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Goodbaby International Holdings (1086) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1086

Goodbaby International Holdings

(HKEX:1086)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:HKD 1.50â–²(8.30% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/29/26

The score is driven mainly by improved financial stability and strong cash generation alongside attractive valuation (low P/E and very high dividend yield). These positives are moderated by a clear 2025 profit step-down and mixed revenue trend, while technicals show strong momentum but very overbought conditions that increase near-term volatility risk.

Positive Factors
Strong Cash GenerationOperating cash flow of 1.09B and free cash flow of 816.8M, up 24.9%, indicate strong cash conversion even while reported net income weakened. This gives Goodbaby internally generated funds to support product development, operations and balance-sheet resilience.
Negative Factors
Profit Decline and Thin MarginsNet income fell to 218.6M in 2025 from 355.8M in 2024, while net margin narrowed to about 2.5% from 4.1%. The lower earnings base reduces retained funding for expansion and leaves results more sensitive to changes in product mix and costs.

Goodbaby International Holdings (1086) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%HK:1086+52.20%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 325.63M
Dividend Yield
18.05%
Average Volume (3M)
7.02M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.1
Beta (1Y)
0.46
Revenue Growth
0.34%
EPS Growth
40.53%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
5,742
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Leisure

Goodbaby International Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Goodbaby International Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company, overseeing the entire lifecycle of durable juvenile products from research, design, and development to manufacturing, marketing, and global sales. Its extensive reach...

How the Company Makes Money

Goodbaby makes money primarily by selling durable juvenile products—most notably strollers and child car seats—to customers worldwide. Its core revenue model is product sales (wholesale and direct-to-consumer) across multiple brands and markets: (1)...

Goodbaby International Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are improving but not uniformly. Balance-sheet risk is lower with debt-to-equity around 0.24, and cash generation is strong with 2025 operating cash flow of 1.09B and free cash flow of 816.8M. Offsetting this, 2025 profitability stepped down (net income 218.6M vs 355.8M in 2024), net margin is thin (~2.5%), and revenue turned slightly negative in 2025.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.91B8.66B8.77B7.93B8.29B9.69B
Gross Profit4.86B4.43B4.51B3.97B3.36B4.00B
EBITDA1.19B835.86M945.51M881.59M625.88M701.49M
Net Income388.41M218.60M355.85M203.50M33.49M123.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.35B10.54B10.40B11.37B11.71B13.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.14B1.43B1.13B2.20B966.50M1.11B
Total Debt704.12M1.47B1.72B3.05B3.65B3.82B
Total Liabilities3.78B4.34B4.59B5.75B6.16B7.07B
Stockholders Equity6.56B6.19B5.79B5.60B5.52B6.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.41B816.79M580.90M930.04M191.59M-46.66M
Operating Cash Flow1.64B1.09B926.96M1.22B551.52M312.65M
Investing Cash Flow-240.07M-261.19M-191.47M-261.22M-318.47M-332.79M
Financing Cash Flow-1.23B-674.57M-570.79M-897.18M-345.65M-585.04M

Goodbaby International Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.39

Price Trends

50DMA1.11Positive
100DMA0.91Positive
200DMA0.85Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.07Positive
RSI68.30Neutral
STOCH20.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1086, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.39, above the 50-day MA of 1.11, and above the 200-day MA of 0.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1086.

Goodbaby International Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:1086 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:1086HK:108670OutperformHKD 2.32B6.086.09%18.05%0.34%40.53%
HK:0869HK:086964NeutralHKD 540.86M-75.00-0.68%14.58%-23.66%-152.03%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HK:0635HK:063555NeutralHKD 1.02B-4.13-5.52%9.09%-18.78%42.15%
HK:3830HK:383047NeutralHKD 175.00M-28.23-36.67%―1.90%11.43%
HK:0180HK:018040UnderperformHKD 215.78M-0.91-14.23%―4.04%-16.43%
HK:6918HK:691840UnderperformHKD 80.44M-0.45-69.53%―16.96%-94.77%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%HK:1086HK:0869HK:0635HK:0180HK:3830HK:6918Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1086 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1086Goodbaby International Holdings 1.390.4750.87%
HK:0869Playmates Toys 0.48-0.06-11.11%
HK:0635Playmates Holdings 0.490.012.06%
HK:0180Kader Holdings Co. Ltd.0.230.0317.01%
HK:3830Kiddieland International Ltd.0.170.11182.26%
HK:6918Kidztech Holdings Ltd.0.09-0.10-52.33%

Goodbaby International Holdings Corporate Events

Goodbaby to be taken private in HK$1.50-per-share scheme

Sep 27, 2026

Goodbaby International Holdings is set to be taken private by Crystal Aurora International via a scheme of arrangement under Cayman Islands law, which will result in the cancellation of its shares and the withdrawal of its listing in Hong Kong. The m...

Goodbaby Corrects Interim Dividend Total in 2026 Results

Aug 31, 2026

Goodbaby International Holdings has issued a supplemental announcement correcting a typographical error in its interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board had declared an interim dividend of HK$0.20 per ordinary share, with the t...

Goodbaby International Profit Surges on Strong Interim Margins

Aug 31, 2026

Goodbaby International Holdings reported a solid interim performance for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with revenue rising 5.8% year-on-year to HK$4.55 billion and gross profit jumping 19.7% to HK$2.56 billion. Improved margins and tighter cost...

Goodbaby International Declares Interim Dividend of HKD 0.2 Per Share

Aug 31, 2026

Goodbaby International Holdings Limited has declared an interim ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.2 per share for the six months ended 30 June 2026, reflecting its capital return policy and current financial position. The interim payout, scheduled for...

Goodbaby Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Dividend Plan

Aug 19, 2026

Goodbaby International Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 31 August 2026 to review and approve the group’s interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider whether to recommend an interim divid...

Goodbaby Flags Sharply Higher Interim Profit on U.S. Tariff Refunds

Jul 31, 2026

Goodbaby International Holdings has issued a positive profit alert, indicating it expects net profit of HK$260 million to HK$300 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, more than double the HK$105.5 million recorded a year earlier. The sharp e...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026