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China Gas Holdings (0384) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0384

China Gas Holdings

(HKEX:0384)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:HKD 5.00â–²(0.81% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The score is driven primarily by weakening financial performance (shrinking revenues, compressed margins, and lower ROE with higher leverage) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative momentum). These headwinds are partly offset by relatively attractive valuation and income characteristics (low P/E and high dividend yield).

Positive Factors
Diversified Revenue ModelThe mix of recurring gas supply and customer-linked service revenue gives China Gas multiple monetization channels. Its distribution footprint can support cross-selling and provide some resilience when connection activity or demand in one customer segment slows.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThree consecutive years of revenue decline indicate weakening top-line momentum rather than an isolated quarterly fluctuation. Prolonged contraction can reduce operating leverage, constrain investment capacity, and make it harder for the company to expand earnings across its network.

China Gas Holdings (0384) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:0384-35.10%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 3.60B
Dividend Yield
7.05%
Average Volume (3M)
13.84M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.7
Beta (1Y)
0.60
Revenue Growth
-7.13%
EPS Growth
-16.53%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
70,000
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

China Gas Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Gas Holdings Limited operates as a leading gas utility and service provider across the People's Republic of China. The company's core activities involve the investment, construction, operation, and maintenance of comprehensive urban and regiona...

How the Company Makes Money

China Gas Holdings primarily makes money through a mix of recurring energy supply revenue and project/service-based income tied to network expansion and customer additions. 1) Gas sales (recurring supply revenue): The core revenue stream is selling n...

China Gas Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mid-range fundamentals: profitability has weakened with three straight years of revenue decline and significant margin compression (net margin ~3.7% in 2026 vs. ~15.0% in 2021). The balance sheet remains serviceable but leverage is higher (debt ~1.16x equity) and ROE has fallen (~4.8% in 2026 vs. ~20.2% in 2021). Cash flow is positive but uneven, with volatile free cash flow and limited confidence in 2026 cash conversion metrics.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

57Neutral

Cash Flow

54Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.60B73.60B79.26B81.41B91.99B88.23B
Gross Profit10.88B10.88B11.26B11.30B12.03B15.74B
EBITDA8.86B8.86B10.00B9.64B10.71B12.39B
Net Income2.72B2.72B3.25B3.18B4.29B7.66B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets157.73B157.73B148.22B148.70B157.29B163.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.45B12.45B8.89B8.12B10.72B10.29B
Total Debt66.54B66.54B60.42B59.24B61.39B57.70B
Total Liabilities92.95B92.95B87.49B87.95B92.50B91.08B
Stockholders Equity57.17B57.17B53.86B53.93B57.90B63.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.57B1.36B1.77B5.28B2.30B-673.72M
Operating Cash Flow7.02B5.84B6.44B11.34B8.26B8.34B
Investing Cash Flow-2.18B-2.96B-1.78B-7.05B-10.08B-15.86B
Financing Cash Flow-2.26B-521.20M-3.81B-5.86B2.95B8.78B

China Gas Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.96

Price Trends

50DMA5.36Negative
100DMA5.52Negative
200DMA6.42Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.14Positive
RSI39.92Neutral
STOCH22.13Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0384, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.11, below the 50-day MA of 5.36, and below the 200-day MA of 6.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0384.

China Gas Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

HK:0384 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:2688HK:268868NeutralHKD 55.06B7.5012.80%6.21%5.69%8.67%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
HK:1193HK:119363NeutralHKD 37.02B10.467.90%5.82%0.94%17.12%
HK:0003HK:000359NeutralHKD 135.66B20.7710.65%4.81%1.53%12.95%
HK:0384HK:038456NeutralHKD 27.02B9.724.80%7.05%-7.13%-16.53%
HK:1083HK:108348NeutralHKD 11.14B7.015.79%6.44%2.60%-11.05%
HK:1635HK:163548NeutralHKD 12.31B35.413.71%3.18%6.15%-21.68%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%HK:0384HK:1193HK:0003HK:1083HK:2688HK:1635Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0384 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0384China Gas Holdings 4.96-2.65-34.78%
HK:1193China Resources Gas Group 16.32-3.68-18.39%
HK:0003Hong Kong & China Gas Co 7.270.405.76%
HK:1083Towngas China Co 2.94-0.74-20.12%
HK:2688ENN Energy Holdings 48.76-14.52-22.94%
HK:1635Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities (Group) Co., Ltd. Class H1.81-2.35-56.53%

China Gas Holdings Corporate Events

China Gas Unit Zhongran Investment Posts Strong Nine-Month Unaudited Results

Oct 30, 2026

China Gas Holdings Limited has disclosed unaudited nine-month financial data for its wholly owned subsidiary Zhongran Investment Limited Company, a key financing arm in the mainland China market. Zhongran Investment had total assets of RMB61.1 billio...

China Gas reshapes board as Beijing Gas veteran joins leadership

Oct 20, 2026

China Gas Holdings has announced a boardroom reshuffle, with executive director Zhao Kun stepping down from the board and the executive committee effective 20 October 2026 to focus on other business commitments. The company said Zhao has no disagreem...

China Gas Updates Board and Committee Line-Up to Strengthen Governance

Oct 20, 2026

China Gas Holdings Limited has updated the composition of its board of directors and board committees, effective 20 October 2026, detailing the roles of its executive, non-executive and independent non-executive directors. The announcement clarifies...

China Gas Unit Zhongran Posts Interim Profit as Bond Market Disclosure Rises

Aug 28, 2026

China Gas Holdings has disclosed interim financial information for its wholly owned unit Zhongran Investment, which has RMB5 billion of outstanding notes and bonds in China, to comply with mainland regulatory requirements. The subsidiary reported una...

China Gas Shareholders Approve All AGM Resolutions, Back Dividend and Board Mandates

Aug 21, 2026

China Gas Holdings Limited reported that all resolutions put to shareholders at its 21 August 2026 annual general meeting were approved by poll, underscoring strong support for the company’s current governance and strategic direction. Investors...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026