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Jia Yao Holdings Limited (HK:1626)
:1626
Hong Kong Market
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Jia Yao Holdings Limited (1626) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1626

Jia Yao Holdings Limited

(1626)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
HK$28.00
▲(921.90% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/17/26
The score is held down primarily by weak and volatile fundamentals (notably the 2025 earnings/margin reset and negative free cash flow) and an extremely high P/E valuation. These are partially offset by strong recent technical momentum, with price well above key moving averages, though momentum indicators are nearing overbought levels.
Positive Factors
Strong latest revenue growth
The reported 161.1% revenue growth indicates materially expanded sales in the latest annual period. If the enlarged order base persists, greater production scale and customer penetration could support future operating leverage, although profitability conversion remains a key constraint.
Negative Factors
Severe profitability collapse
The sharp decline in net margin and near-breakeven EBIT margin shows that strong revenue growth is not translating into durable earnings. Unless the higher operating costs or other headwinds are reversed, the company’s expanded sales base may generate little incremental shareholder value.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong latest revenue growth
The reported 161.1% revenue growth indicates materially expanded sales in the latest annual period. If the enlarged order base persists, greater production scale and customer penetration could support future operating leverage, although profitability conversion remains a key constraint.
Read all positive factors

Jia Yao Holdings Limited (1626) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating as an investment holding company, Jia Yao Holdings Limited specializes in the design, production, printing, and distribution of paper packaging for both tobacco and various consumer goods across the People's Republic of China. Its busine...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money mainly by manufacturing and selling printed paper packaging products. Its revenue is primarily generated from customer orders where it charges for (i) packaging product supply (the finished printed packaging delivered to cu...

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement quality is weak (38) due to a sharp 2025 margin/earnings collapse despite revenue growth, and cash flow is pressured (32) with negative free cash flow in 2024–2025. The balance sheet is more supportive (58) with moderate leverage, but declining equity and sharply lower ROE reduce flexibility.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
32
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue725.21M644.94M770.48M1.46B968.36M688.94M
Gross Profit190.23M153.23M208.75M387.46M137.86M65.02M
EBITDA74.35M35.97M54.31M197.34M34.55M-10.33M
Net Income24.58M1.83M50.61M99.28M5.50M-26.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets662.21M713.90M866.44M1.47B1.07B755.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.25M136.88M262.91M384.54M298.70M75.60M
Total Debt103.73M137.67M133.20M92.78M76.00M103.52M
Total Liabilities313.28M384.35M374.14M925.22M690.38M549.64M
Stockholders Equity288.57M282.47M450.43M402.96M327.77M160.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.01M-8.11M-48.35M23.80M65.59M3.52M
Operating Cash Flow9.80M8.47M-22.19M68.50M80.54M34.22M
Investing Cash Flow-31.22M46.68M-51.63M-35.13M-7.82M-27.17M
Financing Cash Flow-14.64M-220.03M37.80M12.67M127.14M-11.72M

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.74
Price Trends
50DMA
23.20
Positive
100DMA
21.79
Positive
200DMA
13.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.18
Negative
RSI
58.64
Neutral
STOCH
62.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1626, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.41, below the 50-day MA of 23.20, and below the 200-day MA of 13.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1626.

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
HK$692.21M28.5712.61%0.56%19.35%53.85%
51
Neutral
HK$845.68M11.041.77%9.86%-28.18%-67.44%
49
Neutral
HK$16.43B566.978.61%7.69%161.08%―
45
Neutral
HK$841.77M-20.96-7.47%2.86%3.70%-24.49%
45
Neutral
HK$46.51M8.90-1.85%―50.21%-74.97%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1626
Jia Yao Holdings Limited
27.10
24.21
837.72%
HK:0468
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company
2.50
0.00
0.00%
HK:0716
Singamas Container Holdings
0.37
-0.24
-39.17%
HK:1820
Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Corp.
2.80
0.65
30.11%
HK:6898
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd.
0.72
>-0.01
-0.69%
HK:8291
Wan Cheng Metal Packaging Company Limited
0.22
-0.04
-13.94%

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Jia Yao Holdings Drops 80% Stake Acquisition Over Tax Uncertainty
Sep 4, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited has terminated its previously announced plan to acquire 80% of the issued shares of a target company, a deal that would have been settled partly through the issue of consideration shares under its general mandate. Followin...
Jia Yao Swings Back to Profit on Higher Revenue and Margin Gains
Aug 28, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited reported a strong recovery for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with revenue rising 30.7% year-on-year to RMB340.4 million and gross profit jumping 63.8% to RMB94.7 million. The gross profit margin improved from 22.2% to...
Jia Yao Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Consider Dividend
Aug 18, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, and to authorize the publication of those figures. The board will also consider the declarat...
Jia Yao Holdings to Acquire Majority Stake in AI Gaming and Enterprise Tech Firm
Aug 12, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited has agreed to acquire 80% of the issued shares of an AI-focused target company for up to HK$430.5 million, to be paid by issuing a maximum of 20.5 million new shares under its general mandate. Upon completion, the target w...
Jia Yao Signals Return to Profit on E-Vapor Chip Growth and E-Cigarette Recovery
Jul 23, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited expects to swing to a net profit after tax of between RMB11 million and RMB15 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, reversing a net loss of about RMB22.2 million a year earlier. The turnaround is driven by strong ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026