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First Tractor Co (0038) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0038

First Tractor Co

(HKEX:0038)

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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:HKD 8.00â–²(5.96% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/31/26

The score is held up by solid financial performance—especially strong recent free cash flow—and a reasonable valuation with a ~4% dividend yield. However, the stock’s technical picture is the main drag, with price below key moving averages and bearish momentum signals indicating a pronounced downtrend.

Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash FlowStrong recent cash generation gives First Tractor internal funding for operations, investment, and shareholder returns. Free cash flow growth of 30.1% and support from earnings indicate useful cash conversion, although the durability of this performance depends on managing historical variability.
Negative Factors
Margin Below PeakThe decline in net margin from stronger 2023–2024 levels indicates that earnings conversion has weakened and that the business is not currently achieving its best operating leverage. If margins remain lower, revenue growth may translate less effectively into profit and reduce financial flexibility.

First Tractor Co (0038) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%HK:0038+0.77%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.84B
Dividend Yield
4.03%
Average Volume (3M)
3.35M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.0
Beta (1Y)
0.65
Revenue Growth
18.38%
EPS Growth
14.26%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
7,011
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Agricultural - Machinery

First Tractor Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First Tractor Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of agricultural machinery and power machinery as well as their parts and components. It operates through the following business segments: Agricultural machinery, Powe...

How the Company Makes Money

First Tractor Co. makes money primarily by selling tractors and related agricultural machinery/equipment to end customers through its sales network. Revenue is generated from (1) product sales of tractors and other farm machinery (the main stream), a...

First Tractor Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are solid but not best-in-cycle: TTM revenue returned to modest growth (+3.3%) and profitability is steady, though net margin (~7.2%) is below stronger 2023–2024 levels. Balance sheet remains reasonable but leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~0.55), raising sensitivity to any further margin pressure. Cash flow is the key strength with strong TTM free cash flow (~2.09B) and growth (+30.1%), despite historical volatility.

Income Statement

67Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.10B10.82B11.90B11.53B12.56B9.33B
Gross Profit1.84B1.60B1.76B1.81B1.96B1.60B
EBITDA980.00M938.62M1.17B1.35B1.10B679.00M
Net Income866.98M811.95M922.02M997.02M681.05M433.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.09B15.10B14.69B13.82B12.99B12.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.94B5.80B3.77B3.63B5.61B4.28B
Total Debt4.59B3.04B305.32M2.39B362.29M607.18M
Total Liabilities10.09B6.87B6.91B6.60B6.49B6.36B
Stockholders Equity8.41B7.66B7.26B6.69B5.96B5.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.09B840.26M1.10B967.16M3.51B514.43M
Operating Cash Flow2.50B1.03B1.22B1.06B3.60B582.28M
Investing Cash Flow-2.56B-1.19B-1.32B-2.01B-2.10B272.58M
Financing Cash Flow-13.59M-279.45M-336.17M-346.34M-140.53M-119.91M

First Tractor Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price7.55

Price Trends

50DMA8.58Negative
100DMA8.17Negative
200DMA8.37Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.39Positive
RSI39.39Neutral
STOCH14.35Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0038, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.91, below the 50-day MA of 8.58, and below the 200-day MA of 8.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:0038.

First Tractor Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

HK:0038 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:3339HK:333976OutperformHKD 11.98B7.2012.47%7.14%21.86%25.46%
HK:3808HK:380869NeutralHKD 86.03B9.1817.17%6.61%38.33%37.12%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
HK:0631HK:063161NeutralHKD 21.48B10.8412.81%5.36%19.07%29.20%
HK:0038HK:003859NeutralHKD 14.38B16.9710.71%4.03%18.38%14.26%
HK:1157HK:115752NeutralHKD 57.01B13.096.73%8.95%22.97%6.24%
HK:0840HK:084038UnderperformHKD 81.56M-1.77-11.88%―40.38%44.68%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%HK:0038HK:3339HK:3808HK:0631HK:1157HK:0840Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0038 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0038First Tractor Co Class H7.55-0.10-1.27%
HK:3339Lonking Holdings 2.80-0.12-4.24%
HK:3808Sinotruk Hong Kong 31.165.6622.20%
HK:0631Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co 6.53-0.39-5.69%
HK:1157Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Technology Co Class H4.99-2.18-30.39%
HK:0840Xinjiang Tianye Water Saving Irrigation System Co., Ltd. Class H0.16-0.06-27.65%

