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Shimao Property Holdings (0813) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0813

Shimao Property Holdings

(HKEX:0813)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:HKD 0.04â–²(7.69% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

The exceedingly low score is primarily driven by massive insolvency risks, a broken capital structure, and severe operating losses. The stock is trapped in a persistent bearish downtrend across all major moving averages, and the seemingly attractive ultra-low P/E ratio is merely a distortion from one-time non-operating events, leaving virtually no safety net for equity holders.

Positive Factors
Cash-flow stabilizationPositive operating and free cash flow in 2025 indicates some stabilization in the underlying cash cycle after several years of substantial outflows. Although the improvement is not yet sufficient to offset leverage, continued cash generation would support operations and reduce dependence on external funding.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contractionA roughly 44% year-on-year revenue decline signals a materially weaker operating backdrop and reduced delivery or sales activity. Such contraction can pressure overhead absorption, weaken cash generation and make it harder for the company to rebuild earnings without a sustained recovery in project completions.

Shimao Property Holdings (0813) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%HK:0813-85.71%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.04M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
79.01M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.0
Beta (1Y)
1.22
Revenue Growth
-43.26%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
41,335
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

Shimao Property Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shimao Group Holdings Limited is an investment holding enterprise primarily focused on real estate development and investment activities throughout the People's Republic of China. Its comprehensive portfolio encompasses the construction of residentia...

How the Company Makes Money

Shimao Property Holdings primarily generates revenue from real estate development, with the main stream coming from the sale of properties it develops (typically residential units and, where applicable, commercial/retail components within mixed-use p...

Shimao Property Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company is exhibiting severe financial distress with a broken balance sheet and negative shareholders' equity. Core operations are rapidly shrinking with deep operating losses, and recent bottom-line profitability is artificially driven by one-time non-operating events rather than sustainable turnaround, posing immense solvency risks.

Income Statement

15Very Negative

Balance Sheet

5Very Negative

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Jun 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.34B27.68B59.98B59.46B107.80B63.04B
Gross Profit-23.91B-28.90B-5.87B5.85B2.62B5.28B
EBITDA15.24B14.98B-31.03B-14.73B-14.61B-9.70B
Net Income16.82B14.10B-35.91B-21.03B-27.09B-21.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets342.56B357.37B436.43B543.25B628.10B616.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.89B12.19B11.35B15.19B47.83B22.07B
Total Debt176.16B182.38B252.11B264.06B231.85B274.14B
Total Liabilities336.51B344.72B433.08B492.00B514.10B536.71B
Stockholders Equity-6.16B-166.97M-21.65B14.72B57.82B36.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.60B1.46B-1.04B-5.96B-11.07B-5.14B
Operating Cash Flow1.96B2.45B-243.97M-5.47B-9.59B-4.33B
Investing Cash Flow-1.09B-1.55B-368.54M1.05B-35.83B5.68B
Financing Cash Flow-5.12B-3.82B-3.24B-2.44B31.93B-27.32B

Shimao Property Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.04

Price Trends

50DMA0.05Negative
100DMA0.06Negative
200DMA0.12Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI38.02Neutral
STOCH5.24Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0813, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.05, and below the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0813.

Shimao Property Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0813 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0688HK:068863NeutralHKD 138.89B10.642.82%3.78%4.14%-16.76%
HK:1109HK:110963NeutralHKD 217.21B7.868.04%4.40%-11.74%-11.38%
HK:0960HK:096045NeutralHKD 31.39B-96.00-0.14%4.16%-41.83%-102.04%
HK:2007HK:200744NeutralHKD 6.59B0.27-106.41%―-41.85%―
HK:2202HK:220244NeutralHKD 41.32B-0.45-79.94%―-35.13%-45.10%
HK:0813HK:081338UnderperformHKD 415.01M0.02-531.49%―-43.26%―

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-75%-50%-25%0%25%HK:0813HK:2202HK:0688HK:1109HK:2007HK:0960Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0813 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0813Shimao Property Holdings 0.04-0.24-85.96%
HK:2202China Vanke2.15-2.25-51.02%
HK:0688China Overseas Land & Investment 12.690.050.44%
HK:1109China Resources Land 30.463.1011.33%
HK:2007Country Garden Holdings Co. Ltd.0.14-0.43-75.26%
HK:0960Longfor Group Holdings 4.54-5.07-52.79%

Shimao Property Holdings Corporate Events

Shimao Faces Debt Acceleration After Winding-Up Petition Triggers Default

Oct 25, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has disclosed that a winding-up petition filed by Guotong Trust has triggered events of default across multiple offshore restructured debt instruments. These include short-term and long-term notes and loans with an aggregate out...

