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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
(1396)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
HK$9.00
▼(-19.71% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/08/26
The score is primarily held back by weak and volatile operating fundamentals—sharp revenue contraction and deeply negative operating margins—despite improvements in leverage and recent positive free cash flow. Technicals are moderately supportive (price above key moving averages and positive MACD), while valuation inputs are not supportive due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Recent Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow through 2025, including approximately 351.6M of free cash flow, indicates recent cash discipline and provides internally generated funding. This can support obligations and selective investment, although the gap between cash flow and earnings reduces confidence in its durability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
A roughly 50% revenue decline in 2025, following another fall in 2024, signals substantial weakening in the company’s operating scale. Persistent top-line contraction can reduce fixed-cost absorption, limit reinvestment capacity, and make any reported earnings less representative of sustainable business performance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recent Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow through 2025, including approximately 351.6M of free cash flow, indicates recent cash discipline and provides internally generated funding. This can support obligations and selective investment, although the gap between cash flow and earnings reduces confidence in its durability.
Read all positive factors
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$13.61B
Dividend Yield1.66%
Average Volume (3M)3.36M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.43
Revenue Growth76.41%
EPS Growth-1330.18%
CountryHK
Employees242
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.73
Shares Outstanding1,583,704,800
10 Day Avg. Volume3,364,130
30 Day Avg. Volume3,361,893
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.64
Price to Book (P/B)1.20
Price to Sales (P/S)4.74
P/FCF Ratio13.51
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$16.31Price Target Upside45.50% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.49
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$5.64B
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited, operating alongside its subsidiaries, primarily develops, manages, and sells residential properties along with commercial trade and logistics facilities throughout Mainland China. Its divers...
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.33B | 1.00B | 2.60B | 3.53B | 3.17B | 5.57B |
| Gross Profit | 326.03M | -529.53M | -622.71M | 21.16M | -45.97M | 735.25M |
| EBITDA | 429.83M | -861.16M | -1.41B | -825.62M | -614.12M | -52.24M |
| Net Income | -620.36M | 73.05M | -1.83B | -1.21B | -1.57B | -498.48M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.81B | 12.64B | 12.66B | 18.22B | 22.71B | 23.87B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.21B | 373.49M | 159.78M | 176.84M | 78.12M | 1.37B |
| Total Debt | 5.35B | 3.56B | 5.73B | 6.54B | 7.52B | 5.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 12.34B | 8.65B | 12.56B | 15.98B | 19.19B | 18.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.43B | 3.95B | 389.13M | 2.24B | 3.42B | 5.09B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.87B | 351.60M | 941.04M | 1.45B | -891.75M | -3.59B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.92M | 378.47M | 942.02M | 1.45B | -890.57M | -3.55B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.81B | -27.09M | -38.96M | -7.30M | 176.58M | -39.34M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.65B | -133.51M | -917.62M | -1.51B | -590.16M | 3.18B |
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
11.21
Price Trends
10.82
Negative
11.15
Negative
9.88
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.15
Positive
41.06
Neutral
18.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1396, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.65, above the 50-day MA of 10.82, and above the 200-day MA of 9.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1396.
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
54 Neutral | HK$13.61B | -9.99 | -14.82% | 1.66% | 76.41% | -1330.18% | |
51 Neutral | HK$6.59B | 0.27 | -106.41% | 8.02% | -41.85% | ― | |
50 Neutral | HK$10.11B | 24.64 | 1.09% | 1.41% | -2.52% | 4.21% | |
44 Neutral | HK$4.14B | -1.11 | -10.38% | 8.82% | 78.67% | -11.80% | |
42 Neutral | HK$11.78B | -8.08 | -2.23% | 0.31% | -20.78% | -318.43% | |
40 Underperform | HK$10.01B | 83.81 | 0.13% | 5.05% | -53.18% | -9927.94% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
HK:1396
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
8.60
2.64
44.21%
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0.14
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-75.26%
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0.47
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-44.64%
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-34.18%
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-16.22%
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33.08%
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Reshapes Board to Strengthen Governance
Oct 23, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has announced changes to its board and key governance committees effective 23 October 2026, with the resignation of independent non-executive director Dr. Han Qinchu due to other work commitments. Han i...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Clarifies Board and Committee Roles
Oct 23, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. announced an updated composition of its board of directors and clarified the roles and functions of each member, effective 23 October 2026. The board includes executive directors, led by chairman Mr. Lu...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Posts Explosive Growth and Deepens AI Infrastructure Push
Aug 28, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. reported interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, highlighting a sharp expansion in scale and profitability. Revenue jumped to about RMB 2.56 billion, up roughly 1,020.9% year-on-year, whi...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech to Cut Board Lot Size and Boost Share Liquidity
Aug 19, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech is further cutting the board lot size for its Hong Kong-listed shares from 2,000 to 500, effective 9 September 2026, reducing the typical trade value from about HK$21,340 to roughly HK$5,335 based on the latest c...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results
Aug 18, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 and their publication. The announcement confirms the current composition ...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Secures RMB 1.7 Billion Finance Lease for AI Infrastructure
Aug 13, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has entered into significant finance lease arrangements via its Shenzhen Hongrui subsidiary, selling IT and ancillary equipment used in AI cloud services to SPDB Financial Leasing for around RMB 1,687 m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.