion AI capex target (70–80% deployed in H1) and an expected RMB 500 million R&D impact for full‑year 2026; capital allocation includes a new two‑year USD 300 million share repurchase program (as of June 30, 1.9 million shares bought for USD 31 million; YTD purchases 5.8 million shares for USD 118 million, and management cited ~USD 180 million repurchased to date); balance sheet liquidity was RMB 24.3 billion (USD 3.6 billion).

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a clear inflection: 2025 returned to profitability alongside strong revenue acceleration and expanding gross margin. Cash generation is a standout strength with strongly positive and improving operating cash flow and free cash flow. Offsetting factors are still-thin net profitability, a sharp increase in debt in 2025, and historical volatility/earlier losses that make durability the main risk.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

81Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.19B30.35B26.83B22.53B21.90B19.38B
Gross Profit11.62B11.11B8.77B5.44B3.85B4.04B
EBITDA1.61B3.55B1.19B-1.67B-3.61B-3.95B
Net Income1.53B1.19B-1.35B-4.82B-7.51B-6.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.47B41.19B32.70B33.16B41.83B52.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.30B24.21B16.54B15.04B19.56B30.22B
Total Debt9.51B9.64B5.15B7.64B15.54B19.22B
Total Liabilities26.56B25.63B18.59B18.75B26.59B30.34B
Stockholders Equity15.95B15.58B14.11B14.39B15.24B21.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow05.32B4.26B-1.06B-6.65B-6.33B
Operating Cash Flow07.15B6.01B266.62M-3.91B-2.65B
Investing Cash Flow0-9.34B-138.09M1.76B10.61B-24.58B
Financing Cash Flow04.09B-2.83B-5.07B-4.35B30.39B

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price100.70

Price Trends

50DMA117.92Negative
100DMA128.55Negative
200DMA164.32Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.13Positive
RSI30.82Neutral
STOCH9.26Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9626, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 100.70 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.60, below the 50-day MA of 117.92, and below the 200-day MA of 164.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.26 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:9626.

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z Risk Analysis

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z disclosed 105 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bilibili, Inc. Class Z reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The time required for the exchange between our Class Z ordinary shares and ADSs might be longer than expected and investors might not be able to settle or effect any sale of their securities during this period, and the exchange of Class Z ordinary shares into ADSs involves costs.Q4, 2021
2.ADS holders may experience dilution of their holdings due to inability to participate in rights offerings.Q4, 2021
3.Sales or perceived potential sales of our Class Z ordinary shares, ADSs, or other equity or equity-linked securities in the public market could cause the price of our Class Z ordinary shares and/or ADSs to decline.Q4, 2021

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

HK:9626 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0799HK:079980OutperformHKD 3.14B5.3617.09%5.45%-1.22%1.26%
HK:9999HK:999978OutperformHKD 562.72B14.7920.04%2.60%10.15%-1.91%
HK:2400HK:240071OutperformHKD 17.37B10.1338.10%1.11%5.88%13.11%
HK:9626HK:962668NeutralHKD 42.17B23.419.84%―10.65%621.86%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
HK:0777HK:077741NeutralHKD 3.99B21.352.93%13.31%-15.56%―
HK:1119HK:111941NeutralHKD 686.94M95.660.56%―4.87%―

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%HK:9626HK:0799HK:0777HK:1119HK:9999HK:2400Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:9626 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:9626Bilibili, Inc. Class Z100.70-135.30-57.33%
HK:0799Igg (OTC)2.73-0.49-15.09%
HK:0777NetDragon Websoft Holdings 7.51-3.35-30.82%
HK:1119iDreamSky Technology Holdings Limited0.30-0.52-63.25%
HK:9999Netease Inc176.70-38.31-17.82%
HK:2400XD, Inc.36.06-34.29-48.74%

Bilibili, Inc. Class Z Corporate Events

Bilibili Shareholders Approve Tencent Subscription and Repurchase Deal

Oct 28, 2026

Bilibili shareholders have overwhelmingly approved a special resolution authorizing a Tencent subscription and share repurchase agreement, along with a concurrent repurchase transaction, at an extraordinary general meeting held on October 28, 2026. T...

Bilibili Registers Shares for Expanded Incentive Plans with U.S. SEC

Oct 2, 2026

Bilibili Inc. has filed a Form S-8 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to register securities underlying awards granted or to be granted under its Amended and Restated 2018 Share Incentive Plan, Second Amended and...

Bilibili Grants New RSUs to Bolster Long-Term Growth and Talent Retention

Sep 16, 2026

Bilibili Inc. has granted 4,580,801 restricted share units under its Second Amended and Restated 2018 Share Incentive Plan to employees and service providers, equal to about 1.09% of its total shares. The RSUs, priced at nil and referenced to a marke...

Bilibili Completes US$500 Million Convertible Notes Offering and Share Buyback

Sep 9, 2026

Bilibili Inc. has completed a US$500 million offering of convertible senior notes due 2031 and a concurrent repurchase of about US$100 million of its Class Z ordinary shares. The transaction is part of the company’s broader capital management s...

Bilibili Prices US$700 Million Convertible Notes and Launches Capital Actions

Sep 6, 2026

Bilibili Inc. has priced an aggregate US$700 million issuance of convertible senior notes due 2031, offered to non-U.S. qualified institutional buyers under Regulation S. The move underscores the company’s continued use of capital markets to su...

Bilibili Releases Q2 2026 Unaudited Results and Warns on Forward-Looking Risks

Aug 27, 2026

Bilibili Inc. has reported its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, prepared in line with U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules and released to the market as inside information. The company cautions sharehol...

Bilibili Boosts Profit and Advertising Revenue on Rising User Engagement

Aug 27, 2026

Bilibili reported unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, showing total net revenues of RMB15.41 billion, up 7% year on year, with advertising revenues jumping 29% to RMB5.72 billion. Gross profit rose 10% to RMB5.73 billion...

Bilibili Sets August 27 Board Meeting and Q2 2026 Earnings Call

Aug 6, 2026

Bilibili’s board of directors has scheduled a meeting for August 27, 2026, in Hong Kong to approve the company’s unaudited financial results for the second quarter and first half of 2026. The results will be released around 6:00 p.m. the...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026