TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited (2451) AI Stock Analysis

HK:2451

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited

(HKEX:2451)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:HKD 14.00â–²(2.49% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/19/26

The score is held back primarily by thin operating profitability, a sharp increase in leverage, and historically volatile free cash flow despite a 2025 rebound. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought readings raise near-term risk. Valuation is a headwind given the high P/E, partially balanced by a high dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Mass-Market Urban Mobility PlatformLuyuan operates in mass-market urban mobility, with an established brand, multiple electric two-wheeled products, and distribution and retail channels. This business model can support broad customer reach and repeatable market access as demand for affordable electric transportation develops.
Negative Factors
Thin Operating ProfitabilityProfitability remains thin across gross, operating, and net levels, leaving limited protection if costs rise or pricing becomes less favorable. The low EBIT margin particularly constrains earnings resilience and reduces the room available to absorb operating volatility.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited (2451) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%HK:2451+25.32%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 5.17B
Dividend Yield
1.10%
Average Volume (3M)
1.14M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
32.1
Beta (1Y)
-0.10
Revenue Growth
-3.17%
EPS Growth
-11.00%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
2,897
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Auto - Manufacturers

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited, operating through its subsidiaries, specializes in the entire process of designing, researching, developing, manufacturing, and selling electric two-wheeled vehicles within the People's Republic of China. Its pr...

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show improving scale and higher net income in 2025, but profitability remains thin (gross margin ~13.8%, net margin ~3.0%, EBIT margin ~1.8%). Balance-sheet risk rose materially as leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.68 in 2024 to ~1.49 in 2025). Cash flow is a key concern due to volatility (negative operating/free cash flow in 2024, rebound to positive in 2025), reducing earnings quality and resilience.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.19B5.75B5.07B5.08B4.78B3.42B
Gross Profit722.58M792.52M665.01M681.24M561.33M387.11M
EBITDA215.55M334.82M192.17M264.85M222.43M140.38M
Net Income137.95M170.57M116.76M145.61M118.03M59.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.35B5.09B4.32B3.86B3.18B2.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.03B2.24B1.77B1.95B1.14B811.00M
Total Debt2.40B2.50B1.02B650.72M661.69M671.92M
Total Liabilities3.62B3.42B2.83B2.33B2.50B2.11B
Stockholders Equity1.73B1.68B1.50B1.53B679.84M560.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-164.82M218.44M-436.49M57.32M276.17M-201.72M
Operating Cash Flow40.35M448.98M-3.12M260.63M509.89M144.39M
Investing Cash Flow-717.24M-817.70M-448.64M-310.78M-294.10M-562.52M
Financing Cash Flow-12.75M291.01M12.91M654.71M-44.86M464.85M

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price13.66

Price Trends

50DMA14.08Negative
100DMA13.18Positive
200DMA13.15Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.14Positive
RSI44.87Neutral
STOCH58.40Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2451, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.93, below the 50-day MA of 14.08, and above the 200-day MA of 13.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:2451.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:2451 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:1585HK:158568NeutralHKD 24.71B8.7623.56%6.40%13.19%35.39%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HK:2451HK:245155NeutralHKD 5.59B32.138.10%1.10%-3.17%-11.00%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%HK:2451HK:1585Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:2451 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:2451Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited13.662.6824.41%
HK:1585Yadea Group Holdings Ltd.8.28-3.16-27.64%

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Corporate Events

Luyuan’s H1 Profit Falls as EV Motorcycle Leader Bets on Tech and Overseas Growth

Aug 26, 2026

Luyuan Group Holding reported that despite cyclical demand adjustments in the electric two-wheeler market, it maintained resilient operations, improving its gross profit margin to 13.8% while seeing electric motorcycle sales surge about 78.2% to arou...

Luyuan Group Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results

Aug 14, 2026

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited has scheduled a board meeting for August 26, 2026, to review and approve its interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The board will also consider the publication of these results, the potential re...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026