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Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited
(2451)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
HK$14.50
â–²(18.85% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/19/26
The score is held back primarily by thin operating profitability, a sharp increase in leverage, and historically volatile free cash flow despite a 2025 rebound. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought readings raise near-term risk. Valuation is a headwind given the high P/E, partially balanced by a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Long-term revenue scale
Meaningful revenue expansion over the 2020–2025 period indicates that Luyuan has built greater business scale and market reach. The strong 2025 increase also provides a larger operating base from which product development, distribution and future earnings growth can develop.
Negative Factors
Thin operating profitability
Profitability remains thin despite the company’s larger scale, leaving limited earnings protection if costs rise or pricing becomes less favorable. The low EBIT and net margins reduce the cushion available to absorb operating pressure and make durable earnings expansion more difficult.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Long-term revenue scale
Meaningful revenue expansion over the 2020–2025 period indicates that Luyuan has built greater business scale and market reach. The strong 2025 increase also provides a larger operating base from which product development, distribution and future earnings growth can develop.
Read all positive factors
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited (2451) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$5.87B
Dividend Yield1.05%
Average Volume (3M)1.88M
Price to Earnings (P/E)34.0
Beta (1Y)-0.09
Revenue Growth-3.17%
EPS Growth-11.00%
CountryHK
Employees2,897
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.36
Shares Outstanding409,580,000
10 Day Avg. Volume2,374,296
30 Day Avg. Volume1,875,257
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.45
Price to Book (P/B)2.53
Price to Sales (P/S)0.74
P/FCF Ratio19.42
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.46
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$6.49B
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited, operating through its subsidiaries, specializes in the entire process of designing, researching, developing, manufacturing, and selling electric two-wheeled vehicles within the People's Republic of China. Its...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by selling electric two-wheeled vehicles (finished products) under its brand portfolio. Revenue is generated when products are sold to downstream channel partners (e.g., distributors/dealers and retail outlets) or...
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.19B | 5.75B | 5.07B | 5.08B | 4.78B | 3.42B |
| Gross Profit | 722.58M | 792.52M | 665.01M | 681.24M | 561.33M | 387.11M |
| EBITDA | 213.27M | 334.82M | 169.30M | 264.85M | 222.43M | 140.38M |
| Net Income | 137.95M | 170.57M | 116.76M | 145.61M | 118.03M | 59.26M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.35B | 5.09B | 4.32B | 3.86B | 3.18B | 2.67B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.03B | 2.24B | 1.77B | 1.95B | 1.14B | 811.00M |
| Total Debt | 2.40B | 2.50B | 1.02B | 650.72M | 661.69M | 671.92M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.62B | 3.42B | 2.83B | 2.33B | 2.50B | 2.11B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.73B | 1.68B | 1.50B | 1.53B | 679.84M | 560.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -164.82M | 218.44M | -436.49M | 57.32M | 276.17M | -201.72M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 40.35M | 448.98M | -3.12M | 260.63M | 509.89M | 144.39M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -717.24M | -817.70M | -448.64M | -310.78M | -294.10M | -562.52M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -12.75M | 291.01M | 12.91M | 654.71M | -44.86M | 464.85M |
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Technical Analysis
Neutral
12.20
Price Trends
13.56
Positive
12.58
Positive
12.97
Positive
Market Momentum
0.78
Positive
48.56
Neutral
33.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2451, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.45, below the 50-day MA of 13.56, and below the 200-day MA of 12.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:2451.
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
HK:2451
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited
14.32
4.08
39.84%
HK:1585
Yadea Group Holdings Ltd.
8.20
-4.93
-37.56%
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Corporate Events
Luyuan’s H1 Profit Falls as EV Motorcycle Leader Bets on Tech and Overseas Growth
Aug 26, 2026
Luyuan Group Holding reported that despite cyclical demand adjustments in the electric two-wheeler market, it maintained resilient operations, improving its gross profit margin to 13.8% while seeing electric motorcycle sales surge about 78.2% to a...
Luyuan Group Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results
Aug 14, 2026
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited has scheduled a board meeting for August 26, 2026, to review and approve its interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The board will also consider the publication of these results, the potential...
Luyuan Group Flags Up to 35% Profit Drop Amid Strategic Expansion and Industry Slowdown
Jul 28, 2026
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited has warned that profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2026 will fall by up to 35% from the roughly RMB110 million recorded a year earlier, as industry demand undergoes a cyclical adjustment...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.