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Gemdale Properties & Investment (0535) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0535

Gemdale Properties & Investment

(HKEX:0535)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.08â–¼(-3.75% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The score is primarily driven by weak financial performance, with shrinking revenue and large losses in 2024–2025, alongside only tentative cash-flow stabilization. Technicals add downside pressure as price remains below key moving averages with negative MACD. Valuation is also constrained by the negative P/E (loss-making), with no dividend yield data to offset risk.

Positive Factors
Historical Earnings CapabilityThe company’s strong earnings in 2020–2022 demonstrate that its property development and investment model has previously generated meaningful profitability. This history provides evidence of operational earning capacity that could support recovery if project monetization and property-market conditions improve.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability DeclineThe combination of sharply lower revenue and two consecutive years of large losses indicates that recent projects are being monetized less effectively, through weaker deliveries, pricing, or both. Persistent deterioration would weaken retained capital, reduce reinvestment capacity, and undermine the company’s earnings base.

Gemdale Properties & Investment (0535) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:0535-55.56%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.33B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.48M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.3
Beta (1Y)
0.39
Revenue Growth
-78.20%
EPS Growth
-6.15%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
2,004
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

Gemdale Properties & Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating as an investment holding company, Gemdale Properties and Investment Corporation Limited engages in real estate investment, development, and management across Mainland China. Its operations are structured into three key segments: Property De...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money through (1) property development and sales, where revenue is recognized from the sale of developed properties to customers (typically residential and/or commercial units) and profit is driven by the spread between se...

Gemdale Properties & Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is pressured by two consecutive years of sizable losses (2024–2025) and contracting revenue, which outweigh earlier profitability. Leverage has risen to moderate-to-elevated levels (~0.7–0.8 debt-to-equity), and cash flow—while slightly positive in 2025—remains small relative to reported losses, indicating weak cash conversion.

Income Statement

24Negative

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

39Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.42B8.63B13.20B17.45B10.30B14.18B
Gross Profit210.31M742.03M2.43B3.61B209.48M930.09M
EBITDA-2.60B-2.30B63.55M3.19B57.24M824.24M
Net Income-3.46B-3.32B-4.57B342.72M2.32B4.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.51B62.71B75.99B91.10B85.99B77.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.81B2.25B1.82B2.45B6.05B8.77B
Total Debt10.75B11.58B12.13B12.39B7.03B6.19B
Total Liabilities46.23B45.00B54.93B64.75B59.01B52.49B
Stockholders Equity13.64B14.42B17.70B22.48B22.39B21.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow69.22M39.67M-189.45M1.67B2.09B71.07M
Operating Cash Flow88.75M56.94M-153.51M1.77B2.14B128.59M
Investing Cash Flow-123.06M88.60M3.90B1.15B-5.63B1.41B
Financing Cash Flow-405.88M-729.92M-4.38B-6.55B762.08M82.30M

Gemdale Properties & Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.08

Price Trends

50DMA0.10Negative
100DMA0.10Negative
200DMA0.12Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI33.49Neutral
STOCH15.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0535, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.09, below the 50-day MA of 0.10, and below the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0535.

Gemdale Properties & Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0535 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0016HK:001670OutperformHKD 315.57B14.723.41%3.47%17.33%11.15%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0688HK:068863NeutralHKD 138.89B10.662.82%3.78%4.14%-16.76%
HK:1109HK:110963NeutralHKD 217.21B7.888.04%4.40%-11.74%-11.38%
HK:0960HK:096045NeutralHKD 31.39B-96.00-0.14%4.16%-41.83%-102.04%
HK:2202HK:220244NeutralHKD 41.32B-0.45-79.94%―-35.13%-45.10%
HK:0535HK:053543NeutralHKD 1.33B-0.33-24.69%―-78.20%-6.15%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%HK:0535HK:2202HK:0688HK:1109HK:0960HK:0016Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0535 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0535Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp 0.08-0.10-55.56%
HK:2202China Vanke2.15-2.25-51.02%
HK:0688China Overseas Land & Investment 12.690.050.44%
HK:1109China Resources Land 30.463.1011.33%
HK:0960Longfor Group Holdings 4.54-5.07-52.79%
HK:0016Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited108.9015.7816.94%

Gemdale Properties & Investment Corporate Events

Gemdale Properties & Investment Posts RMB 4.8 Billion in Unaudited Sales for First Nine Months of 2026

Oct 9, 2026

Gemdale Properties and Investment Corporation Limited, a Bermuda-incorporated real estate developer listed in Hong Kong, focuses on commercial and residential property projects across mainland China. The company’s financial health is closely ti...

Gemdale Properties Posts RMB 4.4 Billion in Unaudited Contracted Sales for First Eight Months of 2026

Sep 3, 2026

Gemdale Properties and Investment reported unaudited contracted sales of about RMB 425 million in August 2026, covering approximately 34,700 square meters at an average selling price of RMB 12,200 per square meter. For the first eight months of 2026,...

Gemdale Properties & Investment Posts Deeper Interim Loss on Revenue Slump

Aug 25, 2026

Gemdale Properties and Investment reported a sharp deterioration in its unaudited interim results for the six months to 30 June 2026, as revenue plunged 83% year-on-year to RMB1.12 billion and gross profit fell 57%. The group’s loss after tax w...

Gemdale Properties and Investment Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 13, 2026

Gemdale Properties and Investment Corporation Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 25 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The meeting will also address any other business, signal...

Gemdale Properties & Investment posts RMB 3.98 billion in unaudited sales for first seven months of 2026

Aug 6, 2026

Gemdale Properties and Investment reported unaudited contracted sales of approximately RMB 392 million in July 2026, based on a contracted sales area of about 31,600 square meters and an average selling price of roughly RMB 12,400 per square meter. F...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026