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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (HK:1396)
:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.

(Frankfurt:1396)

51Neutral
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, high debt levels, and cash flow instability weighing heavily on its overall score. Despite these financial difficulties, technical analysis shows some positive momentum with the stock trading above key moving averages. However, unattractive valuation metrics, including a negative P/E ratio, further underscore the risks associated with this stock.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) is a prominent investment holding company engaged primarily in property development and related activities. The company operates in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, focusing on urban redevelopment projects, residential and commercial property development, and related property management services. With a strategic emphasis on creating sustainable and innovative urban environments, the company leverages its extensive expertise in real estate to deliver high-quality properties that cater to the evolving needs of its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the development and sale of residential and commercial properties within the Greater Bay Area. Key revenue streams include the sale of developed residential units, leasing of commercial real estate, and provision of property management services. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its development capabilities and expand its project portfolio. Additionally, the company benefits from favorable government policies and economic growth within the Greater Bay Area, which drive demand for urban redevelopment and real estate investment opportunities.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. faces substantial financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement reflects declining revenues and persistent losses, while the balance sheet shows a high debt burden and shrinking equity base. Cash flow instability further compounds the financial distress, pointing to significant risks in sustaining operations without improvement in core financial metrics.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges, with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. The company has experienced a consistent revenue decline, falling from HK$5,570 million in 2021 to HK$2,603 million in 2024. Gross and net profit margins have been negative over recent years, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies and financial distress. Despite these weaknesses, there is limited stability in revenue from previous highs.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a weakened financial position with high leverage and diminishing equity. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased as equity decreased significantly, from HK$5,088 million in 2021 to HK$389 million in 2024. This indicates a higher financial risk and reduced capacity to absorb losses. Positive cash reserves offer some liquidity, albeit insufficient to offset the high debt levels.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights severe issues with cash generation and sustainability. The company shows no free cash flow in TTM, and historical data indicate inconsistent operating cash flows, oscillating from positive to negative values. This inconsistency, along with a lack of free cash flow, suggests operational struggles to maintain liquidity and financial health.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.60B3.53B3.17B5.57B3.74B
Gross Profit
-622.71M21.16M-45.97M735.25M1.29B
EBIT
-1.51B-759.26M-905.72M99.16M941.70M
EBITDA
-1.41B-825.62M-1.19B-52.24M1.02B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.83B-1.21B-1.73B-445.11M360.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.47B176.84M78.12M1.37B1.79B
Total Assets
12.66B18.22B22.71B23.87B18.98B
Total Debt
5.73B6.23B7.52B5.65B3.17B
Net Debt
5.72B6.20B7.45B4.28B1.39B
Total Liabilities
12.56B15.98B19.19B18.22B13.12B
Stockholders Equity
389.13M2.24B3.42B5.09B5.59B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
941.04M1.45B-891.75M-3.59B577.82M
Operating Cash Flow
942.02M1.45B-890.57M-3.55B586.51M
Investing Cash Flow
-38.96M-7.30M176.58M-39.34M-1.38B
Financing Cash Flow
-917.62M-1.51B-590.16M3.18B1.02B

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.92
Price Trends
50DMA
1.15
Positive
100DMA
0.70
Positive
200DMA
0.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
54.05
Neutral
STOCH
47.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1396, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.84, above the 50-day MA of 1.15, and above the 200-day MA of 0.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1396.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$181.84B6.569.66%6.59%9.97%-19.80%
71
Outperform
$59.90B6.1014.62%6.94%1.21%2.15%
60
Neutral
$2.81B11.050.20%8508.34%6.12%-16.02%
51
Neutral
HK$1.56B-139.73%-27.56%-25.42%
40
Underperform
$2.25B-90.47%-1.96%-17.34%
33
Underperform
$1.13B-95.62%-31.29%57.76%
21
Underperform
€1.26B
-56.67%-41.38%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1396
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
1.92
1.84
2300.00%
HK:1109
China Resources Land
25.50
-4.10
-13.85%
HK:1638
Kaisa Group Holdings Ltd.
0.18
0.03
17.33%
HK:1813
KWG Group Holdings
0.33
-0.08
-18.52%
HK:3311
China State Construction International Holdings
11.34
2.29
25.23%
HK:3383
Agile Group Holdings
0.45
-0.25
-36.43%

