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YuanShengTai Dairy Farm (1431) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1431

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm

(HKEX:1431)

Select Model
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:HKD 0.33â–²(16.14% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/09/26

Strong financial recovery with margin expansion and low leverage is the primary driver, reinforced by attractive low P/E valuation and positive technical momentum above key averages.

Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue GrowthConsistent revenue growth over several years indicates expanding operating activity rather than reliance on a single reporting period. This provides a stronger foundation for future earnings, supports reinvestment in the dairy business, and can improve resilience if growth remains broad-based.
Negative Factors
Earnings VolatilityThe sharp swing from a substantial 2023 loss to strong 2025 profitability indicates that earnings can vary meaningfully through the cycle. This reduces confidence in the repeatability of current results and makes future profit planning more sensitive to operating conditions.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm (1431) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%HK:1431+1.79%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.34B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
582.30K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
1.7
Beta (1Y)
0.50
Revenue Growth
12.04%
EPS Growth
144.39%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
2,151
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Agricultural Farm Products

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited, established in 2008 and headquartered in Qiqihar, People's Republic of China, operates as a dairy farming enterprise. Its core business involves the production and distribution of raw milk throughout China. As of Dece...

How the Company Makes Money

The company makes money primarily by generating revenue from its dairy operations, including the sale of raw milk and/or processed dairy products, depending on its operating structure. Additional earnings may come from downstream product sales (e.g.,...

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth to 2.66 billion with net margin recovery to 20.2%, strong balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.11), and positive operating cash flow of 1.04 billion support a solid recovery.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.86B2.66B2.55B2.21B2.09B1.78B
Gross Profit1.16B1.06B944.55M590.74M521.72M479.32M
EBITDA1.16B1.08B957.43M-152.53M508.30M470.81M
Net Income674.08M538.16M296.67M-339.70M22.84M156.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.83B8.00B7.94B8.35B7.94B6.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26B1.04B941.30M1.03B808.64M959.41M
Total Debt409.60M626.12M927.97M1.55B948.91M268.61M
Total Liabilities1.97B2.38B2.88B3.58B2.85B1.64B
Stockholders Equity5.86B5.62B5.07B4.76B5.09B5.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow307.87M203.41M123.77M-433.30M-787.83M-277.04M
Operating Cash Flow1.12B1.04B1.01B707.80M799.71M720.11M
Investing Cash Flow-372.50M-729.69M-827.38M-752.53M-1.79B-627.16M
Financing Cash Flow-403.59M-324.41M-516.05M418.75M611.56M-13.40M

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.28

Price Trends

50DMA0.30Negative
100DMA0.28Positive
200DMA0.30Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI44.75Neutral
STOCH37.50Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1431, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.29, below the 50-day MA of 0.30, and below the 200-day MA of 0.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1431.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

HK:1431 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:1431HK:143182OutperformHKD 1.34B1.7011.75%―12.04%144.39%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
HK:9858HK:985842NeutralHKD 15.16B18.435.40%―6.96%―
HK:1432HK:143241NeutralHKD 2.01B-6.47-7.21%―4.62%-947.50%
HK:1117HK:111738UnderperformHKD 9.87B-42.26-2.37%1.06%5.12%90.34%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%HK:1431HK:1432HK:9858HK:1117Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1431 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1431YuanShengTai Dairy Farm 0.280.029.62%
HK:1432China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd0.24-0.10-28.36%
HK:9858China Youran Dairy Group Limited3.38-0.10-2.74%
HK:1117China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.1.250.010.81%

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Corporate Events

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Posts Strong Interim Profit Rebound

Aug 26, 2026

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited reported a solid improvement in interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with revenue rising to RMB1,456.3 million from RMB1,311.8 million and gross profit increasing to RMB601.8 million. The company&#821...

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Sets Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Dividend

Aug 14, 2026

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm has scheduled a board meeting for 26 August 2026 to review and approve its unaudited consolidated financial results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider declaring an interim dividend, indicating...

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Flags Sharp Profit Jump on Milk and Beef Sales

Aug 7, 2026

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm issued a positive profit alert, saying it expects net profit for the six months ended 30 June 2026 to rise to between RMB220 million and RMB270 million, up sharply from RMB118.9 million a year earlier. The improvement is drive...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2026