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Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (1456) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1456

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H

(HKEX:1456)

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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:HKD 3.50â–²(9.20% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by decent underlying financial performance (solid profitability and a strong recent cash-flow rebound), partially offset by elevated leverage and historical volatility. Technicals are the main drag, with a clear downtrend and negative momentum despite oversold readings. Valuation is neutral, with a mid-range P/E and a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe strong reported revenue growth indicates expanding business activity across the securities platform and provides a supportive base for future earnings. If sustained, broader client activity and service demand can improve operating leverage and reinforce the company’s competitive position.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageThe increase in debt-to-equity shows greater reliance on borrowing and makes the company more sensitive to funding costs and market conditions. Because returns on equity remain only low to mid single digits, the higher leverage does not yet appear to translate into strong balance-sheet efficiency.

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (1456) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:1456-43.40%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 33.53B
Dividend Yield
2.15%
Average Volume (3M)
1.85M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.2
Beta (1Y)
1.27
Revenue Growth
14.18%
EPS Growth
35.10%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
5,505
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd., along with its affiliated entities, delivers a comprehensive array of financial offerings and solutions across the People's Republic of China. Its operations are structured into several key divisions: Brokerage and Wealt...

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement profitability is solid (TTM net margin ~21%) with improved net income, and cash flow rebounded strongly with good earnings-to-cash conversion. Offsetting this, revenue and cash flows have been volatile over time and leverage has increased meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~2.0x), raising balance-sheet risk.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

71Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.83B10.30B4.51B4.00B4.00B3.28B
Gross Profit8.63B8.56B3.23B2.62B2.87B1.42B
EBITDA2.84B4.21B2.00B2.35B2.24B2.29B
Net Income2.34B1.96B397.42M674.55M767.28M888.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets250.45B203.31B97.21B87.13B74.38B65.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.28B84.72B59.34B49.67B40.22B34.95B
Total Debt107.05B65.98B25.04B25.55B21.25B18.44B
Total Liabilities195.99B150.41B78.26B69.01B57.62B49.56B
Stockholders Equity54.08B52.51B18.58B17.77B16.76B16.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.59B3.58B8.02B581.25M1.84B-6.96B
Operating Cash Flow26.96B3.87B8.18B779.79M1.95B-6.85B
Investing Cash Flow-7.54B15.27B1.37B-904.82M-2.16B-6.32B
Financing Cash Flow19.33B8.87B-2.26B3.72B1.53B9.18B

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.21

Price Trends

50DMA3.63Negative
100DMA3.79Negative
200DMA4.23Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.13Positive
RSI30.37Neutral
STOCH9.99Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1456, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.42, below the 50-day MA of 3.63, and below the 200-day MA of 4.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1456.

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

HK:1456 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:2611HK:261174OutperformHKD 307.29B8.309.38%5.73%37.61%-2.94%
HK:3958HK:395870OutperformHKD 75.98B10.247.16%6.95%20.91%54.74%
HK:6886HK:688668NeutralHKD 170.74B7.559.61%4.54%123.03%20.90%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
HK:1456HK:145656NeutralHKD 50.13B19.214.43%2.15%14.18%35.10%
HK:6178HK:617855NeutralHKD 64.75B14.226.46%6.20%14.53%36.49%
HK:6806HK:680654NeutralHKD 116.72B12.357.52%6.05%-21.63%-3.30%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%HK:1456HK:6886HK:3958HK:6178HK:6806HK:2611Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1456 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1456Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H3.21-2.60-44.84%
HK:6886Huatai Securities Co Class H14.72-3.65-19.86%
HK:3958Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H5.20-1.77-25.36%
HK:6178Everbright Securities Company Limited Class H6.42-2.86-30.80%
HK:6806Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Class H2.06-1.21-36.96%
HK:2611Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. Class H13.02-1.48-10.23%

Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events

Guolian Minsheng Securities Delivers Profit and Revenue Growth in Q3 2026

Oct 28, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has released its unaudited third-quarter 2026 financial report, prepared under PRC Accounting Standards, highlighting continued growth momentum. Management has affirmed the accuracy and completeness of the...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Sets Out Board and Committee Structure

Oct 28, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has outlined the current composition of its board of directors, comprising executive, non-executive, employee, and independent non-executive directors, reflecting a governance structure that blends manageme...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Shareholders Approve Proceeds Policy and Board Elections at EGM

Oct 28, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities reported the poll results of its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026, where shareholders approved amendments to the company’s policy on the management of proceeds with an overwhelming majority. The meeting wa...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Sets Board Meeting to Approve Third-Quarter Results

Oct 15, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 October 2026 to review and approve its third-quarter results for the nine months ended 30 September 2026. The planned publication of these quarterly figures will offer i...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Proposes New Executive and Non-Executive Directors

Oct 8, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities has proposed appointing executive vice president and acting president Wang Jinling as an executive director, and Jiang Jie, a senior risk management executive at Wuxi Guolian Development, as a non-executive director, subje...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Calls 2026 EGM to Amend Proceeds Policy and Elect Directors

Oct 8, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has called its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026 for 28 October in Wuxi, where shareholders will consider amendments to the company’s policy on the management of proceeds. The meeting will a...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Sets October Date for 2026 Extraordinary General Meeting

Oct 5, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has scheduled its first extraordinary general meeting for 2026 to be held on 28 October in order to address matters requiring shareholder approval. The move underscores the company’s ongoing corporate...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Changes Hong Kong Authorized Representative

Sep 30, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has announced a change in its authorized representative for accepting legal process and notices in Hong Kong, effective 30 September 2026. Ms. Zhang Xiao has resigned from the role under the Companies Ordin...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Releases 2026 Interim Results and Plans H Shareholder Report Dispatch

Aug 28, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has released its unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, meeting the disclosure requirements of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for preliminary interim announcements. The full interim...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Details Board Composition and Governance Committees

Aug 21, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has announced the composition of its board of directors and clarified the roles and functions of each member across key governance committees. The board is led by non-executive chairman Gu Wei and includes...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Reshapes Leadership After President’s Resignation

Aug 21, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited announced the resignation of executive director and president Ge Xiaobo, who also stepped down from key board committees and his role as authorised representative, citing personal commitments. The board emp...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 17, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, and to arrange for their publication. The announcement also reiterates the c...

Guolian Minsheng Securities launches RMB200 million A-share buyback plan

Aug 10, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities has unveiled an A-share repurchase plan, authorising the use of RMB100 million to RMB200 million of its own funds to buy back shares via centralised price bidding at no more than RMB13.00 per share. The programme, to be ca...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Announces Resignation of Non-Executive Director

Aug 9, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited announced the resignation of non-executive director Yang Zhenxing, who stepped down due to personal commitments and will no longer hold any position within the company or its controlling subsidiaries. The b...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Clarifies Board and Committee Structure

Aug 9, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities has outlined the composition of its board of directors, led by executive director and CEO Ge Xiaobo, with Gu Wei serving as chairman and a mix of non-executive, employee and independent non-executive directors. The structu...

Guolian Minsheng Securities Gains Full Control of Minsheng Securities

Jul 30, 2026

Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has acquired an additional 2,424,311 shares in Minsheng Securities Co., Ltd. from Oceanwide Holdings Co., Ltd. via a judicial auction, representing 0.02% of Minsheng Securities’ total share capital. F...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026