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Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. (0098) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0098

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd.

(HKEX:0098)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:HKD 5.00â–²(1.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/28/26

The score is held back primarily by weakening fundamentals (margin compression, higher leverage, and weaker cash conversion) and a bearish technical setup (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by very attractive valuation metrics (low P/E and high dividend yield).

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue ExpansionThe sharp increase in 2025 revenue indicates strong demand and expanding sales activity across the company’s aluminium profile business. If the higher sales base is retained, it can improve operating scale, support customer reach, and provide a platform for future earnings recovery despite current margin pressure.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionThe decline in both net and EBITDA margins shows that stronger revenue growth is not currently translating proportionately into profit. Persistent cost pressure or adverse pricing mix could limit earnings scalability, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make future results more sensitive to changes in operating conditions.

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. (0098) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:0098-30.91%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 2.06B
Dividend Yield
10.19%
Average Volume (3M)
27.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
3.3
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
9.79%
EPS Growth
-24.00%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
10,474
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Aluminum

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited operates as an investment conglomerate primarily engaged in the manufacturing, sale, and trading of aluminum profiles, which are integral to both construction and industrial sectors across the People's Republic of Ch...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling aluminium extrusion products (aluminium profiles) to customers who use them in downstream applications such as building/construction and industrial uses. Revenue is generated from (1) sal...

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth in 2025 was offset by weaker profitability (net margin ~3.0% vs ~4.4% and EBITDA margin ~6.1% vs ~8.1%), sharply higher leverage (debt ~0.98x equity vs ~0.49x), and deteriorating cash conversion (FCF down ~51% YoY; ~34% of net income).

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

50Neutral

Cash Flow

43Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.08B20.70B18.85B17.35B16.93B15.43B
Gross Profit1.51B1.30B1.76B1.99B1.77B1.81B
EBITDA1.21B1.39B1.55B1.44B1.08B1.47B
Net Income532.26M632.22M826.03M804.17M457.77M887.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.50B15.00B14.54B12.87B12.10B11.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.78B2.54B2.73B2.84B1.85B1.64B
Total Debt5.57B6.17B2.88B3.15B2.51B1.76B
Total Liabilities11.14B8.70B8.63B7.54B7.44B6.86B
Stockholders Equity6.27B6.29B5.90B5.32B4.65B4.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-604.21M316.58M459.66M485.69M-184.33M646.46M
Operating Cash Flow429.96M938.24M1.42B1.47B790.77M1.33B
Investing Cash Flow-1.64B-1.84B-884.65M-836.70M-890.39M-604.82M
Financing Cash Flow398.09M-143.35M-647.88M358.69M326.51M408.78M

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.91

Price Trends

50DMA5.36Negative
100DMA5.98Negative
200DMA6.51Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.14Negative
RSI26.94Positive
STOCH78.52Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0098, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.00, below the 50-day MA of 5.36, and below the 200-day MA of 6.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0098.

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:0098 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:2610HK:261076OutperformHKD 12.95B7.0011.38%5.84%-19.40%-59.11%
HK:1378HK:137872OutperformHKD 198.55B6.1320.69%8.16%6.88%7.63%
HK:2600HK:260071OutperformHKD 161.20B7.5024.20%6.85%6.65%46.40%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
HK:0098HK:009858NeutralHKD 2.06B3.308.48%10.19%9.79%-24.00%
HK:0505HK:050555NeutralHKD 839.88M2.2712.67%3.21%26.56%58.77%
HK:2078HK:207845NeutralHKD 118.74M-0.91-19.40%―-64.85%-1980.00%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%HK:0098HK:2600HK:1378HK:2078HK:0505HK:2610Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0098 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0098Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd.4.91-2.31-31.98%
HK:2600Aluminum Corporation of China Class H7.12-2.43-25.45%
HK:1378China Hongqiao Group Ltd.20.22-8.57-29.78%
HK:2078PanAsialum Holdings Co. Ltd.0.10-0.03-23.85%
HK:0505Xingye Alloy Materials Group Limited0.94-0.02-2.50%
HK:2610Nanshan Aluminium International Holdings Limited20.88-23.72-53.18%

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Xingfa Aluminium Details 2025 Henan and Jiangxi Tenancy Arrangements

Sep 2, 2026

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. has issued a supplemental announcement providing detailed asset specifications for its 2025 tenancy agreements in Henan, covering manufacturing workshops, outdoor assembly yards, offices, cranes and related facility man...

Xingfa Aluminium Grows Revenue but Profit Slides on Higher Costs

Aug 26, 2026

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. reported interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 showing revenue up 4.0% year on year to RMB9,693.3 million, despite a 6.7% drop in sales volume to about 379,751 tonnes. Gross profit fell as cost of sales...

Xingfa Aluminium Warns of Sharply Lower First-Half Profit Amid Margin Pressure

Aug 20, 2026

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited has issued a profit warning for the first half of 2026, advising that net profit attributable to owners is expected to fall to between RMB165 million and RMB171 million. This compares with approximately RMB270.9 mill...

Xingfa Aluminium Sets Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Dividend

Aug 14, 2026

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 26 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider whether to recommend an interim dividend, a dec...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026