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Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (HK:1869)
:1869
Hong Kong Market
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Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (1869) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1869

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd.

(1869)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.06
â–Ľ(-49.17% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:09/09/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (contracting revenue, recent losses, negative equity, and negative 2025 cash flow). Technicals are mixed but still reflect a broader downtrend (below key long-term moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides little support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Debt reduction
Substantial debt reduction improves the company’s financial flexibility and lowers ongoing refinancing and interest burdens. Although the capital structure remains stressed, a much smaller debt load can help preserve cash, reduce creditor pressure, and support stabilization if operating performance improves.
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue decline
Three consecutive years of revenue contraction point to weakening business scale and reduced market activity. Persistent top-line decline makes it harder to absorb fixed costs, fund investment, and restore profitability, while also limiting the company’s ability to rebuild financial strength through organic growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt reduction
Substantial debt reduction improves the company’s financial flexibility and lowers ongoing refinancing and interest burdens. Although the capital structure remains stressed, a much smaller debt load can help preserve cash, reduce creditor pressure, and support stabilization if operating performance improves.
Read all positive factors

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (1869) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides food catering and beverage services in Hong Kong and the People’s Republic of China. It operates restaurants under the Star of Canton and Li Bao House brands and coffee shops...
How the Company Makes Money
Specific, verifiable details about Li Bao Ge Group Ltd.’s revenue model (key revenue streams, monetization structure, and any material partnerships or contributing factors) are not available from the information provided in this request. null...

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals overall: revenue has declined for three consecutive years (2023–2025) and profitability deteriorated with losses in 2024–2025, including very weak/negative margins in 2025. The balance sheet remains stressed due to persistent negative shareholder equity despite meaningful debt reduction, and cash flow turned negative in 2025, increasing near-term liquidity risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
31
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue124.23M106.14M139.62M178.52M135.55M274.57M
Gross Profit4.34M-216.00K20.29M38.95M33.02M89.93M
EBITDA-30.14M-8.76M-17.04M39.79M3.40M-29.65M
Net Income-4.92M-4.68M-48.68M7.99M-41.35M-92.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.53M62.27M87.62M108.01M141.92M206.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.51M3.94M10.57M16.88M24.29M26.82M
Total Debt12.25M24.14M55.10M73.99M121.60M165.89M
Total Liabilities154.00M128.19M152.04M165.74M208.59M245.51M
Stockholders Equity-71.29M-60.95M-59.64M-52.79M-61.60M-35.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.68M-6.12M1.07M29.07M6.90M37.87M
Operating Cash Flow-22.67M-6.12M9.79M34.52M10.27M42.01M
Investing Cash Flow22.01M11.33M-20.25M-4.34M-1.71M-3.82M
Financing Cash Flow-1.94M-12.24M4.56M-37.09M-9.37M-42.15M

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.12
Price Trends
50DMA
0.07
Negative
100DMA
0.09
Negative
200DMA
0.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
57.36
Neutral
STOCH
71.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1869, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, above the 50-day MA of 0.07, and above the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:1869.

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
HK$1.43B10.3115.54%5.63%8.46%56.14%
66
Neutral
HK$3.06B18.246.13%7.52%-4.50%-29.22%
62
Neutral
HK$867.77M35.470.75%9.95%8.18%100.92%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
HK$248.15M25.571.95%14.52%-2.56%-23.91%
50
Neutral
HK$1.48B17.642.33%1.79%-12.56%82.25%
41
Neutral
HK$93.08M-18.827.44%11.21%-35.99%93.01%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1869
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd.
0.06
-0.05
-45.30%
HK:9922
Jiumaojiu International Holdings Ltd.
1.12
-1.24
-52.69%
HK:1314
Tsui Wah Holdings Ltd.
0.18
>-0.01
-3.76%
HK:0341
Cafe de Coral Holdings Ltd.
5.32
-1.11
-17.22%
HK:0538
Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited
0.80
-0.17
-17.18%
HK:6811
Tai Hing Group Holdings Ltd.
1.51
0.49
48.18%