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Achieves High Consent Rate for Debt Management Initiative
May 7, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced the successful completion of its Consent Solicitation related to Variable Rate Senior Notes due 2029, with 98.33% of note holders consenting to the proposed amendments. This initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its debt proactively, aiming to redeem offshore debt and improve financial stability, reflecting strong stakeholder confidence in its growth strategy and operational efficiency.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Proposes Convertible Bond Issuance for Restructuring
Apr 25, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced a proposed restructuring involving the issuance of mandatory convertible bonds (MCB) under a specific mandate. The company plans to redeem outstanding notes with the issuance of MCBs, subject to obtaining requisite consents and shareholder approval at an extraordinary general meeting (EGM). The issuance is also contingent upon approval from the Listing Committee for the MCB Conversion Shares. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial restructuring efforts, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Seeks Consent for Senior Notes Amendments
Apr 25, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced a consent solicitation related to its variable rate senior notes due in 2029. The company is seeking consents from eligible holders to waive potential defaults due to anticipated nonpayment of interest and to amend interest payment provisions, add a redemption option, and release certain subsidiary guarantors. This move aims to manage its financial obligations and maintain stability in its securities offerings.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Announces Disposal of Target Interest
Apr 25, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced a discloseable transaction involving the disposal of its entire equity interest in a target company for HK$50.0 million. This transaction, which exceeds 5% but is less than 25% of the applicable percentage ratios, is subject to reporting and announcement requirements under the Listing Rules. The sale will result in the target company and its subsidiaries no longer being consolidated into the group’s financial results, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and market positioning.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Announces 2025 AGM Agenda
Apr 17, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced its upcoming annual general meeting scheduled for June 20, 2025, in Shenzhen, China. Key agenda items include the adoption of the 2024 financial statements, re-election of directors, and the re-appointment of Prism Hong Kong Limited as the company’s auditor. Additionally, the meeting will consider resolutions to authorize the board to manage share capital activities, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and shareholder value.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Extends Senior Notes Deadline
Mar 31, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced an extension of the expiration deadline for its variable rate senior notes due 2029. The new deadline is set for May 30, 2025, allowing more time for holders to participate in the consent solicitation process. This extension aims to facilitate broader participation and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder engagement.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Reports Increased Annual Loss for 2024
Mar 30, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced its annual results for the year ending December 31, 2024, reporting a significant loss of RMB 2,041,311,000, compared to a loss of RMB 1,205,615,000 in the previous year. The company’s financial performance was impacted by a decrease in revenue, increased costs, and losses from investment properties, posing challenges for its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Issues Profit Warning Amidst Real Estate Market Challenges
Mar 18, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has issued a profit warning, anticipating a significant increase in losses for the fiscal year 2024, with expected losses of approximately RMB1,600 million compared to RMB1,215 million in 2023. The company attributes this increase to the declining real estate market in China, characterized by falling property prices and extended capital recovery cycles, as well as increased maintenance costs for unsold properties and reduced gross profit margins due to intense market competition.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Delays Circular Dispatch with Granted Waiver
Mar 17, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a further delay in dispatching a circular related to the disposal of target interests and a major financial transaction. The company has been granted a waiver from strict compliance with certain listing rules, allowing more time to finalize information and complete the vetting process. This extension, granted by the Stock Exchange, aims to ensure thorough preparation and compliance, potentially impacting the company’s operations and stakeholder relations.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Announces Further Delay in Circular Dispatch
Mar 12, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced further delays in dispatching a circular related to the disposal of target interests and the provision of financial assistance. The company has obtained waivers from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to extend the dispatch date due to the need for additional time to finalize relevant information and complete the vetting process. This delay could impact stakeholders by postponing the timeline for the company’s financial transactions and compliance processes.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Announces Further Delay in Circular Dispatch
Mar 5, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a further delay in the dispatch of a circular related to the disposal of target interests and provision of financial assistance. The company has received a waiver from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to extend the dispatch date to March 12, 2025, due to the need for additional time to prepare and finalize relevant information. This delay may impact stakeholders’ understanding of the company’s financial and operational strategies, but it has been approved by the controlling shareholder, negating the need for a general meeting.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Announces Circular Dispatch Delay
Feb 21, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a delay in the dispatch of a circular related to the disposal of target interests and provision of financial assistance, initially scheduled for dispatch by February 21, 2025. The company applied for and received a waiver from the Stock Exchange to extend the dispatch date to February 28, 2025, due to additional time required for preparing the necessary information and vetting processes. This move eliminates the need for a general meeting, as written approval has been secured from the controlling shareholder, China Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd., which holds a significant portion of the company’s shares.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.