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Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR (HESAY) AI Stock Analysis

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HESAY

Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR

(Other OTC:HESAY)

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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:$158.00▲(9.42% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is driven primarily by exceptional financial strength (high profitability, strong cash generation, and conservative leverage) and a positive earnings outlook with robust H1 margins and maintained guidance. These positives are tempered by clearly bearish technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a premium P/E that is only partly supported by the dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Brand and distribution controlHermès combines a powerful luxury brand with scarcity management, craftsmanship and a largely controlled retail network. This structure protects pricing, presentation and customer relationships while allowing the company to capture retail margins, supporting durable competitive differentiation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Currency and hedging exposureHermès' global revenue base creates meaningful translation and hedging exposure when major currencies weaken against the euro. Even with healthy constant-currency demand, these effects can suppress reported growth and profitability, while management expects hedging impacts to remain significant across the year.

Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR (HESAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HESAY-39.29%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$151.22B
Dividend Yield
3.22%
Average Volume (3M)
77.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
30.0
Beta (1Y)
0.99
Revenue Growth
10.20%
EPS Growth
8.12%
Country
US
Employees
25,414
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Luxury Goods

Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hermès International Société en commandite par actions engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of various goods. The company offers leather goods and saddlery, such as bags for men and women, travel articles, small leather goods and accessor...

How the Company Makes Money

Hermès makes money primarily by selling luxury products under the Hermès brand, with revenue generated across several product categories and geographies. Its largest revenue stream is typically the direct sale of goods through its own retail boutique...

Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-25.20%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a largely positive commercial and operational performance: solid revenue growth (accelerating in Q2), very high operating margin (41%), strong cash generation and disciplined inventory management, supported by continued investments in production capacity, retail expansion and sustainability. Key positives (revenue acceleration, margin, cash, regional strength in Americas/Japan/Europe ex France, job creation and vertical integration) outweigh the challenges. The main headwinds are material currency and hedging impacts that reduced reported growth, weaker perfume/travel-retail performance, a one-off exceptional tax contribution, and some supply-quality and regional geopolitical uncertainties. On balance, management conveyed confidence, reiterated medium-term revenue ambitions and committed to continued investment and quality preservation.

Positive Updates

Solid Revenue Growth and Q2 Acceleration
Group revenue of EUR 8.2 billion in H1 2026, up 6% at constant exchange rates and up 2% at current exchange rates; Q2 revenue EUR 4.1 billion, up 7% at constant exchange rates (acceleration vs Q1).

Negative Updates

Significant Currency Headwinds
Negative exchange-rate effect of approx. EUR 360 million reduced growth by ~4.5 percentage points in H1 2026 (mainly weaker yen, U.S. dollar and Korean won versus the euro); hedging costs also material (close to EUR 100 million impact noted).

Company Guidance

Hermès kept its outlook unchanged, reiterating an “ambitious” medium‑term objective of revenue growth at constant exchange rates and giving quantitative guideposts: H1 revenue €8.2bn (+6% at constant exchange rates, +2% reported) with Q2 €4.1bn (+7%), operating income €3.4bn and operating margin 41%, gross margin 71.1% (+0.4ppt), adjusted available cash flow €2.2bn (up 18%) and total cash flow €2.7bn (up 16%); H1 bore a negative FX translation headwind of ~€360m (reducing growth ~4.5ppt) and ~€100m of hedging costs (management flagged hedging could rise toward ~€210m across the year) while the exceptional corporate contribution is estimated at €360m for the year (H1 ~€270m), restated net cash stood at €12.9bn and equity at €19bn (cash ≈50% of equity). Management said operating investments will accelerate (H1 €344m; full‑year target €1bn), they will add ~1 leather workshop per year through 2030 (≈300 jobs each), continue selective store openings and recruitment (600 hires in the quarter; >27,000 employees, 61% in France), and expect the conversion/translation effect to be close to neutral over the full year.

Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statements indicate elite quality: strong multi-year revenue expansion, exceptional and steady margins (gross ~66–72% and net ~27–32% in 2021–2024), strong cash generation with solid cash conversion (operating cash flow exceeding net income in 2021–2024), and a conservatively levered balance sheet with consistently high ROE. Minor watch items include slight net income softness in 2024 vs 2023 and some free cash flow growth volatility.

Income Statement

93Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

88Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.13B16.00B15.17B13.43B11.60B8.98B
Gross Profit11.12B11.38B10.66B9.71B7.66B5.89B
EBITDA8.18B7.63B6.99B6.56B5.29B4.03B
Net Income4.51B4.52B4.60B4.31B3.37B2.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.80B24.32B23.08B20.45B17.46B13.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.31B12.50B11.64B10.63B9.22B6.70B
Total Debt2.28B2.35B2.17B2.06B1.93B1.80B
Total Liabilities5.77B5.47B5.75B5.24B5.00B4.43B
Stockholders Equity19.02B18.84B17.33B15.20B12.44B9.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.74B4.42B4.23B3.70B3.84B3.05B
Operating Cash Flow5.81B5.45B5.17B4.44B4.25B3.45B
Investing Cash Flow-1.43B-1.35B-1.23B-1.11B-646.00M-716.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.46B-3.14B-3.05B-1.79B-1.24B-869.00M

Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price144.39

Price Trends

50DMA157.07Negative
100DMA171.98Negative
200DMA191.54Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.80Negative
RSI43.82Neutral
STOCH24.03Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HESAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 144.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.89, below the 50-day MA of 157.07, and below the 200-day MA of 191.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HESAY.

Hermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HESAY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HESAYHESAY73Outperform$151.68B30.0223.85%3.22%10.20%8.12%
RLRL71Outperform$23.39B24.4235.64%0.97%14.68%26.22%
TPRTPR70Outperform$23.08B15.51262.81%1.43%14.17%956.15%
LULULULU66Neutral$12.42B8.8129.73%―1.74%-16.55%
REALREAL64Neutral$1.49B-119.602.94%―18.05%84.37%
ZGNZGN64Neutral$5.72B42.037.60%1.02%10.78%-15.63%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%HESAYTPRLULURLREALZGNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HESAY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HESAYHermes International SCA Unsponsored ADR144.39-97.79-40.38%
TPRTapestry116.2911.3110.78%
LULULululemon Athletica107.24-58.23-35.19%
RLRalph Lauren392.8781.2326.06%
REALRealreal11.960.050.42%
ZGNErmenegildo Zegna Group13.493.6336.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026