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Kafelaku Coffee Extends Share Placing Deadline and Raises Offer Price
Sep 2, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has adjusted the timetable and pricing of its planned placing of new shares under its general mandate. The company and its placing agent agreed to extend the long stop date for completion from 2 September 2026 to 23...
Kafelaku Coffee Narrows Interim Loss Despite Sharp Revenue Decline
Aug 26, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited, a Hong Kong-listed coffee and food service operator, reported interim unaudited results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The Group’s business centers on coffee-focused retail and catering services, with...
Kafelaku Coffee Clarifies Non-Operating Subsidiary Disposal and Books Gain
Aug 21, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has issued supplemental details on its previously announced disposal of certain subsidiaries, clarifying that the consideration was set primarily to cover administrative fees and expenses, including stamp duty, beca...
Kafelaku Coffee Sheds Dormant Subsidiaries as It Refocuses on Coffee Expansion
Aug 20, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited, a Cayman Islands–incorporated company listed in Hong Kong, operates in the food and beverage industry across Hong Kong and the PRC. It is currently expanding into coffee-related businesses, seeking to leverag...
Kafelaku Coffee Moves to Shore Up Liquidity and Expand Coffee Business
Aug 20, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has outlined a series of measures to improve its liquidity and financial position following a disclaimer of opinion in its latest audited results and recent changes in its major shareholding and board leadership. Th...
Kafelaku Coffee Schedules Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Dividend
Aug 14, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has scheduled a board meeting for Wednesday, 26 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited consolidated financial results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider the declaration of a...
Kafelaku Coffee Launches Discounted Share Placing to Raise HK$11 Million
Aug 12, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has entered into an agreement to place up to 282,050,000 new shares under its general mandate at HK$0.039 per share through Yuen Meta (International) Securities Limited. The placing shares, to be allotted to at leas...
Kafelaku Coffee Clarifies Details on New Chairman’s Identity and Roles
Aug 11, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited issued a supplemental announcement clarifying details about its newly appointed chairman and executive director, Ms. Szeto Huen Sum Hannah. The company disclosed that she previously used the name Szeto Ho Man and fo...
Kafelaku Coffee Sets Out Board Line-Up and Governance Structure
Aug 4, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has announced the composition of its board of directors, naming Ms. Szeto Huen Sum Hannah as chairman and Mr. Cui Zifeng as chief executive officer, alongside several executive, non-executive, and independent non-ex...
Kafelaku Coffee Names Finance Executive as New Chair After Cui Resigns
Aug 4, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has announced that Mr. Cui Zhiqiang will step down as chairman of the board, executive director, chairman of the nomination committee, member of the remuneration committee and authorised representative with effect f...
Kafelaku Coffee Chairman Sells 24.2% Stake, Reshaping Shareholding Structure
Jul 24, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has disclosed that its chairman and substantial shareholder, Cui Zhiqiang, together with his spouse, has sold 409,860,000 shares, representing about 24.2% of the company’s issued share capital. The disposal ma...
Kafelaku Coffee Raises HK$21.4 Million Through Share Placing to Strengthen Finances
Jul 14, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has completed a placing of 282,050,000 new shares under its general mandate at HK$0.076 per share, raising gross proceeds of about HK$21.4 million. The new shares represent 20% of the pre-placing issued share capita...
Kafelaku Coffee Wins Full Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM
Jun 24, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited reported that all resolutions proposed at its 24 June 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders via poll, with all directors attending in person or electronically. Shareholders adopted the 2025 audit...
Kafelaku Coffee Plans Discounted Share Placement to Raise HK$20.9 Million
Jun 16, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has entered into an agreement with Grand Moore Capital Limited to place up to 282,050,000 new shares under its general mandate at HK$0.076 per share, representing about 20% of its existing share capital. The placeme...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2026