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BAIC Motor
(1958)
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.79
▼(-3.54% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/15/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance (shrinking revenue, sharply compressed margins, near-breakeven profitability, and a steep 2025 drop in free cash flow). Technicals add additional risk with a longer-term downtrend and negative momentum indicators, while valuation provides limited support due to an uninformative negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage
Debt-to-equity remains moderate despite recent re-leveraging, so the balance sheet is not highly stretched. This provides BAIC Motor with some capacity to continue operating and fund strategic priorities, although weaker profitability reduces the financial cushion supporting that flexibility.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction
The renewed revenue decline indicates weakening business volume or mix after a flat prior year, reducing operating leverage and the company’s ability to absorb fixed costs. Sustained contraction would make it harder for BAIC Motor to support investment and improve profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable leverage
Debt-to-equity remains moderate despite recent re-leveraging, so the balance sheet is not highly stretched. This provides BAIC Motor with some capacity to continue operating and fund strategic priorities, although weaker profitability reduces the financial cushion supporting that flexibility.
Read all positive factors
BAIC Motor (1958) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$5.61B
Dividend Yield13.07%
Average Volume (3M)5.48M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.02
Revenue Growth-20.42%
EPS Growth-187.57%
CountryHK
Employees34,338
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.02
Shares Outstanding2,520,690,700
10 Day Avg. Volume8,794,889
30 Day Avg. Volume5,475,254
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.30
Price to Book (P/B)0.24
Price to Sales (P/S)0.08
P/FCF Ratio15.33
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$0.88Price Target Upside6.83% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.24
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$135.36B
BAIC Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited, together with its affiliated companies, is primarily engaged in the production and sale of passenger automobiles within the People's Republic of China. The company's diverse vehicle lineup includes luxury passenger ...
How the Company Makes Money
BAIC Motor makes money mainly by selling vehicles and related services through a mix of self-owned brands and joint-venture operations.
1) Vehicle sales (core revenue stream)
- Self-branded vehicles: BAIC Motor generates revenue from the wholesal...
BAIC Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
33
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 164.05B | 192.50B | 197.95B | 190.46B | 175.92B |
| Gross Profit | 19.01B | 30.89B | 38.30B | 42.33B | 37.64B |
| EBITDA | 19.49B | 24.10B | 30.32B | 34.34B | 33.22B |
| Net Income | 122.70M | 955.84M | 3.03B | 4.20B | 3.86B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 166.58B | 172.04B | 168.72B | 173.38B | 180.84B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 25.57B | 33.90B | 31.42B | 37.53B | 41.27B |
| Total Debt | 19.62B | 8.95B | 13.44B | 20.59B | 22.47B |
| Total Liabilities | 89.46B | 93.56B | 89.34B | 94.44B | 105.96B |
| Stockholders Equity | 57.97B | 57.31B | 57.01B | 54.50B | 52.58B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 906.13M | 19.16B | 15.43B | 12.43B | 4.46B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.04B | 29.15B | 24.25B | 18.65B | 12.90B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -11.79B | -10.99B | -9.37B | -7.86B | -7.77B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.44B | -15.63B | -21.28B | -14.68B | -12.14B |
BAIC Motor Technical Analysis
Negative
0.82
Price Trends
0.81
Negative
0.99
Negative
1.40
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.03
Positive
35.07
Neutral
7.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1958, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.77, above the 50-day MA of 0.81, and below the 200-day MA of 1.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1958.
BAIC Motor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | HK$174.88B | 9.21 | 17.21% | 3.01% | 34.63% | 6.58% | |
70 Outperform | HK$144.87B | 6.85 | 34.74% | 3.83% | ― | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
59 Neutral | HK$123.44B | 20.72 | 6.90% | 5.20% | 19.18% | -48.45% | |
45 Neutral | HK$49.61B | -4.80 | -10.19% | 2.55% | -0.41% | -238.41% | |
43 Neutral | HK$5.61B | -3.05 | -3.22% | 13.07% | -20.42% | -187.57% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
HK:1958
BAIC Motor
0.82
-1.26
-60.58%
HK:0175
Geely Automobile Holdings
16.59
-1.39
-7.75%
HK:2238
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co
2.33
-1.09
-31.82%
HK:2333
Great Wall Motor Co
7.74
-8.93
-53.57%
HK:9973
Chery Automobile Co.,Ltd.
25.72
-5.07
-16.47%
BAIC Motor Corporate Events
BAIC Motor Clarifies Scope and Amounts of 2025 Connected Transactions
Sep 15, 2026
BAIC Motor has issued a supplemental announcement to its 2025 annual report, clarifying the nature of its related party dealings under Hong Kong listing rules. The company confirms that, aside from specified transactions involving Beijing Automoti...
BAIC Motor Swings to Interim Loss as Revenue and Profit Slide
Aug 28, 2026
BAIC Motor reported a sharp year-on-year decline in interim revenue for the first half of 2026, with sales falling to RMB57.7 billion from RMB82.4 billion and gross profit almost halving. The company’s profit before tax dropped significantly...
BAIC Motor Sets Late‑August Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results
Aug 18, 2026
BAIC Motor has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 in Beijing to review and approve the group’s interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The meeting will also handle other corporate matters, signaling the next key disc...
BAIC Motor to Recoup RMB1.4 Billion in MBLC Capital Cut While Keeping 35% Stake
Aug 7, 2026
BAIC Motor has agreed with Mercedes-Benz Group China (MBGC) to significantly reduce the registered capital of their joint venture MBLC by RMB4 billion, cutting MBLC’s capital from about RMB5.1 billion to roughly RMB1.1 billion. BAIC will rec...
BAIC Motor Flags Interim Loss as Competition and Costs Bite
Jul 28, 2026
BAIC Motor has warned that it expects to report a net loss attributable to shareholders of about RMB1.55 billion to RMB1.65 billion for the first half of 2026, reversing from a profit a year earlier. The company cited weaker-than-expected sales am...
BAIC Motor Shareholders Approve Key 2025–2026 Resolutions at Beijing Meetings
Jun 25, 2026
BAIC Motor reported that its 2025 annual general meeting and separate 2026 class meetings for domestic and H shareholders were validly convened in Beijing, with turnout ranging from about 47% to 80% of eligible shares across classes. The meetings,...
BAIC Motor Outlines Board Line-Up and Committee Structure
Jun 25, 2026
BAIC Motor has announced the current composition of its board of directors, naming Zhang Guofu as chairman and detailing a mix of executive, non-executive, independent non-executive and employee representative directors. The structure underscores ...
BAIC Motor Reshuffles Board, Taps State Capital Executive as New Non-Executive Director
Jun 23, 2026
BAIC Motor has announced that non-executive director Gu Tiemin will step down from the board and its remuneration committee due to work adjustment, with the change taking effect once a successor is approved. The board expressed appreciation for Gu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.