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Hudson Tech (HDSN) AI Stock Analysis

HDSN

Hudson Tech

(NASDAQ:HDSN)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$4.50â–²(4.41% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

HDSN scores below average primarily due to weak current financial performance (net loss and sharply negative operating/free cash flow) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD and very low RSI). The score is partially supported by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet and a cautiously constructive earnings call that highlighted stabilized pricing expectations, volume growth, and the renewed long-term DLA contract.

Positive Factors
Long-term DLA contractThe renewed DLA relationship provides multi-year revenue visibility and reinforces Hudson’s position as a trusted refrigerant supplier and services provider to a major government customer. Its long duration can support planning, operational investment, and competitive credibility beyond the current pricing cycle.
Negative Factors
Negative cash generationPersistent negative operating and free cash flow weakens the quality of current earnings and can increase dependence on working-capital improvements, cost reductions, or available liquidity. If cash outflows continue, Hudson may have less flexibility to fund growth and strategic investments internally.

Hudson Tech (HDSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HDSN-49.23%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$181.40M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
573.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-181.9
Beta (1Y)
0.83
Revenue Growth
2.31%
EPS Growth
-105.15%
Country
US
Employees
281
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Hudson Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) operates as a dedicated provider of specialized refrigerant services, addressing persistent issues within the refrigeration industry, primarily throughout the United States. The company's core business involves the sa...

How the Company Makes Money

Hudson Tech primarily makes money by selling refrigerants and related services tied to the refrigerant lifecycle. A major revenue stream is the sale of reclaimed refrigerant: the company acquires used refrigerant (typically recovered from HVAC/R equi...

Hudson Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-18.06%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was cautiously positive. Hudson reported significant year-over-year declines in revenue, volume, average pricing, gross margin, net income and EPS, while customer demand and channel inventory remained challenging. However, management emphasized 9% year-to-date volume growth, better-than-expected gross margin, a debt-free balance sheet with $35.3 million of cash, renewal of the $210 million DLA contract, stabilized pricing, and strategic initiatives in reclamation, separation technology, services and operating efficiency. The number and significance of the company's strategic and financial positives outweighed the reported near-term challenges.

Positive Updates

Year-to-Date Sales Volume Growth
Sales volume increased 9% through the first nine months of 2026, reflecting the strength of Hudson's customer relationships and its leadership role in the refrigerant marketplace.

Negative Updates

Revenue, Volume and Average Price Declined
Third-quarter revenue was $59.4 million, down 20% from the 2025 quarter. Sales volume declined 9% and average prices fell 17%, as ample channel inventory kept HFC market prices low. The volume decline also reflected Hudson's intentional decision to prioritize profitable sales over volume.

Company Guidance

Hudson reaffirmed its 2026 gross margin target at the low to mid-20% range and said it would expect pricing next year to be about the same as 2026; sales volume was up 9% year-to-date and through the first 9 months of 2026, while the $210 million DLA contract extends for 5 years through July 2031 with the opportunity for an additional 5-year extension through July 2036.

Hudson Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are pressured: the income statement shows deteriorating profitability (TTM revenue down ~5.7% and a net loss) and cash flow is the major weakness (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow both deeply negative). The main offset is a very conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage, which improves resilience but does not fully counter weak current earnings/cash generation.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue242.33M246.61M237.12M289.02M325.23M192.75M
Gross Profit50.88M62.10M65.71M111.51M162.89M71.66M
EBITDA6.49M28.68M38.41M83.95M137.49M50.95M
Net Income-1.32M16.67M24.39M52.25M103.80M32.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets319.83M318.65M302.65M296.67M272.49M215.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.26M39.46M70.13M12.45M5.29M3.49M
Total Debt2.35M5.29M6.88M6.68M50.67M100.27M
Total Liabilities74.30M75.26M56.80M67.90M97.62M144.78M
Stockholders Equity245.52M243.39M245.85M228.77M174.88M70.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-31.51M-8.21M86.51M54.97M59.16M-3.15M
Operating Cash Flow-28.28M-3.16M91.81M58.55M62.81M-1.23M
Investing Cash Flow-5.54M-7.29M-25.97M-3.58M-3.66M-1.92M
Financing Cash Flow-20.60M-20.23M-8.15M-47.82M-57.35M5.29M

Hudson Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.31

Price Trends

50DMA5.22Negative
100DMA5.57Negative
200DMA5.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Positive
RSI23.82Positive
STOCH30.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.12, below the 50-day MA of 5.22, and below the 200-day MA of 5.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.82 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HDSN.

Hudson Tech Risk Analysis

Hudson Tech disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hudson Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Hudson Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HDSN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GPREGPRE63Neutral$988.34M7.8815.54%―-21.51%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
KOPKOP54Neutral$784.83M-8.98-16.91%0.84%-4.98%-710.42%
HDSNHDSN48Neutral$181.40M-181.86-0.54%―2.31%-105.15%
LWLGLWLG47Neutral$732.29M-29.69-30.34%―165.22%3.72%
OECOEC46Neutral$316.53M-3.24-24.91%1.48%-1.02%-734.16%
GEVOGEVO44Neutral$309.05M-1.39-51.42%―121.37%-264.53%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%HDSNGEVOGPREKOPOECLWLGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HDSN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HDSNHudson Technologies4.31-4.75-52.43%
GEVOGevo Inc1.25-1.02-44.93%
GPREGreen Plains Inc.14.103.6534.93%
KOPKoppers41.5013.5948.68%
OECOrion S.A.5.600.387.26%
LWLGLightwave Logic 4.75-0.12-2.46%

Hudson Tech Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

Hudson Tech Regains Long-Term DLA Refrigerant Contract

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

On August 5, 2026, Hudson Technologies, Inc. announced it had been re-awarded an Indefinite Delivery Indefinite Quantity contract by the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency, restoring a deal that had been rescinded amid a bid protest filed in January 2026...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026