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Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (3958) AI Stock Analysis

HK:3958

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H

(HKEX:3958)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:HKD 5.50â–²(5.77% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong TTM profitability and solid recent free cash flow) but tempered by elevated leverage and historical cash-flow volatility. Technicals are constructive with price above major moving averages and a positive MACD, while valuation is supported by a moderate P/E and a high dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Diversified revenue baseOperating across brokerage, wealth management, investment banking, proprietary investment, and asset management gives Orient Securities several earnings channels. This diversification can support client retention, broaden monetization opportunities, and reduce reliance on any single capital-markets activity over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Higher financial leverageThe substantial increase in debt-to-equity reflects a more balance-sheet-intensive posture than in earlier years. Higher leverage can reduce strategic flexibility, increase sensitivity to weaker market conditions, and constrain the firm’s ability to absorb losses or fund opportunities without relying more heavily on financing.

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (3958) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:3958-24.31%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 75.98B
Dividend Yield
6.95%
Average Volume (3M)
5.81M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.7
Beta (1Y)
1.15
Revenue Growth
20.91%
EPS Growth
54.74%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
8,316
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Securities Sales and Trading, Investment Management, Brokerage and Securities Financing, Investment Banking, and Headquarters and...

How the Company Makes Money

Orient Securities generally earns revenue through multiple securities-industry streams: (1) Brokerage and wealth management: commissions and fees from executing client trades in equities and other securities, along with service fees associated with c...

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (revenue up ~36.8% TTM with net margin ~33.1% and EBIT margin ~38.2%) and solid recent free cash flow (~19.9B, ~1.07x net income) are meaningful positives. Offsetting this, leverage is materially higher (debt-to-equity ~3.0) and cash flows have been volatile across cycles, increasing risk if market conditions weaken.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.65B25.02B22.97B20.81B22.11B27.44B
Gross Profit25.27B16.34B18.73B16.51B18.06B22.93B
EBITDA14.18B10.83B4.39B3.67B4.16B6.97B
Net Income8.30B5.49B3.35B2.75B3.01B5.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets551.74B487.08B417.74B383.69B368.07B326.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.41B18.23B173.97B163.72B174.81B143.41B
Total Debt90.03B211.34B46.46B90.87B75.11B84.43B
Total Liabilities467.22B407.36B336.34B304.93B290.67B262.46B
Stockholders Equity84.62B79.72B81.40B78.75B77.39B64.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.94B-7.60B2.18B20.37B21.31B-11.02B
Operating Cash Flow20.50B-7.28B2.48B21.46B21.62B-10.58B
Investing Cash Flow-6.89B-4.78B-24.47B-13.07B-16.02B18.49B
Financing Cash Flow55.03B18.05B-1.71B-4.14B160.68M-6.90B

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price5.20

Price Trends

50DMA5.69Negative
100DMA5.64Negative
200DMA5.81Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Positive
RSI33.76Neutral
STOCH10.69Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3958, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.59, below the 50-day MA of 5.69, and below the 200-day MA of 5.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3958.

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

HK:3958 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:2611HK:261174OutperformHKD 307.29B8.769.38%5.73%37.61%-2.94%
HK:3958HK:395869NeutralHKD 75.98B11.727.16%6.95%20.91%54.74%
HK:6886HK:688668NeutralHKD 170.74B8.299.61%4.54%123.03%20.90%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
HK:6030HK:603065NeutralHKD 417.31B9.8812.77%3.97%101.98%67.41%
HK:6066HK:606654NeutralHKD 178.12B12.7614.55%3.71%2.88%38.11%
HK:3908HK:390853NeutralHKD 222.36B9.7313.90%2.14%-15.78%84.61%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%HK:3958HK:6030HK:3908HK:6886HK:6066HK:2611Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:3958 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:3958Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H5.20-1.77-25.36%
HK:6030CITIC Securities Co Class H19.88-8.37-29.62%
HK:3908China International Capital Corp Class H16.97-3.45-16.87%
HK:6886Huatai Securities Co Class H14.72-3.65-19.86%
HK:6066CSC Financial Co., Ltd. Class H10.29-2.40-18.89%
HK:2611Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. Class H13.02-1.48-10.23%

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events

Orient Securities Issues Further Update on Shanghai Securities Acquisition

Oct 30, 2026

Orient Securities has issued a further update on its proposed major transaction to acquire 100% equity interests in Shanghai Securities through a mix of A-share issuance under a specific mandate and cash payment. The company has released an overseas...

Orient Securities Publishes Unaudited Q3 2026 Results Under Dual-Listing Rules

Oct 30, 2026

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H, a PRC-incorporated securities firm listed in Hong Kong under the DFZQ brand, operates across mainland China and Hong Kong markets, offering securities and investment-related services. The company follows China Acc...

Orient Securities Wins SSE Nod for Shanghai Securities Acquisition

Oct 29, 2026

Orient Securities said the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s Merger and Acquisition and Restructuring Review Committee has approved its proposed acquisition of 100% equity interests in Shanghai Securities, to be executed through a mix of A-share issuan...

Orient Securities Sets Board Meeting to Approve Q3 2026 Results

Oct 16, 2026

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H has scheduled a board meeting for October 30, 2026 to review and approve the third quarterly results for the nine months ended September 30, 2026 for the company and its subsidiaries, ahead of their publication to...

CSRC Accepts Orient Securities’ Application for Shanghai Securities Acquisition

Sep 30, 2026

Orient Securities has announced that the China Securities Regulatory Commission has formally accepted its administrative approval applications for the proposed acquisition of 100% equity interests in Shanghai Securities, to be settled through a mix o...

Orient Securities Publishes 2026 Interim Results and Withholds Mid-Year Dividend

Aug 28, 2026

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. has released its unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, and confirmed that the full interim report, prepared under International Financial Reporting Standards and reviewed by KPMG, is now availab...

Orient Securities Gains SSE Acceptance for Shanghai Securities Acquisition Vetting

Aug 26, 2026

Orient Securities has announced that the Shanghai Stock Exchange has formally accepted its application for a major transaction involving the acquisition of 100% equity in Shanghai Securities, to be paid through a mix of consideration A shares and cas...

Orient Securities Wins Shareholder Approval for Shanghai Securities Acquisition

Aug 24, 2026

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. has secured shareholder approval at its extraordinary general meeting and separate A and H share class meetings for the proposed acquisition of 100% of Shanghai Securities. The deal will be funded through an issue of consi...

Orient Securities Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 14, 2026

Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H has scheduled a board meeting for August 28, 2026 in Shanghai to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The planned publication of these interim figures will offer investors...

Orient Securities Wins Key SASAC Nod for Shanghai Securities Acquisition

Aug 7, 2026

Orient Securities Co., Ltd., a Hong Kong-listed Chinese securities firm operating as DFZQ, offers brokerage and investment banking services across mainland China and Hong Kong capital markets. The group targets institutional and retail investors seek...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026