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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (HK:1396)
:1396
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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.

(1396)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
HK$12.00
▲(7.05% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/08/26
The score is primarily held back by weak and volatile operating fundamentals—sharp revenue contraction and deeply negative operating margins—despite improvements in leverage and recent positive free cash flow. Technicals are moderately supportive (price above key moving averages and positive MACD), while valuation inputs are not supportive due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Recent Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow over three consecutive years indicates improved near-term cash discipline and provides internally generated funding for obligations. The higher 2025 free cash flow is constructive, although its durability depends on whether working-capital effects and other non-recurring items normalize.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Contraction
A steep revenue decline after another down year signals weakening project or property-development activity and reduces the scale available to absorb fixed costs. Unless revenue stabilizes, the contraction can impair operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make future earnings materially less predictable.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recent Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow over three consecutive years indicates improved near-term cash discipline and provides internally generated funding for obligations. The higher 2025 free cash flow is constructive, although its durability depends on whether working-capital effects and other non-recurring items normalize.
Read all positive factors

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited, operating alongside its subsidiaries, primarily develops, manages, and sells residential properties along with commercial trade and logistics facilities throughout Mainland China. Its divers...

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed and still fragile fundamentals. Cash flow has been a relative strength with positive operating and free cash flow in 2023–2025 and slightly higher FCF in 2025, and leverage improved sharply in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.9 vs extremely stressed ~14.7 in 2024). However, core profitability remains a major concern: revenue contracted sharply in 2025 (~-50%) and operating profitability is deeply negative (EBIT margin around -106%), suggesting 2025 net income was likely driven by non-operating items and is less durable.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B2.60B3.53B3.17B5.57B
Gross Profit-529.53M-622.71M21.16M-45.97M735.25M
EBITDA-928.98M-1.41B-825.62M-627.61M-52.24M
Net Income73.05M-1.83B-1.21B-1.57B-498.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.64B12.66B18.22B22.71B23.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments373.49M159.78M176.84M78.12M1.37B
Total Debt3.56B5.73B6.54B7.52B5.65B
Total Liabilities8.65B12.56B15.98B19.19B18.22B
Stockholders Equity3.95B389.13M2.24B3.42B5.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow351.60M941.04M1.45B-891.75M-3.59B
Operating Cash Flow378.47M942.02M1.45B-890.57M-3.55B
Investing Cash Flow-27.09M-38.96M-7.30M176.58M-39.34M
Financing Cash Flow-133.51M-917.62M-1.51B-590.16M3.18B

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.21
Price Trends
50DMA
10.80
Positive
100DMA
12.05
Negative
200DMA
8.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
57.21
Neutral
STOCH
83.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1396, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.02, above the 50-day MA of 10.80, and above the 200-day MA of 8.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1396.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
HK$18.69B-13.97-14.91%1.66%76.41%-1330.18%
50
Neutral
HK$10.38B25.901.09%1.43%-2.34%4.21%
48
Neutral
HK$5.70B-1.51-10.38%8.82%78.67%-11.80%
42
Neutral
HK$12.97B-8.72-2.23%0.29%-20.78%-318.43%
40
Underperform
HK$10.01B83.810.13%5.05%
39
Underperform
HK$8.68B0.34-106.41%8.02%-41.85%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1396
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
12.08
6.77
127.50%
HK:2007
Country Garden Holdings
0.18
-0.44
-70.97%
HK:0604
Shenzhen Investment
0.64
-0.30
-32.45%
HK:0123
Yuexiu Property Co
3.15
-1.87
-37.25%
HK:0754
Hopson Development Holdings Limited
2.64
-0.90
-25.45%
HK:0081
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited
2.96
0.53
21.71%

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Posts Explosive Growth and Deepens AI Infrastructure Push
Aug 28, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. reported interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, highlighting a sharp expansion in scale and profitability. Revenue jumped to about RMB 2.56 billion, up roughly 1,020.9% year-on-year, whi...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech to Cut Board Lot Size and Boost Share Liquidity
Aug 19, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech is further cutting the board lot size for its Hong Kong-listed shares from 2,000 to 500, effective 9 September 2026, reducing the typical trade value from about HK$21,340 to roughly HK$5,335 based on the latest c...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results
Aug 18, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 and their publication. The announcement confirms the current composition ...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Secures RMB 1.7 Billion Finance Lease for AI Infrastructure
Aug 13, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has entered into significant finance lease arrangements via its Shenzhen Hongrui subsidiary, selling IT and ancillary equipment used in AI cloud services to SPDB Financial Leasing for around RMB 1,687 m...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Secures RMB 1.185 Billion in AI Infrastructure Sale-and-Leaseback Financing
Jul 21, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd., via its indirect non-wholly owned subsidiary Shenzhen Hongrui, runs AI computing power cloud services supported by extensive IT and ancillary equipment. Its business model is capital-intensive and clos...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Raises Capital via New Share Subscription
Jul 7, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd., a Cayman-incorporated technology firm listed in Hong Kong as stock code 1396, focuses on artificial intelligence and computing services in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macau Greater Bay Area. It...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Secures RMB 15 Billion in AI Cloud Orders
Jul 3, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. reported rapid expansion in its core AI computing business, securing over RMB 15.0 billion in new indicative orders for AI cloud services in the first half of 2026, representing about 35,000 PFLOPS of c...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Raises HK$277 Million for AI Cloud Push
Jun 29, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has agreed to issue 23,620,207 new shares, about 1.51% of its existing share capital, at HK$11.75 per share under a general mandate to raise roughly HK$277.14 million in net proceeds. The subscription p...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at AGM
Jun 17, 2026
Shareholders of Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. approved all resolutions at the company’s annual general meeting held on 17 June 2026, including the receipt of the 2025 audited accounts, re-election of executive and independent ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 08, 2026