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Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H (2411) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2411

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H

(HKEX:2411)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:HKD 1.00â–¼(-11.50% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/27/26

The score is held down primarily by weakening financial performance (consecutive net losses, declining revenue, margin compression, and negative/weakening cash flows) and a technically bearish trend (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation support comes mainly from the very high dividend yield, but the negative P/E and weaker cash generation limit confidence in sustainability.

Positive Factors
Branded Retail NetworkA branded retail network provides an established route to consumers and can support repeat purchasing across locations and channels. This operating base also gives the company a platform to improve product mix, store productivity, and customer reach over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Profitability DeteriorationThe shift from multi-year profits to consecutive net losses indicates that the current operating model is not converting revenue into sustainable earnings. Revenue declines and materially lower gross margin reduce cost absorption, making recovery dependent on improving demand and profitability.

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H (2411) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:2411-45.98%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 2.12B
Dividend Yield
0.51%
Average Volume (3M)
1.97M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
27.5
Beta (1Y)
0.48
Revenue Growth
0.94%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
2,483
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Grocery Stores

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited serves as a prominent fruit retail entity operating throughout the People's Republic of China. The company's product portfolio encompasses both fresh fruits and various fruit-based items, such as...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money by selling fresh fruit products to end consumers through its branded retail network, capturing retail margin between its procurement costs (sourcing fruit from growers and suppliers) and the selling price in stores a...

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial quality is pressured. The company shifted from profits (2021–2023) to net losses in 2024–2025, with revenue declining (notably in 2025) and gross margin compressing materially (from ~11.5% in 2023 to ~7.3% in 2025). Cash flow is also weakening with negative operating cash flow in 2025 and negative free cash flow for three straight years (2023–2025). Balance sheet risk is elevated by rising leverage (debt-to-equity up to ~1.12 in 2025) and negative ROE in 2024–2025.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.81B8.17B10.27B11.39B11.31B10.29B
Gross Profit990.51M596.21M761.96M1.31B1.31B1.16B
EBITDA267.83M-114.65M-200.88M584.16M558.46M453.54M
Net Income58.17M-317.49M-386.03M361.72M323.30M230.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.52B7.61B7.82B7.59B6.81B6.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.70B3.02B2.50B2.30B2.09B1.85B
Total Debt3.74B3.00B2.92B2.41B1.80B2.02B
Total Liabilities5.87B4.82B5.01B4.25B3.79B3.71B
Stockholders Equity2.59B2.68B2.71B3.22B2.95B2.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow65.53M-199.68M-53.91M-166.24M414.71M239.92M
Operating Cash Flow111.08M-150.08M164.58M-48.53M589.18M283.88M
Investing Cash Flow339.31M581.61M-760.20M282.56M619.85M-577.90M
Financing Cash Flow-259.80M-243.21M239.09M414.89M-307.78M404.05M

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.13

Price Trends

50DMA1.43Negative
100DMA1.48Negative
200DMA1.56Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Positive
RSI22.39Positive
STOCH0.55Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2411, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.43, below the 50-day MA of 1.43, and below the 200-day MA of 1.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.39 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.55 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:2411.

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:2411 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0178HK:017873OutperformHKD 4.05B19.9216.40%2.06%11.19%160.48%
HK:2209HK:220969NeutralHKD 1.21B5.6431.59%3.46%31.51%22.05%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HK:9896HK:989650NeutralHKD 24.06B17.1614.11%6.58%30.79%-44.14%
HK:2411HK:241148NeutralHKD 2.15B27.472.21%0.51%0.94%―
HK:0933HK:093344NeutralHKD 3.59B16.443.56%―4.50%―
HK:0493HK:049337UnderperformHKD 758.47M-0.0821.77%―-28.44%42.64%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%HK:2411HK:0493HK:2209HK:9896HK:0178HK:0933Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:2411 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:2411Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H1.13-0.77-40.62%
HK:0493GOME Retail Holdings 0.01-0.01-44.44%
HK:2209YesAsia Holdings Limited2.89-1.92-39.95%
HK:9896MINISO Group Holding Ltd.19.82-20.46-50.80%
HK:0178Sa Sa International Holdings Limited1.300.73126.96%
HK:0933Viva China Holdings Limited0.36-0.20-35.71%

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp. Ltd. Class H Corporate Events

Pagoda Shareholders Approve Loan to Subsidiary and Amend Share Award Scheme

Oct 30, 2026

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited held its second extraordinary general meeting of 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders voted by poll on key resolutions concerning a connected transaction and an incentive scheme. Voting rights w...

Pagoda Group Calls 2026 EGM on Connected Loan and Share Award Changes

Oct 14, 2026

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited has called its second extraordinary general meeting of 2026 for October 30 in Shenzhen, where shareholders will vote on providing financial assistance under a loan agreement to connected subsidia...

Shenzhen Pagoda Schedules October Extraordinary General Meeting and Sets Register Closure

Oct 12, 2026

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited has announced that it will convene an extraordinary general meeting on Friday, October 30, 2026, in line with Hong Kong listing rules. The meeting will determine matters requiring shareholder app...

Shenzhen Pagoda Swings to Interim Profit as Store Network Expands

Aug 28, 2026

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited reported a 14.5% year-on-year increase in revenue to RMB5.01 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2026, driven mainly by higher sales of fruits, snacks and other food products. Gross profit...

Pagoda Industrial Boosts Connected Subsidiary Financing to RMB360 Million

Aug 28, 2026

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited has entered into a new loan agreement with its connected subsidiary Pagoda Commercial Management, conditionally providing up to RMB110 million in financing at a fixed annual interest rate of 3.2%...

Shenzhen Pagoda Schedules Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Dividends

Aug 18, 2026

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited, a PRC-incorporated joint stock company listed in Hong Kong under stock code 2411, operates in the retail segment with a focus on fresh produce and consumer goods for the Chinese market. Its boar...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2026