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China Qinfa Group Ltd. (0866) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0866

China Qinfa Group Ltd.

(HKEX:0866)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:HKD 2.00â–²(4.99% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/25/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, 2025 net loss, higher leverage, and deeply negative free cash flow). Technicals provide some support due to strong recent momentum, but overbought indicators and a sub-200DMA price temper the outlook. Valuation is a further drag given the high P/E and low dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Integrated coal supply-chain platformThe integrated operating model gives China Qinfa capabilities across multiple stages of coal distribution, from sourcing through delivery. This broader platform can support execution, handling efficiency and customer fulfillment, providing a durable operating base beyond simple coal resale.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contractionSustained revenue contraction signals pressure on demand, coal pricing, or sales volumes rather than a single isolated quarter. A smaller top line can reduce operating leverage, weaken purchasing scale and constrain the company’s ability to absorb fixed costs over the next several periods.

China Qinfa Group Ltd. (0866) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%HK:0866-38.35%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 5.01B
Dividend Yield
1.05%
Average Volume (3M)
3.13M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.2
Beta (1Y)
0.65
Revenue Growth
-13.48%
EPS Growth
-22.50%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
4,089
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Coal

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Qinfa Group Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in the coal operation business. It operates under the Coal Business and Shipping Transportation segments. The Coal Business segment includes coal mining, purchases and sales, filt...

How the Company Makes Money

China Qinfa Group Ltd. primarily makes money by selling coal and providing coal-related supply-chain services. Its core revenue stream is coal trading: the company purchases coal from suppliers (e.g., mines and other coal producers) and resells it to...

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statement signals are weak: revenue has been shrinking with a sharp drop in 2025, profitability swung from strong net profit in 2024 to a net loss in 2025, leverage rose materially (debt-to-equity ~1.06x), and free cash flow was deeply negative despite positive operating cash flow. Overall this points to elevated cyclicality, higher financial risk, and reduced flexibility.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.93B1.84B2.60B3.45B3.79B4.56B
Gross Profit663.78M473.37M514.54M878.02M1.27B1.94B
EBITDA848.71M774.87M1.06B1.46B1.75B4.03B
Net Income259.42M-93.86M501.94M200.35M456.54M2.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.65B6.66B8.63B7.86B7.85B7.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments401.70M1.14B1.03B302.73M856.00M1.05B
Total Debt1.76B2.03B1.20B3.58B3.53B3.71B
Total Liabilities3.87B4.12B5.14B7.54B7.04B7.58B
Stockholders Equity2.23B1.91B1.97B-472.87M13.11M-450.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-784.24M-1.03B-384.53M378.85M253.32M1.75B
Operating Cash Flow1.25B518.03M466.93M1.46B984.43M1.89B
Investing Cash Flow-1.67B-1.60B-612.16M-1.84B-835.63M-18.77M
Financing Cash Flow435.69M603.81M823.72M-212.07M-307.81M-989.73M

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.91

Price Trends

50DMA2.02Negative
100DMA1.81Positive
200DMA2.52Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Negative
RSI50.20Neutral
STOCH68.52Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0866, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.87, below the 50-day MA of 2.02, and below the 200-day MA of 2.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0866.

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0866 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
HK:1088HK:108865NeutralHKD 1.26T18.7713.04%5.46%33.71%12.81%
HK:1898HK:189858NeutralHKD 190.40B10.1811.02%4.74%-11.15%7.69%
HK:0975HK:097555NeutralHKD 7.18B7.879.27%―26.12%46.57%
HK:0639HK:063949NeutralHKD 12.96B15.434.97%6.28%32.98%-24.54%
HK:0866HK:086646NeutralHKD 5.01B15.1612.52%1.05%-13.48%-22.50%
HK:1393HK:139337UnderperformHKD 92.11M-0.14-141.19%―-17.39%-5.91%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%HK:0866HK:1898HK:1088HK:0975HK:1393HK:0639Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0866 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0866China Qinfa Group Ltd.1.91-1.24-39.33%
HK:1898China Coal Energy Co Class H9.74-1.17-10.71%
HK:1088China Shenhua Energy Co Class H42.563.408.69%
HK:0975Mongolian Mining Corporation7.02-4.47-38.90%
HK:1393Hidili Industry International Development Limited0.02-0.04-69.23%
HK:0639Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited2.54-0.37-12.57%

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Corporate Events

China Qinfa Group Doubles Indonesian Coal Output and Boosts Overseas Trading

Oct 12, 2026

China Qinfa Group Limited has reported a sharp increase in coal output at its Sumber Daya Energi operation in South Kalimantan, Indonesia for the nine months ended 30 September 2026. Raw coal production more than doubled year-on-year to 7.07 million...

China Qinfa Ties 57.9 Million Share Options to Aggressive Coal Production Targets

Sep 2, 2026

China Qinfa Group Limited has granted 57.9 million share options under its 2018 share option scheme to selected employees, exercisable between May 2029 and September 2036 at an exercise price of HK$2.295 per share. The options carry a nominal accepta...

China Qinfa Delivers Profit Surge in First-Half 2026 but Holds Back Dividend

Aug 25, 2026

China Qinfa Group Limited reported a strong set of interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with revenue from continuing operations rising 8.2 per cent year-on-year to RMB1,179 million and gross profit nearly doubling. The Group’s...

China Qinfa Group Subsidiary Strikes Connected Coal Supply Deal With Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific

Aug 21, 2026

China Qinfa Group’s subsidiary Far Link has signed a coal supply agreement with Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific for Indonesian steam coal deliveries through the end of 2026. The deal covers a tentative total of 1,900,000 metric tonnes of coal of d...

China Qinfa Group Sets August Board Meeting to Review Interim Results

Aug 13, 2026

China Qinfa Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting in Hong Kong on 25 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider whether to recommend the payment of an interim divide...

China Qinfa Group Flags Sharp Interim Profit Surge on Strong Coal Prices and Output

Aug 11, 2026

China Qinfa Group Limited has issued a positive profit alert, indicating it expects to post profit after tax of up to RMB290 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, sharply higher than the RMB31 million recorded a year earlier. The surge is dr...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2026