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CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (HK:1038)
:1038
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CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1038

CK Infrastructure Holdings

(1038)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
HK$66.00
â–²(1.54% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: a solid balance sheet and positive free cash flow are offset by declining revenue and uneven earnings quality. Technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive with the stock holding around key moving averages and a positive MACD. Valuation is supportive due to a ~4.17% dividend yield alongside a mid-range P/E.
Positive Factors
Regulated/contracted cash flows
CKI's core model centers on regulated and contract-backed utility and infrastructure assets, producing predictable, recurring cash flows. That business mix reduces demand cyclicality, supports stable dividend capacity, and underpins multiyear cash visibility for holding‑company obligations and reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Multi‑year revenue decline
Sustained top-line contraction over several years signals structural pressure in core businesses or portfolio dilution. Persistent revenue declines constrain operating leverage, reduce headroom for margin recovery, and limit the company's ability to organically grow distributable cash over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated/contracted cash flows
CKI's core model centers on regulated and contract-backed utility and infrastructure assets, producing predictable, recurring cash flows. That business mix reduces demand cyclicality, supports stable dividend capacity, and underpins multiyear cash visibility for holding‑company obligations and reinvestment.
Read all positive factors

CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

CK Infrastructure Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited is a major global infrastructure enterprise, involved in the development, investment, operation, and commercialization of various infrastructure projects across Hong Kong, Mainland China, the United Kingdom, Cont...
How the Company Makes Money
CK Infrastructure Holdings makes money primarily by owning stakes in infrastructure and utility-type businesses that generate recurring cash flows. Revenue and earnings are typically derived from (1) regulated or contracted operating income from p...

CK Infrastructure Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial stability is supported by a moderately levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity generally ~0.15–0.35) and consistently positive free cash flow, including improved FCF growth in 2025 (+21.41%). However, the income statement is a key weakness: multi-year revenue decline (7.18B in 2020 to 4.42B in 2025, including -13.46% in 2025) and volatile profitability with a notable disconnect between low operating margins (~3.3% gross/EBIT in 2025) and high net income, which reduces confidence in earnings sustainability.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.28B4.42B4.99B5.99B6.62B7.05B
Gross Profit-148.00M146.00M2.66B1.73B3.53B2.42B
EBITDA247.00M541.00M9.94B9.86B9.28B8.94B
Net Income25.61B8.70B8.12B8.03B7.75B7.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets185.95B166.26B157.84B165.87B165.87B163.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.28B7.35B8.11B13.08B18.05B8.09B
Total Debt21.66B30.98B19.54B24.57B28.56B40.12B
Total Liabilities28.08B38.30B26.59B32.60B46.37B47.04B
Stockholders Equity147.93B127.91B131.16B133.18B119.39B115.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.01B1.88B1.59B3.50B6.64B7.47B
Operating Cash Flow2.34B2.21B1.97B3.85B7.12B7.83B
Investing Cash Flow55.19B3.95B3.18B2.41B14.87B-1.04B
Financing Cash Flow-6.97B-6.92B-10.12B-11.22B-6.19B-12.19B

CK Infrastructure Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.00
Price Trends
50DMA
62.17
Positive
100DMA
61.39
Positive
200DMA
59.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Negative
RSI
70.36
Negative
STOCH
71.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1038, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.47, above the 50-day MA of 62.17, and above the 200-day MA of 59.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.36 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1038.

CK Infrastructure Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
HK$199.72B18.5010.14%4.03%-1.91%-5.03%
67
Neutral
HK$58.09B7.8312.80%5.94%5.69%8.67%
66
Neutral
HK$99.19B7.3511.72%5.81%2.19%1.10%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
HK$130.32B7.2818.47%4.61%-12.24%190.79%
63
Neutral
HK$158.36B6.6318.57%3.97%-9.36%208.75%
59
Neutral
HK$136.78B20.8610.65%4.79%1.53%12.95%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1038
CK Infrastructure Holdings
66.20
15.71
31.12%
HK:0002
CLP Holdings
79.35
16.35
25.96%
HK:0836
China Resources Power Holdings Co
18.81
1.21
6.87%
HK:0006
Power Assets Holdings
61.15
12.25
25.06%
HK:0003
Hong Kong & China Gas Co
7.30
0.55
8.15%
HK:2688
ENN Energy Holdings
50.50
-12.31
-19.59%

CK Infrastructure Holdings Corporate Events

CK Infrastructure Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Dividend
Jul 30, 2026
CK Infrastructure Holdings has scheduled a board meeting in Hong Kong on 12 August 2026 to approve the release of interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider the payment of an interim dividend, signaling con...
CK Infrastructure shareholders back all AGM resolutions and final dividend
May 20, 2026
CK Infrastructure Holdings reported that all resolutions at its 20 May 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders, including adoption of the 2025 financial statements and the declaration of a final dividend, reflecting broad investo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026