Shimao’s Receivers Agree HK$2.7 Billion Hotel Sale to Cut Debt

Oct 21, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has announced that receivers appointed over certain hotel assets have agreed to sell two hotels and their associated businesses to Oceanfront Hong Kong Limited for approximately HK$2.7 billion, following a competitive tender pro...

Shimao Group Posts RMB10.5 Billion in Unaudited Nine-Month Contracted Sales

Oct 16, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings reported unaudited contracted sales of about RMB10.503 billion for the nine months ended 30 September 2026, with an aggregated contracted sold area of 857,239 square metres and an average selling price of RMB12,252 per square me...

Shimao Group Advances Restructuring but Faces New Winding-Up Petition

Sep 29, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has continued implementing measures to strengthen its financial position and address a previous audit disclaimer of opinion, including the successful offshore debt restructuring that converted about US$5 billion of mandatory con...

Shimao Group Posts RMB9.7 Billion in Unaudited Contracted Sales for First Eight Months of 2026

Sep 11, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings reported unaudited aggregated contracted sales of about RMB9.721 billion for the first eight months of 2026, with a contracted sold area of 792,172 square metres and an average selling price of RMB12,271 per square metre. For Au...

Shimao details RMB2.5bn judgment debts behind winding-up petition

Sep 8, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has detailed four Mainland court judgments that underpin a winding-up petition, with judgment debts totaling about RMB2.5 billion arising from top-up liabilities and liquidated damages linked to financing trust arrangements invo...

Shanghai Shimao Narrows First-Half Loss Despite Revenue Slump

Aug 28, 2026

Shanghai Shimao Co., Ltd., a core subsidiary of Shimao Group Holdings, reported a sharp contraction in operating income to RMB 777.5 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, down from RMB 3.59 billion a year earlier. The company nevertheless na...

Shimao Narrows Loss, Cuts Debt as It Prioritizes Cash Flow in Prolonged Property Slump

Aug 28, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings reported first-half 2026 revenue of RMB10.96 billion, with property sales contributing just over half, as China’s real estate market remained weak and highly divergent by city and product type. Contracted sales reached RMB...

Shimao Group Faces Hong Kong Winding-Up Petition Over RMB2.5 Billion Debt

Aug 27, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has been hit with a winding-up petition in Hong Kong by Guotong Trust Co., Ltd. over judgment debts totaling about RMB2.5 billion arising from four Mainland Chinese court rulings. The High Court has scheduled the first hearing f...

Shimao Says SSE Censure of Chairman Unlikely to Hit Operations

Aug 24, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has disclosed that the Shanghai Stock Exchange has issued a disciplinary decision against its subsidiary Shanghai Shimao and Chairman and President Mr. Hui over an information disclosure incident. The SSE decision includes publi...

Shimao Group Sets Late-August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results

Aug 18, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, and to authorize their publication to the market. The announcement signals forthcoming financial d...

Shimao Posts RMB9 Billion in Unaudited Contracted Sales Over Seven Months

Aug 7, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings reported unaudited aggregated contracted sales of about RMB9.01 billion for the seven months ended 31 July 2026, with a total contracted sold area of 733,203 square metres and an average selling price of RMB12,289 per square met...

Shimao Group Says CSRC Penalty on Chairman Will Not Hit Operations

Aug 3, 2026

Shimao Group Holdings has disclosed that the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued an administrative penalty decision against its chairman and president, Mr. Hui Sai Tan, Jason, for violations of information disclosure rules related to Shangh...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026