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KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. (HK:3816)
:3816
Hong Kong Market
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KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. (3816) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3816

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd.

(3816)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
HK$5.00
▲(941.67% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:09/11/26
Overall score is driven primarily by solid financial recovery and a strong balance sheet, offset by unreliable cash flow and negative FY2026 free cash flow. Technicals indicate a strong uptrend but with overbought signals, while valuation is mixed: a very high dividend yield helps, but a high P/E limits upside without continued strong execution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Rebound
The FY2026 revenue rebound shows renewed business momentum after a softer period, strengthening the company’s near-term growth base. If sustained, higher sales can improve operating leverage, support reinvestment, and reinforce the company’s position in metal fabrication markets over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Conversion
Inconsistent operating cash flow and negative FY2026 free cash flow weaken confidence that reported profits will consistently become cash returns. This may reflect reinvestment needs or working-capital swings, limiting funding flexibility and making shareholder distributions less dependable across reporting periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Rebound
The FY2026 revenue rebound shows renewed business momentum after a softer period, strengthening the company’s near-term growth base. If sustained, higher sales can improve operating leverage, support reinvestment, and reinforce the company’s position in metal fabrication markets over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. (3816) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KFM Kingdom Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company primarily engaged in the global production and sale of precision metal components, specifically metal stampings and lathing products. Its extensive market reach spans the Peopl...

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong FY2026 rebound in revenue (+23.9%) and improved profitability (net margin ~7.8%, gross margin ~21.3%) plus a conservatively levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.17). The main drag is weak and inconsistent cash conversion: operating cash flow has been volatile and free cash flow was negative in FY2026 (~-10.3m), reducing confidence in earnings quality.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B757.55M589.90M605.10M612.19M
Gross Profit222.03M137.28M107.26M103.28M99.92M
EBITDA140.02M74.78M67.74M61.91M49.73M
Net Income81.63M36.33M23.24M22.67M-48.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.03B842.35M778.28M728.73M776.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments118.97M152.50M159.47M293.54M304.20M
Total Debt103.72M86.60M58.04M114.64M143.69M
Total Liabilities346.31M218.70M175.48M215.61M271.83M
Stockholders Equity615.13M554.38M530.55M513.12M504.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.34M-33.17M2.83M5.98M-95.76M
Operating Cash Flow35.79M-24.44M28.73M10.10M-53.41M
Investing Cash Flow2.96M11.60M-12.78M27.16M-56.84M
Financing Cash Flow-30.30M10.62M5.42M-20.49M-52.73M

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.48
Price Trends
50DMA
2.40
Positive
100DMA
2.24
Positive
200DMA
1.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
79.67
Negative
STOCH
76.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3816, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.88, below the 50-day MA of 2.40, and below the 200-day MA of 1.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.67 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3816.

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
HK$2.50B35.1213.60%0.31%37.42%124.96%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
HK$1.29B5.097.26%5.90%-4.88%-0.62%
60
Neutral
HK$1.39B85.636.05%-31.18%-121.38%
57
Neutral
HK$887.61M-30.11-1.92%14.29%-17.65%-538.68%
56
Neutral
HK$38.16B39.5511.42%2.78%32.98%86.94%
48
Neutral
HK$531.39M46.360.61%5.49%23.21%11.11%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3816
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd.
4.78
4.26
815.71%
HK:0838
Eva Precision Industrial Holdings Limited
0.73
-0.28
-27.94%
HK:0255
Lung Kee (Bermuda) Holdings Limited
1.40
-0.04
-2.71%
HK:0929
IPE Group Limited
0.51
-0.06
-10.21%
HK:6680
JL MAG Rare-Earth Co., Ltd. Class H
16.12
-6.24
-27.92%
HK:2535
WK Group (Holdings) Limited
0.69
0.10
16.10%

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

KFM Kingdom Issues Update on Share Price Surge as Major Shareholder Explores Deals
Sep 4, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. has reported unusual movements in its share price and trading volume on 4 September 2026, prompting a voluntary update to the market. After internal enquiries, the board stated it is unaware of any specific reason for the...
KFM Kingdom Holdings Wins Unanimous Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM
Aug 21, 2026
Shareholders of KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. approved all ordinary resolutions at the annual general meeting held on 21 August 2026, with 452,155,012 votes cast entirely in favour and none against. The AGM endorsed the audited financial statements fo...
KFM Kingdom Clarifies Caps and Controls for Connected Manufacturing Deal
Aug 3, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings has detailed how it set the annual caps for continuing connected transactions under its contract manufacturing agreement with HHY, relying on past transaction values, current market prices and expected demand. The company fact...
KFM Kingdom Holdings Signs Three-Year Connected Contract Manufacturing Deal
Jul 24, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings has entered into a three-year contract manufacturing agreement between its subsidiary KPP(SZ) and PRC-based company HHY, effective from 24 July 2026. Under the deal, KPP(SZ) will manufacture and supply products to HHY, with pr...
KFM Kingdom Calls 2026 AGM and Seeks Fresh Share Issuance Mandate
Jul 23, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. has called an annual general meeting for 21 August 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will review and approve the audited consolidated financial statements and directors’ and auditors’ reports for the year ...
KFM Kingdom Reaffirms Support for Director Amid SFC Legal Action
Jul 2, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. has issued a supplemental announcement addressing legal proceedings initiated by the Securities and Futures Commission seeking disqualification orders against independent non-executive director Wan Kam To. The board, excl...
KFM Kingdom Holdings Profit Surges as Revenue Tops HK$1 Billion
Jun 26, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings reported a strong improvement in results for the year ended 31 March 2026, with revenue rising to HK$1.04 billion from HK$757.5 million and gross profit climbing to HK$222.0 million. Net profit more than doubled to HK$83.6 mil...
KFM Kingdom Holds Line on Board Stability Amid SFC Action Against Independent Director
Jun 22, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. has issued an update regarding legal proceedings initiated by the Securities and Futures Commission against independent non-executive director Wan Kam To, who is seeking legal advice to defend himself, with no court order...
KFM Kingdom Distances Itself From SFC Action Against Director Over Former Role
Jun 17, 2026
KFM Kingdom Holdings disclosed that Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission has initiated court proceedings seeking disqualification orders against 11 former directors of Target Insurance (Holdings) Limited, including KFM’s indep...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2026