First Tractor Co Corporate Events

First Tractor Issues Unaudited 2026 Third-Quarter Report With Assurance on Disclosure Quality

Oct 29, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited has released its unaudited third-quarter report for 2026, with the board, directors and senior management collectively affirming the truthfulness, accuracy and completeness of the financial disclosures. The company&#8217...

First Tractor to Host Online Briefing on Q3 2026 Results

Oct 29, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited has scheduled an online presentation of its third-quarter 2026 results to deepen investor understanding of its operating performance and financial position. The move underscores the company’s efforts to maintain tr...

First Tractor Opposes Leasing Merger Terms and Demands Equity Repurchase

Oct 29, 2026

First Tractor has disclosed developments surrounding a proposed merger by absorption between its investee BOL Financial Leasing and AB Leasing, under which AB Leasing would issue new shares to acquire all of BOL Financial Leasing and deregister the t...

First Tractor Sets Board Meeting to Approve Nine-Month Unaudited Results

Oct 16, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited, a Hong Kong-listed agricultural machinery maker based in Luoyang, focuses on tractors and related farm equipment for domestic and overseas markets. The company operates under a conventional listed-company governance mod...

First Tractor Confirms 2026 Interim Dividend and H-Share Tax Treatment

Sep 18, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited has confirmed its 2026 interim dividend plan, declaring a cash payout of RMB0.06962 per share, with the H-share dividend translated into approximately HK$0.08 per share before tax. The company has set 9 October 2026 as t...

First Tractor sets interim cash dividend and clarifies H-share tax treatment

Sep 18, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited has declared an interim ordinary cash dividend of RMB 0.06962 per share for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with Hong Kong holders to receive HKD 0.08 per share based on an exchange rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.15594. The e...

First Tractor to Host Live Investor Briefing on 2026 Interim Results

Sep 1, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited will host a live investor presentation on its 2026 interim results on 9 September 2026 via the Shanghai Stock Exchange SSE Roadshow Centre, combining video streaming with online interaction. Senior management, including...

First Tractor posts solid interim profit as working capital mix shifts

Aug 25, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited reported audited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, posting total operating revenue of RMB7.89 billion and net profit attributable to equity holders of RMB782.29 million. Earnings per share reached RM...

First Tractor Co. Formalizes Connected Factoring Deal With Sinomach Unit

Aug 25, 2026

First Tractor Co., via its subsidiary YTO International, is a major player in China’s agricultural machinery industry, focusing on the production and sale of tractors and related equipment to large institutional and industrial clients. Its oper...

First Tractor Sets 10% Interim Dividend Payout for 2026

Aug 25, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited, a leading Chinese agricultural machinery maker listed in Hong Kong, derives its earnings mainly from the sale of tractors and related equipment. With a substantial share base and a focus on mechanised farming markets, i...

First Tractor Declares Interim Dividend for First Half of 2026

Aug 25, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited, a Hong Kong-listed manufacturer of agricultural machinery and tractors, serves farming and industrial clients in China and abroad. Its governance framework includes a chairman, executive and non-executive directors, ind...

First Tractor flags RMB95.8m fair value hit to interim profit

Aug 25, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited has announced the recognition of fair value changes on its financial assets and liabilities as of 30 June 2026, in line with Chinese accounting standards and listing rules in Hong Kong and Shanghai. The adjustments mainl...

First Tractor Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Dividend Plan

Aug 13, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 25 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider a recommendation for an interim dividend, a decision that cou...

First Tractor Gains Strong Shareholder Backing at 2026 Extraordinary Meetings

Aug 4, 2026

First Tractor Company Limited reported that all resolutions proposed at its 2026 first extraordinary general meeting and separate class meetings for A share and H share holders, held on 4 August 2026 in Luoyang, Henan Province, were duly approved by...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026