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Baguio Green Group Ltd (HK:1397)
:1397
Hong Kong Market
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Baguio Green Group Ltd (1397) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1397

Baguio Green Group Ltd

(1397)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.80
▼(-30.17% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is supported primarily by a stronger balance sheet and improved profitability, plus very compelling valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting factors are weak price/indicator trends (below key moving averages with bearish momentum) and cash-flow volatility, including a sharp free-cash-flow decline in the latest year.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Lower leverage reduces balance-sheet risk and interest-related pressure, giving Baguio Green greater flexibility to withstand operational volatility and fund service capabilities or reinvestment while maintaining resilience through contract cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
The latest revenue decline signals pressure on contract wins, renewals, service scope or customer demand. In a contract-based environmental-services business, sustained top-line weakness could limit scale benefits and make fixed labor and operating costs harder to absorb.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Lower leverage reduces balance-sheet risk and interest-related pressure, giving Baguio Green greater flexibility to withstand operational volatility and fund service capabilities or reinvestment while maintaining resilience through contract cycles.
Read all positive factors

Baguio Green Group Ltd (1397) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Baguio Green Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating as an investment holding company, Baguio Green Group Limited delivers a comprehensive suite of environmental and associated services across Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Southeast Asia. The company's operations are structured around fou...
How the Company Makes Money
Baguio Green Group Ltd primarily makes money by providing outsourced environmental and facility-related services under contract. Its key revenue streams typically come from (1) recurring service fees from government tenders and public-sector contr...

Baguio Green Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed. The balance sheet is a key strength with steadily improving, conservative leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.17) and solid ROE (~19.8%). Profitability improved in 2025 (higher net and EBITDA margins), but revenue declined ~9% and free cash flow dropped sharply (~44% YoY) with historically choppy cash generation, which limits the score.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.09B2.42B2.60B2.33B1.79B1.27B
Gross Profit191.46M230.59M188.37M206.12M150.97M109.00M
EBITDA119.95M159.98M144.43M161.64M140.07M82.30M
Net Income67.94M97.28M53.86M47.11M53.71M12.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets988.06M999.43M1.01B1.01B896.17M660.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments302.47M251.74M128.05M45.93M33.58M36.72M
Total Debt72.76M85.98M118.90M219.28M223.59M161.33M
Total Liabilities495.15M506.84M597.87M641.69M560.06M374.36M
Stockholders Equity491.98M491.66M411.57M370.19M337.62M286.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.01M150.64M227.46M44.49M-51.48M8.50M
Operating Cash Flow84.72M197.75M262.44M96.27M83.75M84.77M
Investing Cash Flow-17.65M-19.79M-32.15M-49.29M-122.27M-67.08M
Financing Cash Flow-62.83M-61.72M-143.61M-34.36M35.85M-13.17M

Baguio Green Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.15
Price Trends
50DMA
0.87
Negative
100DMA
0.94
Negative
200DMA
1.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
32.01
Neutral
STOCH
10.26
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1397, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.80, above the 50-day MA of 0.87, and above the 200-day MA of 1.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.26 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1397.

Baguio Green Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
HK$11.94B15.428.50%5.92%12.74%11.38%
67
Neutral
HK$311.25M4.5813.81%9.46%-21.56%-23.25%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
HK$470.00M10.523.27%7.94%4.82%-24.40%
59
Neutral
HK$675.16M2.246.54%-5.08%-2.98%
45
Neutral
HK$1.14B3.404.16%7.69%1.64%23.16%
43
Neutral
HK$520.63M-1.75-9.09%3.33%1.36%-254.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1397
Baguio Green Group Ltd
0.74
-0.33
-30.71%
HK:1330
Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd. Class H
6.15
1.26
25.87%
HK:0154
Beijing Enterprises Environment Group Limited
0.45
-0.14
-24.58%
HK:1790
TIL Enviro Limited
0.47
0.02
4.44%
HK:3989
Capital Environment Holdings Limited
0.08
>-0.01
-8.99%
HK:0587
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Ltd.
0.29
-0.39
-57.46%

Baguio Green Group Ltd Corporate Events

Baguio Green Group Sets Board Meeting to Review 2026 Interim Results and Dividend
Aug 17, 2026
Baguio Green Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 27 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider the declaration of an interim dividend, signalling potential ...
Baguio Green Group Warns of Sharply Lower Interim Profit Amid Fierce Tender Competition
Aug 14, 2026
Baguio Green Group Ltd has issued a profit warning for the six months ended 30 June 2026, forecasting profit after tax of HK$27 million to HK$30 million, down about 49% to 54% from HK$58.8 million a year earlier. The decline stems mainly from lowe...
Baguio Green Wins Unanimous Backing at AGM, Secures New Capital Mandates
May 29, 2026
Baguio Green Group Ltd reported that all resolutions at its 29 May 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders through a poll, including the adoption of the 2025 audited accounts and the declaration of a final dividend of HK$0.07 per...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026